Company Valuation: Packaging Corporation of America

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 12,842 11,752 14,491 20,075 18,431 22,100 - -
Change - -8.49% 23.31% 38.53% -8.19% 19.91% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 14,869 14,139 16,230 21,769 21,798 25,429 25,139 24,905
Change - -4.91% 14.79% 34.12% 0.13% 16.66% -1.14% -0.93%
P/E 15.4x 11.6x 19.2x 25.2x 24x 25.1x 18.2x 17.1x
PBR 3.53x 3.23x 3.65x 4.58x 4x 4.5x 4.01x 3.56x
PEG - 0.5x -0.8x 4.75x -6.12x 1.6x 0.5x 2.53x
Capitalization / Revenue 1.66x 1.39x 1.86x 2.39x 2.05x 2.19x 2.05x 1.99x
EV / Revenue 1.92x 1.67x 2.08x 2.6x 2.42x 2.52x 2.34x 2.24x
EV / EBITDA 8.93x 7.5x 10.1x 13.3x 11.7x 12.1x 10.3x 9.87x
EV / EBIT 11.9x 9.86x 14.7x 19.5x 17.3x 18.4x 14.7x 13.8x
EV / FCF 30.4x 21.1x 19.2x 41.7x 29.9x 33.2x 22.6x 17.1x
FCF Yield 3.29% 4.74% 5.21% 2.4% 3.34% 3.02% 4.42% 5.85%
Dividend per Share 2 4 4.75 5 5 5 5.362 5.521 5.458
Rate of return 2.94% 3.71% 3.07% 2.22% 2.42% 2.15% 2.21% 2.19%
EPS 2 8.83 11.03 8.48 8.93 8.58 9.929 13.69 14.62
Distribution rate 45.3% 43.1% 59% 56% 58.3% 54% 40.3% 37.3%
Net sales 1 7,730 8,478 7,802 8,383 8,989 10,080 10,765 11,107
EBITDA 1 1,665 1,886 1,604 1,637 1,862 2,099 2,440 2,524
EBIT 1 1,253 1,434 1,101 1,114 1,258 1,384 1,709 1,808
Net income 1 841.1 1,030 759 799.5 768.9 884.8 1,211 1,277
Net Debt 1 2,028 2,388 1,739 1,694 3,366 3,328 3,039 2,805
Reference price 2 136.15 127.91 162.91 225.13 206.23 249.56 249.56 249.56
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 94,319 91,873 88,953 89,169 89,371 88,557 - -
Announcement Date 1/26/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/28/25 1/27/26 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
25.14x2.52x12.11x2.15% 22.1B
25.18x1.19x7.65x3.82% 25.24B
32.2x1.23x9.35x4.45% 21.37B
19.86x2.26x9.25x1.9% 6.31B
14.75x1.26x7.3x3.68% 5.77B
-178.76x0.88x8.1x2.1% 5.16B
17.87x2.19x12.99x3.8% 4.89B
7.11x1.29x9.22x1.57% 3.94B
18.09x1.27x8.31x2.71% 3.73B
15.04x1.12x7.5x3.69% 3.88B
Average -0.35x 1.52x 9.18x 2.99% 10.24B
Weighted average by Cap. 13.76x 1.59x 9.41x 3.25%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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