Projected Income Statement: Savola Group Company

Forecast Balance Sheet: Savola Group Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 10,914 10,432 10,942 4,093 4,856 4,869 4,706 4,259
Change - -4.42% 4.89% -62.59% 18.64% 0.26% -3.35% -9.5%
Announcement Date 2/2/22 3/30/23 2/8/24 3/12/25 3/7/26 - - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Savola Group Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 449.8 823.4 909.1 774.4 858.5 931 933.2 871.9
Change - 83.03% 10.42% -14.82% 10.86% 8.44% 0.24% -6.57%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 727.1 281.2 825.4 365.5 210.2 436 942.8 1,218
Change - -61.32% 193.52% -55.72% -42.5% 107.47% 116.23% 29.16%
Announcement Date 2/2/22 3/30/23 2/8/24 3/12/25 3/7/26 - - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Savola Group Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.16% 9.47% 12.46% 10.88% 8.96% 8.86% 8.93% 8.93%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.82% 5.68% 8.27% 6.06% 4.36% 4.27% 4.58% 4.76%
EBT Margin (%) 2.13% 3.68% 4.84% 49.46% 3.3% 3.73% 3.44% 3.74%
Net margin (%) 0.9% 2.65% 3.35% 41.58% 3.35% 2.68% 2.65% 2.87%
FCF margin (%) 2.95% 1% 3.08% 1.52% 0.81% 1.61% 3.35% 4.11%
FCF / Net Income (%) 327.71% 37.86% 91.8% 3.66% 24.03% 60% 126.54% 143.02%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.94% 2.56% 3.02% 38.86% 4.18% 3.41% 3.27% 3.79%
ROE 6.62% 9.09% 10.77% 153.24% 17.25% 11.71% 12.36% 13.08%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 4.36x 3.92x 3.27x 1.57x 2.08x 2.03x 1.87x 1.61x
Debt / Free cash flow 15.01x 37.09x 13.26x 11.2x 23.11x 11.17x 4.99x 3.5x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.82% 2.93% 3.39% 3.23% 3.29% 3.44% 3.32% 2.94%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.95% 30.98% 27.19% 29.67% 36.76% 38.83% 37.16% 32.93%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 61.87% 292.78% 110.14% 211.86% 408.51% 213.52% 98.99% 71.6%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 8.337 7.818 12.3 1.211 3.569 6.287 6.831 7.135
Change - -6.23% 57.33% -90.16% 194.79% 76.18% 8.65% 4.46%
Dividend per Share 1 0.7559 2.494 - - 1.7 1.339 1.431 1.633
Change - 230% - - - -21.21% 6.84% 14.11%
Book Value Per Share 1 57.2 58.42 59.8 15.4 18.47 19.35 20.66 22.14
Change - 2.13% 2.36% -74.25% 19.95% 4.73% 6.76% 7.17%
EPS 1 1.587 5.253 6.387 10.61 2.92 2.205 2.483 2.838
Change - 230.95% 21.58% 66.12% -72.48% -24.48% 12.61% 14.28%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 141,109 141,122 140,714 299,474 299,474 299,474 299,474 299,474
Announcement Date 2/2/22 3/30/23 2/8/24 3/12/25 3/7/26 - - -
1SAR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.6x 10.3x
PBR 1.32x 1.24x
EV / Sales 0.46x 0.44x
Yield 5.25% 5.61%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
25.52SAR
Average target price
32.04SAR
Spread / Average Target
+25.56%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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