Projected Income Statement: North American Construction Group Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: North American Construction Group Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet - North American Construction Group Ltd.
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 309 - 617 856 878 1,147 1,081 997
Change - - - 38.74% 2.57% 30.57% -5.75% -7.77%
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/15/23 3/13/24 3/19/25 3/11/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: North American Construction Group Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 112.6 115.3 193.1 270.8 273.7 332.7 236.5 227.5
Change - 2.4% 67.51% 40.24% 1.08% 21.55% -28.91% -3.81%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 65.91 70.01 77.32 -53.17 -9.602 -35 24 53
Change - 6.22% 10.44% -168.77% 81.94% -264.51% 168.57% 120.83%
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/15/23 3/13/24 3/19/25 3/11/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: North American Construction Group Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 31.7% 31.88% 31.02% 33.48% 27.76% 25.08% 24.4% 24.51%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.17% 9.25% 10% 17.61% 8.5% 4.88% 8.44% 9.7%
EBT Margin (%) 9.28% - 8.98% 5.15% 4.4% 0.08% 3.99% 4.45%
Net margin (%) 7.86% - 6.6% 3.78% 2.63% -0.29% 2.86% 3.38%
FCF margin (%) 10.08% 9.1% 8.08% -4.56% -0.75% -2.27% 1.41% 3.07%
FCF / Net Income (%) 128.21% - 122.45% -120.6% -28.38% 782.12% 49.31% 90.68%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.02% - 5.96% 2.72% - - - -
ROE 19.51% 22.56% 22.71% 11.83% 8% -11% 15% 16%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.49x - 2.08x 2.19x 2.46x 2.97x 2.6x 2.35x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.69x - 7.98x -16.1x -91.49x -32.77x 45.04x 18.8x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 17.21% 14.98% 20.17% 23.23% 21.31% 21.58% 13.9% 13.16%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 54.29% 46.98% 65.02% 69.38% 76.76% 86.06% 56.98% 53.7%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 170.78% 164.64% 249.71% -509.28% -2,850.35% -950.48% 985.42% 429.25%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.866 6.19 8.95 6.583 9.072 8.635 11.6 11.93
Change - 27.21% 44.59% -26.44% 37.8% -4.81% 34.32% 2.89%
Dividend per Share 1 0.16 0.32 0.4 0.42 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48
Change - 100% 25% 5% 14.29% 0% 0% 0%
Book Value Per Share 1 9.275 11.58 10.8 14.56 16.34 19.01 17.69 19.84
Change - 24.84% -6.73% 34.86% 12.18% 16.38% -6.93% 12.13%
EPS 1 1.64 2.15 2.09 1.52 1.14 -0.205 1.753 2.2
Change - 31.1% -2.79% -27.27% -25% -117.98% 955.28% 25.48%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 28,437 26,421 26,737 26,827 28,203 26,914 26,914 26,914
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/15/23 3/13/24 3/19/25 3/11/26 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E -64.9x 7.59x
PBR 0.7x 0.75x
EV / Sales 0.98x 0.85x
Yield 3.61% 3.61%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - North American Construction Group Ltd.


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - North American Construction Group Ltd.
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - North American Construction Group Ltd.
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
MarketScreener Ratings - North American Construction Group Ltd.
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
13.31CAD
Average target price
19.86CAD
Spread / Average Target
+49.19%
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