Projected Income Statement: Patrick Industries, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Patrick Industries, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt - 1,261 1,014 1,284 1,263 - -
Change - - -19.59% 26.63% -1.64% - -
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - -
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Patrick Industries, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 64.8 79.88 58.99 75.68 82.92 75.82 78.93
Change - 23.27% -26.16% 28.3% 9.57% -8.56% 4.11%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 187.3 331.9 349.7 251.2 246.5 251.6 304.2
Change - 77.15% 5.37% -28.18% -1.86% 2.07% 20.92%
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Patrick Industries, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

       
EBITDA Margin (%) 11.19% 13.17% 12.25% 12.16% 11.85% 11.84% 12.46%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.62% 10.16% 7.5% 6.94% 6.99% 6.88% 7.8%
EBT Margin (%) 7.2% 8.92% 5.51% 4.81% 4.48% 4.96% 6.02%
Net margin (%) 5.52% 6.72% 4.12% 3.72% 3.42% 3.78% 4.56%
FCF margin (%) 4.59% 6.8% 10.08% 6.76% 6.24% 6.49% 7.41%
FCF / Net Income (%) 83.29% 101.11% 244.71% 181.47% 182.51% 171.77% 162.51%

Profitability

       
ROA 10.21% 12.08% 5.35% - - - -
ROE 33.9% 38.1% 14.29% 12.73% 11.68% 12.72% -

Financial Health

       
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 1.96x 2.39x 2.84x 2.7x - -
Debt / Free cash flow - 3.8x 2.9x 5.11x 5.12x - -

Capital Intensity

       
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.59% 1.64% 1.7% 2.04% 2.1% 1.96% 1.92%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 14.2% 12.42% 13.89% 16.76% 17.72% 16.53% 15.42%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 34.59% 24.07% 16.87% 30.13% 33.64% 30.14% 25.94%

Items per share

       
Cash flow per share 1 - 11.22 12.37 9.699 9.51 10.18 10.24
Change - - 10.28% -21.59% -1.94% 7.07% 0.56%
Dividend per Share 1 0.78 0.96 1.267 1.5 1.67 1.842 1.89
Change - 23.08% 31.94% 18.42% 11.33% 10.33% 2.58%
Book Value Per Share 1 21.82 28.67 31.45 33.48 34.19 - -
Change - 31.4% 9.7% 6.48% 2.11% - -
EPS 1 6.42 8.993 4.333 4.11 3.9 4.27 5.404
Change - 40.08% -51.82% -5.15% -5.11% 9.5% 26.54%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 35,484 33,996 33,202 33,600 33,276 33,157 33,157
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 19.3x 15.3x
PBR - -
EV / Sales 0.71x 0.67x
Yield 2.23% 2.29%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
-
Global
-
Quality
-
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
82.55USD
Average target price
109.20USD
Spread / Average Target
+32.28%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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