Projected Income Statement: SABIC

Forecast Balance Sheet: SABIC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -8,062 -13,925 -8,760 -3,010 -3,609 -2,714 -4,065 -6,900
Change - -72.72% 37.09% 65.64% -19.9% 24.79% -49.78% -69.74%
Announcement Date 2/9/22 3/7/23 2/27/24 2/26/25 3/4/26 - - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SABIC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 11,563 10,224 10,493 10,200 7,326 10,765 9,555 9,145
Change - -11.58% 2.64% -2.79% -28.18% 46.95% -11.24% -4.29%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 28,742 25,586 13,960 6,158 8,633 5,387 11,388 10,495
Change - -10.98% -45.44% -55.89% 40.19% -37.6% 111.39% -7.85%
Announcement Date 2/9/22 3/7/23 2/27/24 2/26/25 3/4/26 - - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SABIC

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 27.59% 19.43% 13.44% 13.91% 15.34% 15.78% 18.73% 20.29%
EBIT Margin (%) 19.05% 12.03% 2.63% 4.1% 3.75% 5.61% 9.18% 10.6%
EBT Margin (%) 19.48% 13.09% 3.2% 3.16% 1.08% 4.5% 7.54% 9.26%
Net margin (%) 13.17% 8.33% -1.96% 1.1% -22.12% 2.39% 5.22% 6.6%
FCF margin (%) 16.43% 12.89% 9.86% 4.4% 7.41% 4.87% 9.32% 8.43%
FCF / Net Income (%) 124.78% 154.79% -503.97% 399.89% -33.49% 203.97% 178.52% 127.68%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.51% 5.23% -0.91% 0.54% 0.79% 0.86% 2.01% 2.16%
ROE 13.26% 9.03% -1.57% 0.95% 1.45% 3.36% 5.59% 7.42%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.61% 5.15% 7.41% 7.29% 6.29% 9.74% 7.82% 7.35%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 23.96% 26.51% 55.17% 52.39% 40.97% 61.71% 41.74% 36.22%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 40.23% 39.96% 75.17% 165.63% 84.86% 199.82% 83.9% 87.14%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 13.44 11.94 8.151 5.453 5.32 6.956 7.497 8.763
Change - -11.17% -31.72% -33.1% -2.44% 30.75% 7.78% 16.89%
Dividend per Share 1 4 4.25 3.4 3.4 4.5 3.141 3.288 3.404
Change - 6.25% -20% 0% 32.35% -30.21% 4.71% 3.5%
Book Value Per Share 1 59.95 62.02 55.81 52.28 42.91 41.12 40.84 41
Change - 3.45% -10.01% -6.33% -17.93% -4.16% -0.68% 0.4%
EPS 1 7.68 5.51 -0.92 0.51 -8.59 1 2.243 2.917
Change - -28.26% -116.7% 155.43% -1,784.31% 111.64% 124.25% 30.07%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000
Announcement Date 2/9/22 3/7/23 2/27/24 2/26/25 3/4/26 - - -
1SAR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 52.9x 23.6x
PBR 1.29x 1.3x
EV / Sales 1.41x 1.27x
Yield 5.94% 6.22%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
52.90SAR
Average target price
60.88SAR
Spread / Average Target
+15.08%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise