Projected Income Statement: Orsted

Forecast Balance Sheet: Orsted

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 24,280 30,571 47,379 58,027 18,978 29,125 41,857 23,849
Change - 25.91% 54.98% 22.47% -67.29% 53.47% 43.72% -43.02%
Announcement Date 2/2/22 2/1/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 2/6/26 - - -
1DKK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Orsted

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 34,569 33,004 38,203 42,654 54,776 51,411 38,768 16,970
Change - -4.53% 15.75% 11.65% 28.42% -6.14% -24.59% -56.23%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -22,421 -21,080 15,599 -24,298 -31,035 -31,868 -15,901 31,792
Change - 5.98% 174% -255.77% -27.73% -2.68% 50.1% 299.93%
Announcement Date 2/2/22 2/1/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 2/6/26 - - -
1DKK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Orsted

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 31.28% 24.23% 23.62% 44.99% 30.65% 36.57% 37.28% 38.93%
EBIT Margin (%) 20.85% 14.95% -22.53% 8.69% 11.77% 21.86% 23.12% 23.86%
EBT Margin (%) 17.09% 13.31% -24.01% 3.67% 8.18% 18.91% 19.59% 21.47%
Net margin (%) 14.11% 11% -26.57% -1.3% 2.36% 12.76% 14.31% 14.9%
FCF margin (%) -28.87% -15.94% 19.68% -34.21% -42.37% -38.44% -18.19% 33.47%
FCF / Net Income (%) -204.53% -144.89% -74.07% 2,632.5% -1,797.05% -301.31% -127.09% 224.62%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.69% 4.98% -7.08% -0.32% 1.28% 2.35% 3.73% 2.35%
ROE 12.41% 16.76% -25.16% -1.55% 4.68% 7.88% 8.36% 8.27%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1x 0.95x 2.53x 1.82x 0.85x 0.96x 1.28x 0.64x
Debt / Free cash flow -1.08x -1.45x 3.04x -2.39x -0.61x -0.91x -2.63x 0.75x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 44.51% 24.95% 48.2% 60.05% 74.79% 62.01% 44.35% 17.87%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 142.28% 102.95% 204.11% 133.46% 244.01% 169.55% 118.96% 45.89%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -154.18% -156.57% 244.91% -175.55% -176.5% -161.32% -243.81% 53.38%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 28.9 28.36 67.85 43.64 26.79 15.16 19.54 22.75
Change - -1.86% 139.25% -35.68% -38.61% -43.41% 28.87% 16.45%
Dividend per Share 1 12.5 13.5 - - - 2.489 3.261 3.505
Change - 8% - - - - 31.01% 7.47%
Book Value Per Share 1 195.3 217.8 180.5 147.8 135.1 104.6 112 119.4
Change - 11.54% -17.16% -18.09% -8.6% -22.55% 7.06% 6.56%
EPS 1 24.3 34.6 -50.1 -2.2 1.9 7.703 9.228 10.65
Change - 42.39% -244.8% 95.61% 186.36% 305.44% 19.8% 15.44%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 420,175 420,170 420,175 420,230 1,321,047 1,321,059 1,321,059 1,321,059
Announcement Date 2/2/22 2/1/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 2/6/26 - - -
1DKK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 18.1x 15.1x
PBR 1.33x 1.24x
EV / Sales 2.57x 2.58x
Yield 1.79% 2.34%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
139.25DKK
Average target price
169.70DKK
Spread / Average Target
+21.86%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise