Projected Income Statement: Swire Pacific Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Swire Pacific Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 38,655 56,759 55,136 70,563 65,264 55,947 49,171 40,964
Change - 46.83% -2.86% 27.98% -7.51% -14.28% -12.11% -16.69%
Announcement Date 3/10/22 3/9/23 3/14/24 3/13/25 3/12/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Swire Pacific Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,812 3,114 6,212 8,580 7,553 9,412 9,041 6,531
Change - -18.31% 99.49% 38.12% -11.97% 24.61% -3.94% -27.76%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 7,853 5,042 3,705 6,047 6,998 9,625 9,809 10,181
Change - -35.8% -26.52% 63.21% 15.73% 37.54% 1.91% 3.79%
Announcement Date 3/10/22 3/9/23 3/14/24 3/13/25 3/12/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Swire Pacific Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 17.88% 16.79% 39.91% 17.32% 16.74% 18.33% 17.48% 18.11%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.48% 12.47% 32.29% 12.46% 11.64% 14.23% 13.17% 13.85%
EBT Margin (%) 8.87% 10.12% 34.56% 9.5% 6.45% 18.85% 18.33% 18.35%
Net margin (%) 3.64% 4.58% 30.43% 5.27% 3.25% 13.07% 12.26% 13.21%
FCF margin (%) 8.5% 5.5% 3.91% 7.38% 7.74% 9.79% 9.52% 9.69%
FCF / Net Income (%) 233.44% 120.19% 12.84% 139.94% 238.19% 74.91% 77.63% 73.35%

Profitability

        
ROA 0.77% 0.87% 2.37% 2.01% 2.05% 2.61% 2.35% 2.6%
ROE 1.27% 1.45% 11% 1.6% 1.1% 4.66% 4.66% 4.76%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.34x 3.69x 1.46x 4.97x 4.31x 3.11x 2.73x 2.15x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.92x 11.26x 14.88x 11.67x 9.33x 5.81x 5.01x 4.02x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.13% 3.4% 6.55% 10.47% 8.35% 9.58% 8.77% 6.22%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 23.07% 20.23% 16.41% 60.44% 49.86% 52.24% 50.19% 34.32%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 48.54% 61.76% 167.67% 141.89% 107.93% 97.78% 92.17% 64.15%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 7.802 5.463 6.86 7.403 10.72 15.59 13.73 13.27
Change - -29.98% 25.58% 7.91% 44.85% 45.38% -11.91% -3.38%
Dividend per Share 1 2.6 3 3.2 3.35 3.8 4.258 4.457 4.813
Change - 15.38% 6.67% 4.69% 13.43% 12.04% 4.68% 7.99%
Book Value Per Share 1 177.8 177.8 186 187.4 192.4 203.9 211.1 218.2
Change - -0.02% 4.66% 0.71% 2.72% 5.95% 3.51% 3.39%
EPS 1 2.25 2.81 19.96 3.06 2.17 9.916 9.802 10.53
Change - 24.89% 610.32% -84.67% -29.08% 356.95% -1.15% 7.41%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,501,580 1,453,312 1,437,975 1,376,889 1,348,753 1,348,752 1,348,752 1,348,752
Announcement Date 3/10/22 3/9/23 3/14/24 3/13/25 3/12/26 - - -
1HKD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 10.6x 10.8x
PBR 0.52x 0.5x
EV / Sales 1.85x 1.7x
Yield 4.04% 4.23%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
105.40HKD
Average target price
105.46HKD
Spread / Average Target
+0.06%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 19 Stock
  4. SWI1 Stock
  5. Financials Swire Pacific Limited