Projected Income Statement: Packaging Corporation of America

Forecast Balance Sheet: Packaging Corporation of America

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,028 2,388 1,739 1,694 3,367 3,328 3,039 2,805
Change - 17.75% -27.18% -2.59% 98.76% -1.14% -8.68% -7.7%
Announcement Date 1/26/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/28/25 1/27/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Packaging Corporation of America

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 605.1 824.2 469.7 669.7 828.9 851.9 801.5 789.4
Change - 36.21% -43.01% 42.58% 23.77% 2.77% -5.91% -1.51%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 489 670.8 845.4 521.5 728.6 766.7 1,112 1,457
Change - 37.18% 26.03% -38.31% 39.71% 5.23% 45.07% 30.99%
Announcement Date 1/26/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/28/25 1/27/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Packaging Corporation of America

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.54% 22.24% 20.56% 19.53% 20.71% 20.82% 22.66% 22.73%
EBIT Margin (%) 16.21% 16.92% 14.11% 13.28% 13.99% 13.73% 15.87% 16.27%
EBT Margin (%) 14.34% 16.1% 13% 12.7% 11.43% 11.74% 14.72% 15.07%
Net margin (%) 10.88% 12.15% 9.73% 9.54% 8.55% 8.78% 11.25% 11.5%
FCF margin (%) 6.33% 7.91% 10.84% 6.22% 8.11% 7.61% 10.33% 13.12%
FCF / Net Income (%) 58.14% 65.14% 111.38% 65.23% 94.76% 86.66% 91.85% 114.1%

Profitability

        
ROA 11.02% 13% 9.1% 9.13% 8.18% 9.01% 11.44% 11.2%
ROE 24.55% 28.31% 20.47% 21.54% 17.08% 19.7% 23.25% 21.93%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.22x 1.27x 1.08x 1.03x 1.81x 1.59x 1.25x 1.11x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.15x 3.56x 2.06x 3.25x 4.62x 4.34x 2.73x 1.92x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.83% 9.72% 6.02% 7.99% 9.22% 8.45% 7.45% 7.11%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 36.33% 43.71% 29.29% 40.91% 44.53% 40.59% 32.85% 31.27%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 123.74% 122.87% 55.56% 128.42% 113.77% 111.11% 72.06% 54.18%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11.58 16.13 14.7 13.31 17.38 17.71 18.15 16.36
Change - 39.3% -8.85% -9.46% 30.6% 1.85% 2.5% -9.87%
Dividend per Share 1 4 4.75 5 5 5 5.362 5.521 5.458
Change - 18.75% 5.26% 0% 0% 7.25% 2.97% -1.16%
Book Value Per Share 1 38.56 39.56 44.66 49.21 51.55 55.43 62.21 70.07
Change - 2.58% 12.9% 10.17% 4.76% 7.54% 12.23% 12.63%
EPS 1 8.83 11.03 8.48 8.93 8.58 9.929 13.69 14.62
Change - 24.92% -23.12% 5.31% -3.92% 15.72% 37.91% 6.77%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 94,319 91,873 88,953 89,169 89,371 88,557 88,557 88,557
Announcement Date 1/26/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/28/25 1/27/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 25.5x 18.5x
PBR 4.56x 4.06x
EV / Sales 2.55x 2.36x
Yield 2.12% 2.18%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
252.79USD
Average target price
260.50USD
Spread / Average Target
+3.05%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. PKG Stock
  4. P1KG34 Stock
  5. Financials Packaging Corporation of America