Projected Income Statement: ORPEA

Forecast Balance Sheet: ORPEA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 11,175 12,527 8,516 8,340 4,484 5,619 5,133 4,908
Change - 12.1% -32.02% -2.07% -46.24% 25.31% -8.65% -4.38%
Announcement Date 3/11/22 5/12/23 5/7/24 4/16/25 4/8/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ORPEA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,271 158.7 149.2 143 258 278.5 283.3 286.6
Change - -87.51% -5.96% -4.19% 80.42% 7.93% 1.74% 1.15%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 517 251 216.9 329 347 611.5 489.7 583
Change - -51.45% -13.59% 51.68% 5.47% 76.22% -19.92% 19.05%
Announcement Date 3/11/22 5/12/23 5/7/24 4/16/25 4/8/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ORPEA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 24.2% 16.15% 12.53% 12.31% 14.13% 14.89% 16.08% 16.77%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.24% -1.05% -0.31% 0.04% 2.93% 4.66% 6.34% 7.14%
EBT Margin (%) 2.47% -98.08% 26.94% -6.39% -4.48% -2.37% 0.17% 1.55%
Net margin (%) 1.52% -86.03% 26.07% -7.31% -5.06% -3.04% -1.25% 0.47%
FCF margin (%) 12.06% 5.36% 4.17% 5.84% 5.89% 10.07% 7.78% 8.85%
FCF / Net Income (%) 793.1% -6.23% 16.01% -79.85% -116.44% -330.74% -623.62% 1,893.64%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - - - - -
ROE 1.79% - 703.78% -22.83% -10.99% -10.1% -3.48% 3.17%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 10.78x 16.57x 13.07x 12.02x 5.38x 6.21x 5.07x 4.44x
Debt / Free cash flow 21.62x 49.9x 39.26x 25.35x 12.92x 9.19x 10.48x 8.42x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 29.66% 3.39% 2.87% 2.54% 4.38% 4.58% 4.5% 4.35%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 122.54% 20.99% 22.91% 20.61% 30.97% 30.8% 27.98% 25.93%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 245.8% 63.23% 68.81% 43.47% 74.35% 45.54% 57.86% 49.16%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11,679 6,342 35 2.967 4.177 3.583 4.111 4.536
Change - -45.7% -99.45% -91.52% 40.77% -14.22% 14.72% 10.34%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 58,825 -23,236 0.0145 10.94 8.74 7.749 7.758 8.025
Change - -139.5% 100% 75,204.89% -20.13% -11.34% 0.12% 3.44%
EPS 1 1,010 -62,330 130 -2.6 -1.85 -1.061 -0.5102 0.2063
Change - -6,271.29% 100.21% -102% 28.85% 42.66% 51.9% 140.42%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 64.6 64.6 129,867 160,978 161,264 161,273 161,273 161,273
Announcement Date 3/11/22 5/12/23 5/7/24 4/16/25 4/8/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E -13.2x -27.4x
PBR 1.8x 1.8x
EV / Sales 1.3x 1.17x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
13.96EUR
Average target price
16.53EUR
Spread / Average Target
+18.43%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise