Company Valuation: Novartis AG

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 196,458 194,448 207,167 195,514 266,003 280,725 - -
Change - -1.02% 6.54% -5.62% 36.05% 5.53% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 204,649 203,482 219,178 213,458 289,870 312,751 309,262 303,575
Change - -0.57% 7.71% -2.61% 35.8% 7.89% -1.12% -1.84%
P/E 8.2x 28.3x 14.1x 16.5x 19.2x 21.4x 18.1x 15.7x
PBR 2.9x 3.23x 4.41x 4.52x 5.73x 6.39x 5.99x 5.38x
PEG - -0.4x 0x -1x 0.9x -29.7x 1x 1x
Capitalization / Revenue 3.81x 3.85x 4.44x 3.78x 4.69x 4.94x 4.66x 4.39x
EV / Revenue 3.96x 4.03x 4.7x 4.13x 5.11x 5.5x 5.13x 4.74x
EV / EBITDA 11.2x 10.9x 12.2x 10.2x 12.4x 13.3x 12.2x 11x
EV / EBIT 12.3x 12.2x 13.4x 10.9x 13.2x 14.6x 13.3x 12x
EV / FCF 15.4x 17x 16.6x 13.1x 16.5x 23.2x 19.1x 16.3x
FCF Yield 6.49% 5.87% 6.01% 7.61% 6.07% 4.32% 5.24% 6.14%
Dividend per Share 2 3.36 3.5 3.823 3.856 - 4.402 4.548 4.785
Rate of return 3.83% 3.87% 3.79% 3.94% - 2.87% 2.97% 3.12%
EPS 2 10.71 3.19 7.15 5.92 7.21 7.158 8.45 9.782
Distribution rate 31.4% 110% 53.5% 65.1% - 61.5% 53.8% 48.9%
Net sales 1 51,626 50,545 46,660 51,722 56,674 56,849 60,271 63,981
EBITDA 1 18,246 18,613 17,937 21,006 23,415 23,501 25,357 27,529
EBIT 1 16,588 16,665 16,372 19,494 21,889 21,491 23,278 25,234
Net income 1 24,021 6,955 14,854 11,939 13,967 14,079 15,643 17,519
Net Debt 1 8,191 9,034 12,011 17,944 23,867 32,026 28,537 22,850
Reference price 2 87.82 90.40 100.79 97.79 138.63 153.36 153.36 153.36
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,237,092 2,150,980 2,055,460 1,999,270 1,918,792 1,830,549 - -
Announcement Date 2/2/22 2/1/23 1/31/24 1/31/25 2/4/26 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
34.92x12.63x25.81x0.57% 1,060B
27.42x6.3x17.1x2.08% 619B
30.1x7.34x15.02x2.76% 438B
17.98x4.45x11.01x2.97% 333B
21.56x4.53x12.65x1.94% 267B
14.17x5.3x10.9x3.52% 218B
23.78x6.31x11.12x2.78% 196B
-46.81x5.6x30.89x2.5% 161B
12.29x3.03x7.56x7.14% 138B
Average 15.05x 6.16x 15.78x 2.92% 381.08B
Weighted average by Cap. 23.56x 7.84x 18.12x 2.13%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield