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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 70,970.00 JPY | -2.73% |
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+2.51% | +30.32% |
| 06-10 | Japan governance reforms set to prise open $1.8 trillion cash hoard | RE |
| 06-04 | SMC's Growth Story, Missing Profits |  |
Projected Income Statement: SMC Corporation
| Fiscal Period: March | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 727,397 | 824,772 | 776,873 | 792,108 | 842,500 | 987,779 | 1,075,518 | 1,126,808 |
| Change | - | 13.39% | -5.81% | 1.96% | 6.36% | 17.24% | 8.88% | 4.77% |
| EBITDA 1 | 248,414 | 283,967 | 229,581 | 224,552 | 235,300 | 294,293 | 319,005 | 336,826 |
| Change | - | 14.31% | -19.15% | -2.19% | 4.79% | 25.07% | 8.4% | 5.59% |
| EBIT 1 | 227,857 | 258,200 | 196,226 | 190,244 | 190,500 | 230,421 | 254,194 | 266,615 |
| Change | - | 13.32% | -24% | -3.05% | 0.13% | 20.96% | 10.32% | 4.89% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -182 | -105 | -82 | -74 | -508 | -100 | -150 | -150 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 272,851 | 308,777 | 252,653 | 211,068 | 236,989 | 257,235 | 280,249 | 298,496 |
| Change | - | 13.17% | -18.18% | -16.46% | 12.28% | 8.54% | 8.95% | 6.51% |
| Net income 1 | 192,991 | 224,609 | 178,321 | 156,344 | 167,300 | 183,378 | 200,441 | 210,860 |
| Change | - | 16.38% | -20.61% | -12.32% | 7.01% | 9.61% | 9.31% | 5.2% |
| Announcement Date | 5/13/22 | 5/15/23 | 5/14/24 | 5/14/25 | 5/14/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: SMC Corporation
| Fiscal Period: March | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -685,510 | -611,310 | -498,220 | -650,738 | -658,778 | -674,320 | -709,696 | -777,657 |
| Change | - | 10.82% | 18.5% | -30.61% | -1.24% | -2.36% | -5.25% | -9.58% |
| Announcement Date | 5/13/22 | 5/15/23 | 5/14/24 | 5/14/25 | 5/14/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: SMC Corporation
| Fiscal Period: March | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 77,588 | 81,592 | 102,347 | 106,739 | 152,701 | 98,571 | 76,612 | 73,824 |
| Change | - | 5.16% | 25.44% | 4.29% | 43.06% | -35.45% | -22.28% | -3.64% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 39,878 | 14,531 | -33,693 | 231,890 | 81,406 | 119,160 | 155,321 | 164,416 |
| Change | - | -63.56% | -331.87% | 788.24% | -64.89% | 46.38% | 30.35% | 5.86% |
| Announcement Date | 5/13/22 | 5/15/23 | 5/14/24 | 5/14/25 | 5/14/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: SMC Corporation
| Fiscal Period: March | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 34.15% | 34.43% | 29.55% | 28.35% | 27.93% | 29.79% | 29.66% | 29.89% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 31.32% | 31.31% | 25.26% | 24.02% | 22.61% | 23.33% | 23.63% | 23.66% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 37.51% | 37.44% | 32.52% | 26.65% | 28.13% | 26.04% | 26.06% | 26.49% |
| Net margin (%) | 26.53% | 27.23% | 22.95% | 19.74% | 19.86% | 18.56% | 18.64% | 18.71% |
| FCF margin (%) | 5.48% | 1.76% | -4.34% | 29.28% | 9.66% | 12.06% | 14.44% | 14.59% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 20.66% | 6.47% | -18.89% | 148.32% | 48.66% | 64.98% | 77.49% | 77.97% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 16.5% | 16.55% | 12.48% | 10.01% | 10.68% | 7.54% | 7.94% | 8.07% |
| ROE | 13.2% | 13.8% | 10% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.59% | 8.97% | 9.08% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 10.67% | 9.89% | 13.17% | 13.48% | 18.12% | 9.98% | 7.12% | 6.55% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 31.23% | 28.73% | 44.58% | 47.53% | 64.9% | 33.49% | 24.02% | 21.92% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 194.56% | 561.5% | -303.76% | 46.03% | 187.58% | 82.72% | 49.32% | 44.9% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 3,235 | 3,840 | 3,284 | 2,981 | 3,348 | 4,119 | 4,024 | 4,286 |
| Change | - | 18.69% | -14.46% | -9.24% | 12.3% | 23.03% | -2.31% | 6.53% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 750 | 900 | 950 | 1,000 | 1,000 | 1,056 | 1,157 | 1,210 |
| Change | - | 20% | 5.56% | 5.26% | 0% | 5.58% | 9.56% | 4.61% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 23,808 | 26,332 | 29,339 | 30,255 | 33,499 | 34,166 | 35,858 | 38,116 |
| Change | - | 10.6% | 11.42% | 3.12% | 10.72% | 1.99% | 4.95% | 6.3% |
| EPS 1 | 2,924 | 3,445 | 2,767 | 2,445 | 2,640 | 2,896 | 3,171 | 3,385 |
| Change | - | 17.81% | -19.67% | -11.65% | 7.99% | 9.71% | 9.49% | 6.74% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 65,340 | 64,501 | 64,179 | 63,734 | 63,139 | 62,869 | 62,869 | 62,869 |
| Announcement Date | 5/13/22 | 5/15/23 | 5/14/24 | 5/14/25 | 5/14/26 | - | - | - |
| 2027 * | 2028 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 24.5x | 22.4x |
| PBR | 2.08x | 1.98x |
| EV / Sales | 3.83x | 3.49x |
| Yield | 1.49% | 1.63% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Investor
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Global
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Quality
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ESG MSCI
The MSCI ESG score assesses a company’s environmental, social, and governance practices relative to its industry peers. Companies are rated from CCC (laggard) to AAA (leader). This rating helps investors incorporate sustainability risks and opportunities into their investment decisions.
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