Projected Income Statement: Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/19/23 4/25/24 4/24/25 4/22/26 - - -
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
CAPEX 1 765.3 784.5 701.9 1,036 1,162 1,086
Change - 2.51% -10.52% 47.55% 12.24% -6.62%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 - - - - - -
Change - - - - - -
Announcement Date 4/30/21 4/29/22 4/27/23 4/26/24 4/24/25 4/22/26
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

         
EBITDA Margin (%) - - - - - - - - -
EBIT Margin (%) - 50.39% 53.36% 54% 56.29% 57.94% 63.47% 63.38% 64.29%
EBT Margin (%) - 50.42% 53.34% 56.36% 56.2% 57.88% 57.96% 57.76% 57.06%
Net margin (%) - 40.15% 42.82% 45.97% 46.12% 47.59% 47.78% 47.66% 47.32%
FCF margin (%) - - - - - - - - -
FCF / Net Income (%) - - - - - - - - -

Profitability

         
ROA - 0.86% 0.9% 0.91% 0.85% 0.82% 0.76% 0.74% 0.72%
ROE - 11.39% 11.22% 11.34% 10.35% 9.74% 9.57% 9.2% 8.92%

Financial Health

         
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

         
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - - - - - - - - -
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - - - - - - - - -
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - - - - - - - -

Items per share

         
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 - - 0.342 0.379 0.193 0.194 0.4461 0.458 0.46
Change - - - 10.82% -49.08% 0.52% 129.96% 2.67% 0.43%
Book Value Per Share 1 - 9.72 10.56 11.66 12.84 13.26 14.05 14.95 15.88
Change - - 8.64% 10.42% 10.12% 3.27% 5.98% 6.37% 6.24%
EPS 1 - 1.08 1.14 1.26 1.27 1.28 1.302 1.338 1.38
Change - - 5.56% 10.53% 0.79% 0.79% 1.7% 2.76% 3.17%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - 9,644,444 9,644,444 9,644,444 9,644,444 9,644,444 9,644,444 9,644,444 9,644,444
Announcement Date - 1/20/22 1/19/23 4/25/24 4/24/25 4/22/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 6.73x 6.55x
PBR 0.62x 0.59x
EV / Sales 3.22x 3.12x
Yield 5.09% 5.23%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
-
Global
-
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
8.760CNY
Average target price
9.820CNY
Spread / Average Target
+12.10%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 601825 Stock
  4. Financials Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd.