Company Valuation: Packaging Corporation of America

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 12,842 11,752 14,491 20,075 18,431 20,205 - -
Change - -8.49% 23.31% 38.53% -8.19% 9.63% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 14,869 14,139 16,230 21,769 21,798 23,506 23,232 23,086
Change - -4.91% 14.79% 34.12% 0.13% 7.84% -1.16% -0.63%
P/E 15.4x 11.6x 19.2x 25.2x 24x 22.9x 17.7x 16.6x
PBR 3.53x 3.23x 3.65x 4.58x 4x 4.09x 3.69x 3.34x
PEG - 0.5x -0.8x 4.75x -6.12x 1.4x 0.6x 2.5x
Capitalization / Revenue 1.66x 1.39x 1.86x 2.39x 2.05x 2.01x 1.9x 1.85x
EV / Revenue 1.92x 1.67x 2.08x 2.6x 2.42x 2.34x 2.19x 2.11x
EV / EBITDA 8.93x 7.5x 10.1x 13.3x 11.7x 11.2x 9.81x 9.36x
EV / EBIT 11.9x 9.86x 14.7x 19.5x 17.3x 17.1x 14x 13.2x
EV / FCF 30.4x 21.1x 19.2x 41.7x 29.9x 30.6x 21.2x 18.7x
FCF Yield 3.29% 4.74% 5.21% 2.4% 3.34% 3.27% 4.72% 5.35%
Dividend per Share 2 4 4.75 5 5 5 5.191 5.353 5.405
Rate of return 2.94% 3.71% 3.07% 2.22% 2.42% 2.27% 2.35% 2.37%
EPS 2 8.83 11.03 8.48 8.93 8.58 9.986 12.93 13.78
Distribution rate 45.3% 43.1% 59% 56% 58.3% 52% 41.4% 39.2%
Net sales 1 7,730 8,478 7,802 8,383 8,989 10,066 10,624 10,948
EBITDA 1 1,665 1,886 1,604 1,637 1,862 2,101 2,368 2,466
EBIT 1 1,253 1,434 1,101 1,114 1,258 1,375 1,657 1,753
Net income 1 841.1 1,030 759 799.5 768.9 890.8 1,145 1,207
Net Debt 1 2,028 2,388 1,739 1,694 3,366 3,301 3,027 2,880
Reference price 2 136.15 127.91 162.91 225.13 206.23 228.19 228.19 228.19
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 94,319 91,873 88,953 89,169 89,371 88,545 - -
Announcement Date 1/26/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/28/25 1/27/26 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
22.85x2.34x11.19x2.27% 20.21B
20.01x1.11x7x4.26% 22.56B
27.03x1.13x8.6x4.97% 19.25B
21.53x2.33x9.66x1.82% 6.39B
13.76x1.24x7.16x3.92% 5.41B
19.13x2.3x13.47x3.58% 5.17B
27.19x0.8x7.39x2.25% 4.31B
20.11x1.32x9.14x2.28% 3.86B
22.11x0.93x7.4x4.03% 3.23B
12.08x1x6.7x4.32% 3.22B
Average 20.58x 1.45x 8.77x 3.37% 9.36B
Weighted average by Cap. 21.89x 1.52x 8.89x 3.57%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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