Projected Income Statement: Packaging Corporation of America

Forecast Balance Sheet: Packaging Corporation of America

Forecast Balance Sheet - Packaging Corporation of America
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,028 2,388 1,739 1,694 3,367 3,333 3,046 2,807
Change - 17.75% -27.18% -2.59% 98.76% -1% -8.61% -7.85%
Announcement Date 1/26/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/28/25 1/27/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Packaging Corporation of America

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 605.1 824.2 469.7 669.7 828.9 851.9 801.5 791.9
Change - 36.21% -43.01% 42.58% 23.77% 2.77% -5.91% -1.19%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 489 670.8 845.4 521.5 728.6 756.8 1,092 1,307
Change - 37.18% 26.03% -38.31% 39.71% 3.86% 44.36% 19.62%
Announcement Date 1/26/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/28/25 1/27/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Packaging Corporation of America

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.54% 22.24% 20.56% 19.53% 20.71% 20.8% 23.04% 22.89%
EBIT Margin (%) 16.21% 16.92% 14.11% 13.28% 13.99% 13.7% 16.16% 16.51%
EBT Margin (%) 14.34% 16.1% 13% 12.7% 11.43% 11.7% 15.15% 15.43%
Net margin (%) 10.88% 12.15% 9.73% 9.54% 8.55% 8.61% 11.62% 11.87%
FCF margin (%) 6.33% 7.91% 10.84% 6.22% 8.11% 7.51% 10.02% 11.64%
FCF / Net Income (%) 58.14% 65.14% 111.38% 65.23% 94.76% 87.18% 86.22% 98.04%

Profitability

        
ROA 11.02% 13% 9.1% 9.13% 8.18% 8.97% 11.49% 11.29%
ROE 24.55% 28.31% 20.47% 21.54% 17.08% 19.62% 23.37% 22.13%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.22x 1.27x 1.08x 1.03x 1.81x 1.59x 1.21x 1.09x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.15x 3.56x 2.06x 3.25x 4.62x 4.4x 2.79x 2.15x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.83% 9.72% 6.02% 7.99% 9.22% 8.45% 7.35% 7.05%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 36.33% 43.71% 29.29% 40.91% 44.53% 40.64% 31.92% 30.81%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 123.74% 122.87% 55.56% 128.42% 113.77% 112.57% 73.37% 60.6%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11.58 16.13 14.7 13.31 17.38 17.8 18.73 16.36
Change - 39.3% -8.85% -9.46% 30.6% 2.43% 5.21% -12.68%
Dividend per Share 1 4 4.75 5 5 5 5.314 5.521 5.458
Change - 18.75% 5.26% 0% 0% 6.28% 3.9% -1.16%
Book Value Per Share 1 38.56 39.56 44.66 49.21 51.55 55.34 62.19 70.27
Change - 2.58% 12.9% 10.17% 4.76% 7.35% 12.38% 12.99%
EPS 1 8.83 11.03 8.48 8.93 8.58 9.738 14.32 15.26
Change - 24.92% -23.12% 5.31% -3.92% 13.49% 47.08% 6.53%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 94,319 91,873 88,953 89,169 89,371 88,557 88,557 88,557
Announcement Date 1/26/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/28/25 1/27/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 24.2x 16.5x
PBR 4.26x 3.79x
EV / Sales 2.4x 2.2x
Yield 2.25% 2.34%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Packaging Corporation of America


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Packaging Corporation of America
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Packaging Corporation of America
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
B
MarketScreener Ratings - Packaging Corporation of America
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
236.00USD
Average target price
261.10USD
Spread / Average Target
+10.64%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Packaging Corporation of America
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