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| 104.27 USD | +0.85% |
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90.28 | -13.42% |
| 07-02 | Cumberland Farms joins rush to Wall Street with IPO filing | RE |
| 07-01 | Starbucks Keeps Quarterly Dividend at $0.62 a Share, Payable Aug. 28 to Holders of Record Aug. 14 | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Starbucks Corporation
| Fiscal Period: September | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 29,061 | 32,250 | 35,976 | 36,176 | 37,184 | 37,615 | 38,326 | 40,612 |
| Change | - | 10.98% | 11.55% | 0.56% | 2.79% | 1.16% | 1.89% | 5.96% |
| EBITDA 1 | 6,501 | 6,136 | 7,164 | 6,921 | 5,376 | 5,624 | 6,509 | 7,489 |
| Change | - | -5.62% | 16.76% | -3.39% | -22.32% | 4.62% | 15.73% | 15.06% |
| EBIT 1 | 5,262 | 4,855 | 5,801 | 5,409 | 3,692 | 3,993 | 4,914 | 5,884 |
| Change | - | -7.73% | 19.49% | -6.77% | -31.75% | 8.16% | 23.08% | 19.74% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -469.8 | -482.9 | -550.1 | -562 | -542.6 | -519.4 | -486.1 | -508.2 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 5,357 | 4,232 | 5,402 | 4,970 | 2,507 | 3,322 | 4,500 | 5,390 |
| Change | - | -21% | 27.65% | -8% | -49.55% | 32.5% | 35.45% | 19.78% |
| Net income 1 | 4,199 | 3,282 | 4,124 | 3,761 | 1,856 | 2,294 | 3,376 | 4,021 |
| Change | - | -21.85% | 25.69% | -8.82% | -50.64% | 23.56% | 47.2% | 19.09% |
| Announcement Date | 10/28/21 | 11/3/22 | 11/2/23 | 10/30/24 | 10/29/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Starbucks Corporation
| Fiscal Period: September | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 7,998 | 12,226 | 11,848 | 12,282 | 12,855 | 11,498 | 11,795 | 11,884 |
| Change | - | 52.86% | -3.09% | 3.66% | 4.67% | -10.56% | 2.58% | 0.75% |
| Announcement Date | 10/28/21 | 11/3/22 | 11/2/23 | 10/30/24 | 10/29/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Starbucks Corporation
| Fiscal Period: September | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 1,470 | 1,841 | 2,334 | 2,778 | 2,306 | 1,770 | 2,117 | 2,305 |
| Change | - | 25.26% | 26.74% | 19.02% | -16.99% | -23.24% | 19.6% | 8.89% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 4,519 | 2,556 | 3,675 | 3,318 | 2,442 | 2,837 | 3,559 | 4,101 |
| Change | - | -43.44% | 43.78% | -9.71% | -26.4% | 16.19% | 25.44% | 15.22% |
| Announcement Date | 10/28/21 | 11/3/22 | 11/2/23 | 10/30/24 | 10/29/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Starbucks Corporation
| Fiscal Period: September | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 22.37% | 19.03% | 19.91% | 19.13% | 14.46% | 14.95% | 16.98% | 18.44% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 18.11% | 15.05% | 16.13% | 14.95% | 9.93% | 10.61% | 12.82% | 14.49% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 18.43% | 13.12% | 15.02% | 13.74% | 6.74% | 8.83% | 11.74% | 13.27% |
| Net margin (%) | 14.45% | 10.18% | 11.46% | 10.4% | 4.99% | 6.1% | 8.81% | 9.9% |
| FCF margin (%) | 15.55% | 7.93% | 10.22% | 9.17% | 6.57% | 7.54% | 9.29% | 10.1% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 107.62% | 77.89% | 89.1% | 88.23% | 131.54% | 123.69% | 105.41% | 101.98% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 13.82% | 11.55% | 14.19% | 12.37% | 5.86% | 8.42% | 10.75% | 12.76% |
| ROE | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.23x | 1.99x | 1.65x | 1.77x | 2.39x | 2.04x | 1.81x | 1.59x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 1.77x | 4.78x | 3.22x | 3.7x | 5.26x | 4.05x | 3.31x | 2.9x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 5.06% | 5.71% | 6.49% | 7.68% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.52% | 5.68% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 22.61% | 30.01% | 32.57% | 40.13% | 42.88% | 31.46% | 32.52% | 30.78% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 32.53% | 72.04% | 63.5% | 83.71% | 94.41% | 62.37% | 59.47% | 56.21% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 5.052 | 3.797 | 5.219 | 5.378 | 4.165 | 4.057 | 4.683 | 5.347 |
| Change | - | -24.84% | 37.44% | 3.04% | -22.55% | -2.59% | 15.43% | 14.16% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 2.29 | 2 | 2.16 | 2.32 | 2.45 | 2.519 | 2.615 | 2.698 |
| Change | - | -12.66% | 8% | 7.41% | 5.6% | 2.81% | 3.81% | 3.19% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | -4.51 | -7.58 | -6.997 | -6.572 | -7.122 | -7.461 | -7.335 | -6.702 |
| Change | - | -68.09% | 7.69% | 6.08% | -8.37% | -4.77% | 1.69% | 8.63% |
| EPS 1 | 3.54 | 2.83 | 3.58 | 3.31 | 1.63 | 2.019 | 2.977 | 3.559 |
| Change | - | -20.06% | 26.5% | -7.54% | -50.76% | 23.88% | 47.4% | 19.56% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,179,100 | 1,147,400 | 1,145,400 | 1,133,200 | 1,136,700 | 1,139,700 | 1,139,700 | 1,139,700 |
| Announcement Date | 10/28/21 | 11/3/22 | 11/2/23 | 10/30/24 | 10/29/25 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 51.6x | 35x |
| PBR | -14x | -14.2x |
| EV / Sales | 3.46x | 3.41x |
| Yield | 2.42% | 2.51% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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