Projected Income Statement: Swire Properties Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Swire Properties Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 10,334 18,947 36,679 43,746 39,540 39,329 39,754 39,668
Change - 83.35% 93.59% 19.27% -9.61% -0.53% 1.08% -0.22%
Announcement Date 3/10/22 3/9/23 3/14/24 3/13/25 3/12/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Swire Properties Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 4,040 7,229 2,988 4,445 2,140 7,866 5,620 1,975
Change - 78.94% -58.67% 48.76% -51.86% 267.56% -28.55% -64.86%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,005 -2,473 2,457 -683 5,331 4,801 5,870 8,616
Change - -346.07% 199.35% -127.8% 880.53% -9.94% 22.27% 46.78%
Announcement Date 3/10/22 3/9/23 3/14/24 3/13/25 3/12/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Swire Properties Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 63.82% 66.22% 56.91% 59.14% 56.77% 52.44% 51.42% 51.3%
EBIT Margin (%) 61.58% 59.47% 53.93% 56.12% 53.6% 49.39% 47.96% 51.57%
EBT Margin (%) 58.21% 74.44% 29.78% 10.65% -1.58% 53.55% 52.78% 57%
Net margin (%) 44.81% 57.72% 17.98% -5.31% -9.56% 44.26% 43.29% 47.92%
FCF margin (%) 6.32% -17.89% 16.75% -4.73% 33.23% 26.46% 31.93% 44.15%
FCF / Net Income (%) 14.11% -30.99% 93.17% 89.16% -347.75% 59.78% 73.75% 92.13%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.1% 2.36% 2.11% 1.83% 1.77% 2.28% 2.28% 2.6%
ROE 2.45% 2.75% 2.54% 2.35% 2.3% 2.97% 3.02% 3.26%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.02x 2.07x 4.39x 5.13x 4.34x 4.13x 4.21x 3.96x
Debt / Free cash flow 10.28x -7.66x 14.93x -64.05x 7.42x 8.19x 6.77x 4.6x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 25.42% 52.29% 20.37% 30.81% 13.34% 43.35% 30.57% 10.12%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 39.84% 78.95% 35.79% 52.09% 23.5% 82.67% 59.45% 19.73%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 401.99% -292.32% 121.61% -650.81% 40.14% 163.83% 95.73% 22.92%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.8624 0.813 0.9308 0.6436 1.295 1.564 1.591 1.074
Change - -5.73% 14.49% -30.86% 101.23% 20.73% 1.74% -32.5%
Dividend per Share 1 0.95 1 1.05 1.1 1.15 1.204 1.26 1.318
Change - 5.26% 5% 4.76% 4.55% 4.73% 4.64% 4.62%
Book Value Per Share 1 49.94 49.44 48.73 47.1 - 46.78 46.84 46.91
Change - -1% -1.43% -3.35% - - 0.12% 0.16%
EPS 1 1.22 1.36 0.45 -0.13 -0.27 1.43 1.472 1.589
Change - 11.48% -66.91% -128.89% -107.69% 629.45% 3% 7.94%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,850,000 5,850,000 5,850,000 5,802,221 5,757,485 5,757,485 5,757,485 5,757,485
Announcement Date 3/10/22 3/9/23 3/14/24 3/13/25 3/12/26 - - -
1HKD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15.5x 15.1x
PBR 0.47x 0.47x
EV / Sales 9.21x 9.11x
Yield 5.43% 5.68%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
22.18HKD
Average target price
28.85HKD
Spread / Average Target
+30.06%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 1972 Stock
  4. SWROY Stock
  5. Financials Swire Properties Limited