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End-of-day quote
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 17.50 THB | +0.57% |
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-1.13% | +8.70% |
| 05-20 | CGS International Upgrades Osotspa to Add from Hold; Price Target is THB16.30 | MT |
| 05-14 | Tisco Securities Upgrades Osotspa to Buy from Hold; Price Target is THB19 | MT |
Company Valuation: Osotspa
Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap 1 | 102,878 | 84,856 | 66,082 | 62,478 | 48,360 | 52,566 | - | - |
| Change | - | -17.52% | -22.12% | -5.45% | -22.6% | 8.7% | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 101,166 | 85,277 | 67,101 | 62,919 | 45,655 | 48,623 | 47,394 | 46,338 |
| Change | - | -15.71% | -21.31% | -6.23% | -27.44% | 6.5% | -2.53% | -2.23% |
| P/E | 31.7x | 44.1x | 27.5x | 37.8x | 13.2x | 14.5x | 14x | 13.5x |
| PBR | 5.17x | 4.6x | 4.05x | 4.03x | 2.87x | 2.88x | 2.75x | 2.58x |
| PEG | - | -1.1x | 1.1x | -1.2x | 0x | -11.46x | 3.7x | 3.56x |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 3.77x | 3.11x | 2.54x | 2.31x | 1.89x | 2.05x | 1.99x | 1.94x |
| EV / Revenue | 3.71x | 3.13x | 2.57x | 2.32x | 1.79x | 1.9x | 1.79x | 1.71x |
| EV / EBITDA | 19.5x | 21.4x | 14.9x | 16.7x | 8.6x | 8.6x | 8.1x | 7.61x |
| EV / EBIT | 27.5x | 41.3x | 23.8x | 20x | 12x | 11.4x | 10.6x | 9.86x |
| EV / FCF | 54.9x | 98.1x | 93.9x | 24.3x | 8.56x | 11.8x | 11.1x | 10.7x |
| FCF Yield | 1.82% | 1.02% | 1.07% | 4.12% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 9.05% | 9.36% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.65 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.8326 | 0.9313 | 0.9778 |
| Rate of return | 3.21% | 3.19% | 7.5% | 2.88% | 4.97% | 4.76% | 5.32% | 5.59% |
| EPS 2 | 1.08 | 0.64 | 0.8 | 0.55 | 1.22 | 1.205 | 1.25 | 1.298 |
| Distribution rate | 102% | 141% | 206% | 109% | 65.6% | 69.1% | 74.5% | 75.4% |
| Net sales 1 | 27,278 | 27,266 | 26,062 | 27,069 | 25,561 | 25,634 | 26,451 | 27,117 |
| EBITDA 1 | 5,199 | 3,979 | 4,510 | 3,761 | 5,310 | 5,653 | 5,850 | 6,089 |
| EBIT 1 | 3,681 | 2,067 | 2,816 | 3,151 | 3,809 | 4,269 | 4,456 | 4,701 |
| Net income 1 | 3,255 | 1,934 | 2,402 | 1,638 | 3,667 | 3,617 | 3,759 | 3,902 |
| Net Debt 1 | -1,713 | 421.1 | 1,018 | 440.6 | -2,705 | -3,943 | -5,172 | -6,228 |
| Reference price 2 | 34.25 | 28.25 | 22.00 | 20.80 | 16.10 | 17.50 | 17.50 | 17.50 |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 3,003,750 | 3,003,750 | 3,003,750 | 3,003,750 | 3,003,750 | 3,003,750 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 2/23/22 | 2/22/23 | 2/28/24 | 2/26/25 | 2/25/26 | - | - | - |
1THB in Million2THB
Estimates
P/E, Detailed evolution
| P/E (Y) | EV / Sales (Y) | EV / EBITDA (Y) | Dividend Yield (Y) | Capi.($) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.78x | 2.38x | 12.07x | 4.07% | 197B | ||
| 21.66x | 2.39x | 13.14x | 2.36% | 47.46B | ||
| 15.92x | 1.45x | 7.24x | 4.03% | 22.56B | ||
| 30.86x | 0.86x | 10.88x | 1.61% | 4.48B | ||
| 13.67x | 1.45x | 8.16x | 3.2% | 945M | ||
| Average | 19.98x | 1.71x | 10.30x | 3.06% | 54.51B | |
| Weighted average by Cap. | 18.50x | 2.28x | 11.82x | 3.73% |
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Historical PBR trend
Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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- Valuation Osotspa
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