Projected Income Statement: Rexel

Forecast Balance Sheet: Rexel

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,718 1,458 1,962 2,484 2,631 3,937 3,709 3,382
Change - -46.36% 34.57% 26.61% 5.92% 49.62% -5.79% -8.82%
Announcement Date 2/11/22 2/16/23 2/14/24 2/12/25 2/11/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Rexel

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 103.2 125.4 153.3 125.8 136.2 190.7 171.8 181.8
Change - 21.51% 22.25% -17.94% 8.27% 39.99% -9.92% 5.82%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 425.5 502.6 567.7 506 406.1 716.5 725.2 743.5
Change - 18.12% 12.95% -10.87% -19.74% 76.44% 1.22% 2.52%
Announcement Date 2/11/22 2/16/23 2/14/24 2/12/25 2/11/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Rexel

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.21% 9.21% 8.6% 7.86% 8% 8.31% 8.52% 8.7%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.17% 7.32% 6.79% 5.87% 5.96% 6.29% 6.58% 6.83%
EBT Margin (%) 5.3% 6.54% 5.48% 3.31% 4.36% 4.87% 5.25% 5.57%
Net margin (%) 4.07% 4.93% 4.04% 1.77% 3.05% 3.46% 3.81% 4.05%
FCF margin (%) 2.9% 2.69% 2.96% 2.62% 2.09% 3.49% 3.34% 3.28%
FCF / Net Income (%) 71.2% 54.49% 73.28% 148.39% 68.67% 100.88% 87.69% 81.04%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.55% 7.54% 5.83% 4.72% 4.72% 4.97% 5.25% 5.45%
ROE 14.3% 18.74% 14.33% 11.93% 12.36% 13.36% 14.29% 14.45%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.25x 0.85x 1.19x 1.64x 1.69x 2.31x 2.01x 1.71x
Debt / Free cash flow 6.39x 2.9x 3.46x 4.91x 6.48x 5.49x 5.11x 4.55x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.7% 0.67% 0.8% 0.65% 0.7% 0.93% 0.79% 0.8%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.55% 7.28% 9.31% 8.3% 8.77% 11.18% 9.29% 9.21%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 24.25% 24.95% 27% 24.86% 33.54% 26.61% 23.68% 24.45%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.361 2.766 3.131 2.917 2.693 3.064 3.302 3.757
Change - 17.19% 13.19% -6.84% -7.69% 13.79% 7.77% 13.76%
Dividend per Share 1 0.75 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.205 1.287 1.369
Change - 60% 0% 0% 0% 0.4% 6.83% 6.35%
Book Value Per Share 1 14.95 17.44 18.38 18.84 18.81 19.46 20.98 22.72
Change - 16.68% 5.41% 2.46% -0.14% 3.45% 7.83% 8.28%
EPS 1 1.96 3.04 2.57 1.13 1.99 2.399 2.818 3.147
Change - 55.1% -15.46% -56.03% 76.11% 20.56% 17.44% 11.7%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 304,893 302,604 301,362 290,666 292,507 294,212 294,212 294,212
Announcement Date 2/11/22 2/16/23 2/14/24 2/12/25 2/11/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15.6x 13.3x
PBR 1.93x 1.79x
EV / Sales 0.73x 0.68x
Yield 3.21% 3.43%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
37.51EUR
Average target price
41.05EUR
Spread / Average Target
+9.45%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise