Projected Income Statement: Obayashi Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Obayashi Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 9,842 -82,328 -14,715 -32,505 -84,198 -120,600 -209,461 -276,311
Change - -936.5% 82.13% -120.9% -159.03% -43.23% -73.68% -31.92%
Announcement Date 5/12/22 5/11/23 5/13/24 5/13/25 5/13/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Obayashi Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 58,030 92,360 77,167 50,178 125,630 84,000 66,667 66,667
Change - 59.16% -16.45% -34.97% 150.37% -33.14% -20.63% 0%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 19,864 126,846 -26,768 76,029 168,557 133,400 147,367 160,500
Change - 538.57% -121.1% 384.03% 121.7% -20.86% 10.47% 8.91%
Announcement Date 5/12/22 5/11/23 5/13/24 5/13/25 5/13/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Obayashi Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 3.21% 5.93% 4.58% 6.71% 8.93% 7.78% 8.49% 8.74%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.13% 4.73% 3.41% 5.47% 7.53% 6.49% 7.05% 7.42%
EBT Margin (%) 2.93% 5.73% 4.61% 8.05% 9.64% 8.05% 8.2% 8.57%
Net margin (%) 2.03% 3.92% 3.23% 5.57% 6.72% 5.6% 5.5% 5.74%
FCF margin (%) 1.03% 6.39% -1.15% 2.9% 6.52% 4.6% 4.89% 5.16%
FCF / Net Income (%) 50.77% 163.31% -35.66% 52.06% 97.01% 82.1% 88.93% 89.97%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.12% 4.01% 3.25% 5.06% 6.6% 5.2% 4.8% 5%
ROE 4.1% 8% 7% 12.6% 14.4% 12.7% 12.61% 12.84%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.16x - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.5x - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.02% 4.66% 3.32% 1.92% 4.86% 2.9% 2.21% 2.14%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 93.99% 78.44% 72.46% 28.53% 54.38% 37.24% 26.05% 24.54%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 292.14% 72.81% -288.28% 66% 74.53% 62.97% 45.24% 41.54%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 83.4 141.7 142.5 249.2 301.6 306.5 300.6 324.8
Change - 69.94% 0.55% 74.86% 21.03% 1.62% -1.92% 8.06%
Dividend per Share 1 32 42 75 81 88 94.88 103 109.6
Change - 31.25% 78.57% 8% 8.64% 7.81% 8.56% 6.38%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,333 1,391 1,606 1,629 1,831 1,849 2,012 2,144
Change - 4.33% 15.49% 1.41% 12.39% 1% 8.8% 6.58%
EPS 1 54.55 108.3 104.7 203.9 249.4 237 243.6 263.7
Change - 98.61% -3.37% 94.75% 22.34% -4.98% 2.8% 8.24%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 716,985 716,948 717,000 714,395 687,423 687,421 687,421 687,421
Announcement Date 5/12/22 5/11/23 5/13/24 5/13/25 5/13/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 12.8x 12.4x
PBR 1.64x 1.51x
EV / Sales 0.68x 0.62x
Yield 3.13% 3.4%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
3,030.00JPY
Average target price
3,887.50JPY
Spread / Average Target
+28.30%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 1802 Stock
  4. OBA Stock
  5. Financials Obayashi Corporation