Projected Income Statement: Swire Properties Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Swire Properties Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 10,334 18,947 36,679 43,746 39,540 39,356 39,990 43,139
Change - 83.35% 93.59% 19.27% -9.61% -0.47% 1.61% 7.87%
Announcement Date 3/10/22 3/9/23 3/14/24 3/13/25 3/12/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Swire Properties Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 4,040 7,229 2,988 4,445 2,140 7,196 5,910 2,786
Change - 78.94% -58.67% 48.76% -51.86% 236.28% -17.88% -52.85%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,005 -2,473 2,457 -683 5,331 4,894 5,697 8,843
Change - -346.07% 199.35% -127.8% 880.53% -8.2% 16.42% 55.21%
Announcement Date 3/10/22 3/9/23 3/14/24 3/13/25 3/12/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Swire Properties Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 63.82% 66.22% 56.91% 59.14% 56.77% 52.72% 50.98% 53.24%
EBIT Margin (%) 61.58% 59.47% 53.93% 56.12% 53.6% 48.7% 48.13% 51.73%
EBT Margin (%) 58.21% 74.44% 29.78% 10.65% -1.58% 51.03% 52.73% 58.39%
Net margin (%) 44.81% 57.72% 17.98% -5.31% -9.56% 42.61% 43.15% 47.92%
FCF margin (%) 6.32% -17.89% 16.75% -4.73% 33.23% 25.36% 29.59% 44.71%
FCF / Net Income (%) 14.11% -30.99% 93.17% 89.16% -347.75% 59.51% 68.57% 93.31%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.1% 2.36% 2.11% 1.83% 1.77% 2.33% 2.38% 2.62%
ROE 2.45% 2.75% 2.54% 2.35% 2.3% 3.11% 3.15% 3.34%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.02x 2.07x 4.39x 5.13x 4.34x 3.87x 4.07x 4.1x
Debt / Free cash flow 10.28x -7.66x 14.93x -64.05x 7.42x 8.04x 7.02x 4.88x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 25.42% 52.29% 20.37% 30.81% 13.34% 37.29% 30.69% 14.09%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 39.84% 78.95% 35.79% 52.09% 23.5% 70.73% 60.2% 26.46%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 401.99% -292.32% 121.61% -650.81% 40.14% 147.05% 103.73% 31.51%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.8624 0.813 0.9308 0.6436 1.295 1.437 1.494 1.564
Change - -5.73% 14.49% -30.86% 101.23% 10.98% 3.95% 4.68%
Dividend per Share 1 0.95 1 1.05 1.1 1.15 1.207 1.261 1.319
Change - 5.26% 5% 4.76% 4.55% 4.93% 4.46% 4.64%
Book Value Per Share 1 49.94 49.44 48.73 47.1 - 47.03 46.99 47.14
Change - -1% -1.43% -3.35% - - -0.07% 0.32%
EPS 1 1.22 1.36 0.45 -0.13 -0.27 1.46 1.499 1.616
Change - 11.48% -66.91% -128.89% -107.69% 640.68% 2.7% 7.77%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,850,000 5,850,000 5,850,000 5,802,221 5,757,485 5,757,485 5,757,485 5,757,485
Announcement Date 3/10/22 3/9/23 3/14/24 3/13/25 3/12/26 - - -
1HKD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 16.7x 16.2x
PBR 0.52x 0.52x
EV / Sales 9.29x 9.35x
Yield 4.96% 5.18%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
24.32HKD
Average target price
29.03HKD
Spread / Average Target
+19.35%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 1972 Stock
  4. SWROY Stock
  5. Financials Swire Properties Limited