Projected Income Statement: ORPEA

Forecast Balance Sheet: ORPEA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 11,175 12,527 8,516 8,340 4,484 5,574 5,491 5,347
Change - 12.1% -32.02% -2.07% -46.24% 24.31% -1.49% -2.62%
Announcement Date 3/11/22 5/12/23 5/7/24 4/16/25 4/8/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ORPEA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,271 158.7 149.2 143 258 278.1 279.6 284.1
Change - -87.51% -5.96% -4.19% 80.42% 7.8% 0.52% 1.61%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 517 251 216.9 329 347 1,070 466.8 531.4
Change - -51.45% -13.59% 51.68% 5.47% 208.26% -56.36% 13.85%
Announcement Date 3/11/22 5/12/23 5/7/24 4/16/25 4/8/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ORPEA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 24.2% 16.15% 12.53% 12.31% 14.13% 15.17% 16.17% 16.9%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.24% -1.05% -0.31% 0.04% 2.93% 4.5% 6.23% 7.06%
EBT Margin (%) 2.47% -98.08% 26.94% -6.39% -4.48% -1.33% -0.43% 0.69%
Net margin (%) 1.52% -86.03% 26.07% -7.31% -5.06% -2.13% -0.91% 0.28%
FCF margin (%) 12.06% 5.36% 4.17% 5.84% 5.89% 17.39% 7.32% 7.96%
FCF / Net Income (%) 793.1% -6.23% 16.01% -79.85% -116.44% -816.53% -806.3% 2,839.49%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - - - - -
ROE 1.79% - 703.78% -22.83% -10.99% -5.93% -1.26% 4.37%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 10.78x 16.57x 13.07x 12.02x 5.38x 5.98x 5.32x 4.74x
Debt / Free cash flow 21.62x 49.9x 39.26x 25.35x 12.92x 5.21x 11.76x 10.06x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 29.66% 3.39% 2.87% 2.54% 4.38% 4.52% 4.38% 4.26%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 122.54% 20.99% 22.91% 20.61% 30.97% 29.82% 27.11% 25.19%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 245.8% 63.23% 68.81% 43.47% 74.35% 26% 59.89% 53.45%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11,679 6,342 35 2.967 4.177 3.583 4.111 4.536
Change - -45.7% -99.45% -91.52% 40.77% -14.22% 14.72% 10.34%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 58,825 -23,236 0.0145 10.94 8.74 12.9 9.225 9.458
Change - -139.5% 100% 75,204.89% -20.13% 47.6% -28.49% 2.53%
EPS 1 1,010 -62,330 130 -2.6 -1.85 -0.805 -0.3752 0.1553
Change - -6,271.29% 100.21% -102% 28.85% 56.49% 53.4% 141.4%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 64.6 64.6 129,867 160,978 161,264 160,265 160,265 160,265
Announcement Date 3/11/22 5/12/23 5/7/24 4/16/25 4/8/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E -17.5x -37.4x
PBR 1.09x 1.52x
EV / Sales 1.27x 1.21x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
14.05EUR
Average target price
16.37EUR
Spread / Average Target
+16.49%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise