Projected Income Statement: Obayashi Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Obayashi Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet - Obayashi Corporation
Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 9,842 -82,328 -14,715 -32,505 -84,198 -153,611 -202,611 -287,011
Change - -936.5% 82.13% -120.9% -159.03% -82.44% -31.9% -41.66%
Announcement Date 5/12/22 5/11/23 5/13/24 5/13/25 5/13/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Obayashi Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 58,030 92,360 77,167 50,178 125,630 66,000 62,500 62,500
Change - 59.16% -16.45% -34.97% 150.37% -47.46% -5.3% 0%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 19,864 126,846 -26,768 76,029 168,557 178,425 137,475 165,200
Change - 538.57% -121.1% 384.03% 121.7% 5.85% -22.95% 20.17%
Announcement Date 5/12/22 5/11/23 5/13/24 5/13/25 5/13/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Obayashi Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 3.21% 5.93% 4.58% 6.71% 8.93% 7.66% 8.28% 8.44%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.13% 4.73% 3.41% 5.47% 7.53% 6.35% 6.9% 7.2%
EBT Margin (%) 2.93% 5.73% 4.61% 8.05% 9.64% 7.94% 7.91% 8.17%
Net margin (%) 2.03% 3.92% 3.23% 5.57% 6.72% 5.51% 5.4% 5.59%
FCF margin (%) 1.03% 6.39% -1.15% 2.9% 6.52% 6.01% 4.49% 5.2%
FCF / Net Income (%) 50.77% 163.31% -35.66% 52.06% 97.01% 109.17% 83.12% 93.06%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.12% 4.01% 3.25% 5.06% 6.6% 5.2% 4.84% 4.99%
ROE 4.1% 8% 7% 12.6% 14.4% 12.82% 12.44% 12.6%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.16x - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.5x - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.02% 4.66% 3.32% 1.92% 4.86% 2.22% 2.04% 1.97%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 93.99% 78.44% 72.46% 28.53% 54.38% 29.04% 24.66% 23.32%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 292.14% 72.81% -288.28% 66% 74.53% 36.99% 45.46% 37.83%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 83.4 141.7 142.5 249.2 301.6 300 297.9 320.6
Change - 69.94% 0.55% 74.86% 21.03% -0.51% -0.72% 7.63%
Dividend per Share 1 32 42 75 81 88 94.78 106 112.9
Change - 31.25% 78.57% 8% 8.64% 7.7% 11.84% 6.49%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,333 1,391 1,606 1,629 1,831 1,899 2,017 2,146
Change - 4.33% 15.49% 1.41% 12.39% 3.75% 6.2% 6.37%
EPS 1 54.55 108.3 104.7 203.9 249.4 238.6 243.1 261.7
Change - 98.61% -3.37% 94.75% 22.34% -4.32% 1.85% 7.66%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 716,985 716,948 717,000 714,395 687,423 687,421 687,421 687,421
Announcement Date 5/12/22 5/11/23 5/13/24 5/13/25 5/13/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 12.2x 12x
PBR 1.53x 1.44x
EV / Sales 0.62x 0.59x
Yield 3.26% 3.65%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Obayashi Corporation


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Obayashi Corporation
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Obayashi Corporation
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
MarketScreener Ratings - Obayashi Corporation
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
2,907.00JPY
Average target price
3,777.78JPY
Spread / Average Target
+29.95%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Obayashi Corporation
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