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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 65.50 USD | -0.15% |
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-0.32% | +16.20% |
| 07-22 | Barclays Adjusts Price Target on Realty Income to $67 From $68, Maintains Equalweight Rating | MT |
| 07-15 | Jefferies Adjusts Price Target on Realty Income to $71 From $69, Maintains Buy Rating | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Realty Income Corporation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 1,960 | 3,300 | 3,958 | 5,044 | 5,437 | 5,805 | 6,211 | 6,855 |
| Change | - | 68.34% | 19.96% | 27.43% | 7.8% | 6.77% | 7% | 10.36% |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,850 | 2,979 | 3,617 | 4,717 | 5,118 | 5,601 | 6,157 | 6,685 |
| Change | - | 61.03% | 21.44% | 30.38% | 8.51% | 9.43% | 9.94% | 8.57% |
| EBIT 1 | 952 | 1,309 | 1,722 | 2,321 | 2,594 | 2,916 | 3,178 | 3,526 |
| Change | - | 37.44% | 31.62% | 34.76% | 11.76% | 12.43% | 8.99% | 10.95% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -323.6 | -465.2 | -730.4 | -1,017 | -1,135 | -1,226 | -1,412 | -1,485 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 392.4 | 917.6 | 928.9 | 933.9 | 1,155 | 1,621 | 1,814 | 1,991 |
| Change | - | 133.84% | 1.24% | 0.54% | 23.68% | 40.32% | 11.93% | 9.76% |
| Net income 1 | 359.5 | 869.4 | 872.3 | 847.9 | 1,059 | 1,527 | 1,762 | 1,927 |
| Change | - | 141.87% | 0.33% | -2.8% | 24.85% | 44.25% | 15.39% | 9.36% |
| Announcement Date | 2/22/22 | 2/21/23 | 2/20/24 | 2/24/25 | 2/24/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Realty Income Corporation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 15,184 | 17,940 | 21,287 | 25,782 | 29,230 | 32,062 | 34,751 | 36,703 |
| Change | - | 18.15% | 18.66% | 21.12% | 13.37% | 9.69% | 8.39% | 5.62% |
| Announcement Date | 2/22/22 | 2/21/23 | 2/20/24 | 2/24/25 | 2/24/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Realty Income Corporation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 19.08 | 95.51 | 68.69 | 121.4 | 109 | 120 | 128 |
| Change | - | 400.6% | -28.08% | 76.75% | - | 10.09% | 6.67% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 1,303 | 2,468 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Change | - | 89.42% | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 2/22/22 | 2/21/23 | 2/20/24 | 2/24/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Realty Income Corporation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 94.38% | 90.28% | 91.39% | 93.51% | 94.13% | 96.47% | 99.12% | 97.52% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 48.57% | 39.66% | 43.51% | 46.02% | 47.7% | 50.23% | 51.17% | 51.44% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 20.02% | 27.81% | 23.47% | 18.52% | 21.24% | 27.92% | 29.21% | 29.05% |
| Net margin (%) | 18.34% | 26.35% | 22.04% | 16.81% | 19.47% | 26.3% | 28.37% | 28.11% |
| FCF margin (%) | 66.48% | 74.81% | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 362.52% | 283.91% | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 1.13% | 1.87% | 1.62% | 1.34% | 1.49% | 1.94% | 2.14% | 2.26% |
| ROE | 3.34% | 3.23% | 2.83% | 2.36% | 2.7% | 3.64% | 4.05% | 4.34% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 8.21x | 6.02x | 5.88x | 5.47x | 5.71x | 5.72x | 5.64x | 5.49x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 11.65x | 7.27x | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 0.97% | 2.89% | 1.74% | 2.41% | - | 1.88% | 1.93% | 1.87% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 1.03% | 3.21% | 1.9% | 2.57% | - | 1.95% | 1.95% | 1.91% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 1.46% | 3.87% | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 3.188 | 4.188 | - | 4.127 | 4.385 | 4.413 | 4.582 | 4.8 |
| Change | - | 31.38% | - | - | 6.25% | 0.64% | 3.82% | 4.76% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 2.833 | 2.967 | 3.051 | 3.126 | 3.217 | 3.274 | 3.361 | 3.454 |
| Change | - | 4.73% | 2.83% | 2.44% | 2.93% | 1.77% | 2.67% | 2.74% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 42.37 | 43.48 | 43.78 | 43.57 | 42.23 | 43.44 | 43.42 | 42.84 |
| Change | - | 2.63% | 0.67% | -0.48% | -3.08% | 2.86% | -0.05% | -1.32% |
| EPS 1 | 0.87 | 1.42 | 1.26 | 0.98 | 1.17 | 1.561 | 1.77 | 1.866 |
| Change | - | 63.22% | -11.27% | -22.22% | 19.39% | 33.44% | 13.38% | 5.44% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 565,813 | 627,154 | 723,949 | 875,211 | 919,906 | 932,493 | 932,493 | 932,493 |
| Announcement Date | 2/22/22 | 2/21/23 | 2/20/24 | 2/24/25 | 2/24/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 42x | 37.1x |
| PBR | 1.51x | 1.51x |
| EV / Sales | 16.1x | 15.4x |
| Yield | 4.99% | 5.12% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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