Projected Income Statement: SAP SE

Forecast Balance Sheet: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 3,914 4,509 -1,792 -1,695 -3,381 -2,086 -5,262 -13,518
Change - 15.2% -139.74% 5.41% -99.47% 38.3% -152.25% -156.9%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/23/24 1/28/25 1/29/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 825 874 785 797 739 830.1 1,026 1,191
Change - 5.94% -10.18% 1.53% -7.28% 12.32% 23.56% 16.09%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,010 4,348 5,530 4,113 8,239 10,102 11,500 13,089
Change - -13.21% 27.18% -25.62% 100.32% 22.61% 13.84% 13.81%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/23/24 1/28/25 1/29/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.93% 32.16% 32.35% 27.6% 31.88% 31.95% 32.96% 33.8%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.56% 26.02% 27.95% 23.86% 28.31% 29.19% 30.16% 30.94%
EBT Margin (%) 24.6% 10.02% 16.96% 13.94% 28.48% 28.68% 29.47% 30.91%
Net margin (%) 19.33% 5.55% 11.42% 9.14% 20.36% 20.33% 20.48% 21.36%
FCF margin (%) 17.99% 14.08% 17.72% 12.03% 22.39% 25.09% 25.54% 25.94%
FCF / Net Income (%) 93.07% 253.68% 155.16% 131.66% 109.97% 123.45% 124.74% 121.47%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.87% 6.35% 8.32% 7.42% 9.91% 11.04% 11.66% 12.58%
ROE 24.3% 11.52% 14.03% 11.93% 15.89% 17.85% 19.51% 20.71%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.39x 0.45x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.78x 1.04x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.96% 2.83% 2.52% 2.33% 2.01% 2.06% 2.28% 2.36%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.25% 8.8% 7.78% 8.45% 6.3% 6.45% 6.91% 6.98%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 16.47% 20.1% 14.2% 19.38% 8.97% 8.22% 8.92% 9.1%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.261 4.805 5.352 4.477 7.792 9.047 10.91 12.7
Change - -8.67% 11.38% -16.35% 74.06% 16.1% 20.55% 16.42%
Dividend per Share 1 1.95 2.05 2.2 2.35 2.5 2.675 3.005 3.404
Change - 5.13% 7.32% 6.82% 6.38% 6.99% 12.35% 13.29%
Book Value Per Share 1 33.02 34.3 36.95 38.97 38.38 40.09 42.91 48.54
Change - 3.9% 7.7% 5.48% -1.51% 4.45% 7.05% 13.12%
EPS 1 4.46 1.96 3.05 2.65 6.28 7.046 8.145 9.579
Change - -56.05% 55.61% -13.11% 136.98% 12.2% 15.61% 17.6%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,179,579 1,164,814 1,164,184 1,163,363 1,164,600 1,154,200 1,154,200 1,154,200
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/23/24 1/28/25 1/29/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 22.4x 19.4x
PBR 3.93x 3.67x
EV / Sales 4.47x 3.93x
Yield 1.7% 1.91%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
27
Last Close Price
157.68EUR
Average target price
201.55EUR
Spread / Average Target
+27.82%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise