Projected Income Statement: Smartgroup Corporation Ltd

Forecast Balance Sheet: Smartgroup Corporation Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -3.77 27.1 31.9 44.6 37.3 16.9 -13.4 -45.3
Change - 818.83% 17.71% 39.81% -16.37% -54.69% -179.29% -238.06%
Announcement Date 2/17/22 2/22/23 2/20/24 2/25/25 2/25/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Smartgroup Corporation Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3.611 5.77 8.522 23.21 26.2 16.07 18.74 19.36
Change - 59.79% 47.69% 172.32% 12.9% -38.66% 16.62% 3.29%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 65.29 60.37 58.71 54.34 71.62 92.15 107.1 113.4
Change - -7.53% -2.75% -7.45% 31.8% 28.67% 16.21% 5.92%
Announcement Date 2/17/22 2/22/23 2/20/24 2/25/25 2/25/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Smartgroup Corporation Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 46.44% 41.57% 39.86% 38.65% 41.09% 41.89% 43.53% 44.29%
EBIT Margin (%) 40.84% 38.15% 36.72% 35.13% 36.5% 36.06% 37.69% 38.54%
EBT Margin (%) 38.4% 37.2% 35.02% 35.21% 35.26% 35.45% 37.24% 38.13%
Net margin (%) 26.52% 26.16% 24.6% 24.72% 24.11% 24.29% 25.7% 26.43%
FCF margin (%) 29.44% 26.87% 23.33% 17.77% 21.75% 25.42% 28.13% 28.79%
FCF / Net Income (%) 111.01% 102.71% 94.84% 71.87% 90.2% 104.66% 109.43% 108.95%

Profitability

        
ROA 17.02% 15.04% 15.35% 12.33% 11.66% 12.63% 13.97% 14.03%
ROE 25.88% 24.16% 26.11% 28.84% 30% 30.88% 32.07% 31.7%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.29x 0.32x 0.38x 0.28x 0.11x - -
Debt / Free cash flow - 0.45x 0.54x 0.82x 0.52x 0.18x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.63% 2.57% 3.39% 7.59% 7.96% 4.43% 4.92% 4.91%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 3.51% 6.18% 8.5% 19.63% 19.36% 10.58% 11.31% 11.09%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 5.53% 9.56% 14.52% 42.71% 36.58% 17.44% 17.5% 17.07%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.5319 0.51 0.518 0.5791 0.721 0.7381 0.8648 0.8905
Change - -4.12% 1.57% 11.8% 24.5% 2.37% 17.16% 2.97%
Dividend per Share 1 0.365 0.32 0.315 0.375 0.41 0.5036 0.5489 0.5837
Change - -12.33% -1.56% 19.05% 9.33% 22.83% 9% 6.35%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.056 1.853 1.879 1.983 2.044 2.206 2.386 2.59
Change - -9.86% 1.39% 5.55% 3.05% 7.95% 8.18% 8.54%
EPS 1 0.454 0.453 0.4661 0.58 0.5856 0.6607 0.7316 0.779
Change - -0.22% 2.89% 24.43% 0.96% 12.83% 10.74% 6.46%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 129,475 129,554 129,798 129,654 129,763 129,978 129,978 129,978
Announcement Date 2/17/22 2/22/23 2/20/24 2/25/25 2/25/26 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 17.5x 15.8x
PBR 5.25x 4.86x
EV / Sales 4.2x 3.92x
Yield 4.35% 4.74%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
11.59AUD
Average target price
11.48AUD
Spread / Average Target
-0.92%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. SIQ Stock
  4. Financials Smartgroup Corporation Ltd
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