Projected Income Statement: Sagax

Forecast Balance Sheet: Sagax

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 26,269 31,316 30,315 34,847 38,630 44,318 43,962 43,335
Change - 19.21% -3.2% 14.95% 10.86% 14.72% -0.8% -1.43%
Announcement Date 2/11/22 2/17/23 2/22/24 2/21/25 2/9/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Sagax

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 658 715 902 1,129 978 878.3 968.8 981.2
Change - 8.66% 26.15% 25.17% -13.37% -10.19% 10.29% 1.29%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -2,236 2,512 2,663 2,222 2,639 -533.5 2,745 2,960
Change - 212.34% 6.01% -16.56% 18.77% -120.22% 614.53% 7.83%
Announcement Date 2/11/22 2/17/23 2/22/24 2/21/25 2/9/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Sagax

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 77.68% 76.68% 78.02% 79.08% 78.75% 87.46% 88.24% 89.17%
EBIT Margin (%) 164.71% 97.24% 99.72% 100.97% 99.26% 103.54% 101.74% 102.35%
EBT Margin (%) 337.59% 88.68% 3.68% 113.21% 83.02% 99.34% 89.72% 89.33%
Net margin (%) 314.02% 72.93% -0.3% 103.79% 74.94% 80.41% 71.22% 70.9%
FCF margin (%) -71.6% 67.4% 61.67% 43.89% 48.85% -9.46% 45.31% 47.3%
FCF / Net Income (%) -22.8% 92.42% -20,484.62% 42.28% 65.19% -11.76% 63.62% 66.71%

Profitability

        
ROA 17.98% 4.05% 5.14% 6.68% - - - -
ROE 37% 8.4% 10.68% 13.5% 9.6% 10.06% 8.61% 8.22%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 10.83x 10.96x 9x 8.7x 9.08x 8.98x 8.22x 7.77x
Debt / Free cash flow -11.75x 12.47x 11.38x 15.68x 14.64x -83.07x 16.02x 14.64x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 21.07% 19.18% 20.89% 22.3% 18.1% 15.57% 15.99% 15.68%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 27.12% 25.02% 26.77% 28.2% 22.99% 17.8% 18.12% 17.58%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -29.43% 28.46% 33.87% 50.81% 37.06% -164.64% 35.29% 33.15%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - 10.69 10.72 11.03 -
Change - - - - - 0.29% 2.85% -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - 3.7 3.734 3.92 4.044
Change - - - - - 0.91% 4.99% 3.17%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - - 133.4 146.2 159.2
Change - - - - - - 9.61% 8.87%
EPS 1 - - - - - 14.79 16.36 16.72
Change - - - - - - 10.55% 2.25%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - - - - 464,709 494,709 494,709 494,709
Announcement Date - - - - 2/9/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 10.6x 9.6x
PBR 1.18x 1.07x
EV / Sales 18.1x 16.8x
Yield 2.38% 2.5%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
157.00SEK
Average target price
196.50SEK
Spread / Average Target
+25.16%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise