Projected Income Statement: Packaging Corporation of America

Forecast Balance Sheet: Packaging Corporation of America

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,028 2,388 1,739 1,694 3,367 3,328 3,039 2,805
Change - 17.75% -27.18% -2.59% 98.76% -1.14% -8.68% -7.7%
Announcement Date 1/26/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/28/25 1/27/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Packaging Corporation of America

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 605.1 824.2 469.7 669.7 828.9 851.9 801.5 789.4
Change - 36.21% -43.01% 42.58% 23.77% 2.77% -5.91% -1.51%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 489 670.8 845.4 521.5 728.6 766.7 1,112 1,457
Change - 37.18% 26.03% -38.31% 39.71% 5.23% 45.07% 30.99%
Announcement Date 1/26/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/28/25 1/27/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Packaging Corporation of America

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.54% 22.24% 20.56% 19.53% 20.71% 20.82% 22.66% 22.73%
EBIT Margin (%) 16.21% 16.92% 14.11% 13.28% 13.99% 13.73% 15.87% 16.27%
EBT Margin (%) 14.34% 16.1% 13% 12.7% 11.43% 11.74% 14.72% 15.07%
Net margin (%) 10.88% 12.15% 9.73% 9.54% 8.55% 8.78% 11.25% 11.5%
FCF margin (%) 6.33% 7.91% 10.84% 6.22% 8.11% 7.61% 10.33% 13.12%
FCF / Net Income (%) 58.14% 65.14% 111.38% 65.23% 94.76% 86.66% 91.85% 114.1%

Profitability

        
ROA 11.02% 13% 9.1% 9.13% 8.18% 9.01% 11.44% 11.2%
ROE 24.55% 28.31% 20.47% 21.54% 17.08% 19.7% 23.25% 21.93%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.22x 1.27x 1.08x 1.03x 1.81x 1.59x 1.25x 1.11x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.15x 3.56x 2.06x 3.25x 4.62x 4.34x 2.73x 1.92x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.83% 9.72% 6.02% 7.99% 9.22% 8.45% 7.45% 7.11%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 36.33% 43.71% 29.29% 40.91% 44.53% 40.59% 32.85% 31.27%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 123.74% 122.87% 55.56% 128.42% 113.77% 111.11% 72.06% 54.18%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11.58 16.13 14.7 13.31 17.38 17.71 18.15 16.36
Change - 39.3% -8.85% -9.46% 30.6% 1.85% 2.5% -9.87%
Dividend per Share 1 4 4.75 5 5 5 5.362 5.521 5.458
Change - 18.75% 5.26% 0% 0% 7.25% 2.97% -1.16%
Book Value Per Share 1 38.56 39.56 44.66 49.21 51.55 55.43 62.21 70.07
Change - 2.58% 12.9% 10.17% 4.76% 7.54% 12.23% 12.63%
EPS 1 8.83 11.03 8.48 8.93 8.58 9.929 13.69 14.62
Change - 24.92% -23.12% 5.31% -3.92% 15.72% 37.91% 6.77%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 94,319 91,873 88,953 89,169 89,371 88,557 88,557 88,557
Announcement Date 1/26/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/28/25 1/27/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 22.9x 16.6x
PBR 4.1x 3.65x
EV / Sales 2.33x 2.15x
Yield 2.36% 2.43%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
227.28USD
Average target price
260.50USD
Spread / Average Target
+14.62%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. PKG Stock
  4. Financials Packaging Corporation of America
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