Projected Income Statement: Southwest Airlines Co.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Southwest Airlines Co.

Forecast Balance Sheet - Southwest Airlines Co.
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -4,777 -4,204 -3,467 -2,026 1,670 4,783 4,648 4,250
Change - 11.99% 17.53% 41.56% 182.43% 186.41% -2.82% -8.56%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/30/25 1/28/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Southwest Airlines Co.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 505 3,924 3,520 2,054 2,673 3,327 3,615 3,484
Change - 677.03% -10.3% -41.65% 30.14% 24.47% 8.65% -3.62%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,817 -134 -356 -1,592 -831 86.33 1,251 1,089
Change - -107.37% -165.67% -347.19% 47.8% 110.39% 1,349.5% -13%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/30/25 1/28/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Southwest Airlines Co.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -0.06% 10.38% 9.28% 7.69% 7.48% 10.35% 12.85% 14.27%
EBIT Margin (%) -8.11% 4.7% 3.45% 1.66% 1.92% 5.39% 7.55% 9.07%
EBT Margin (%) 8.39% 3.06% 2.59% 2.18% 2.01% 4.76% 7.91% 9.31%
Net margin (%) 6.19% 2.26% 1.91% 1.69% 1.57% 3.63% 5.93% 6.92%
FCF margin (%) 11.51% -0.56% -1.36% -5.79% -2.96% 0.26% 3.57% 3.03%
FCF / Net Income (%) 185.98% -24.86% -71.49% -342.37% -188.44% 7.16% 60.28% 43.8%

Profitability

        
ROA -3.58% 2.02% 2.74% 1.32% 1.63% 4.73% 8.13% 7.71%
ROE -13.18% 6.85% 9.29% 4.46% 5.59% 18.74% 28.13% 24.95%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - 0.8x 1.39x 1.03x 0.83x
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - -2.01x 55.4x 3.71x 3.9x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.2% 16.48% 13.49% 7.47% 9.52% 10.01% 10.32% 9.69%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -5,611.11% 158.8% 145.33% 97.16% 127.35% 96.74% 80.36% 67.92%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 27.79% -2,928.36% -988.76% -129.02% -321.66% 3,853.77% 288.88% 320.02%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.813 5.903 4.944 0.7185 3.301 6.345 8.62 9.203
Change - 54.83% -16.26% -85.47% 359.44% 92.2% 35.87% 6.75%
Dividend per Share 1 - - 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.7211 0.754 0.79
Change - - - 0% 0% 0.15% 4.56% 4.77%
Book Value Per Share 1 17.59 18.02 17.67 17.44 14.78 16.7 17.53 23.46
Change - 2.45% -1.94% -1.29% -15.28% 12.96% 5% 33.84%
EPS 1 1.61 0.87 0.81 0.76 0.79 2.706 4.288 5.208
Change - -45.96% -6.9% -6.17% 3.95% 242.59% 58.44% 21.46%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 591,920 593,752 596,115 599,737 517,155 489,208 489,208 489,208
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/30/25 1/28/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 14.7x 9.25x
PBR 2.37x 2.26x
EV / Sales 0.73x 0.69x
Yield 1.82% 1.9%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Southwest Airlines Co.


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Southwest Airlines Co.
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Southwest Airlines Co.
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
MarketScreener Ratings - Southwest Airlines Co.
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
39.65USD
Average target price
49.18USD
Spread / Average Target
+24.03%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Southwest Airlines Co.
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