Projected Income Statement: North American Construction Group Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: North American Construction Group Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 309 - 617 856 878 885 856 650
Change - - - 38.74% 2.57% 0.74% -3.28% -24.07%
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/15/23 3/13/24 3/19/25 3/11/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: North American Construction Group Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 112.6 115.3 193.1 270.8 273.7 239.8 264 294
Change - 2.4% 67.51% 40.24% 1.08% -12.4% 10.11% 11.36%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 65.91 70.01 77.32 -53.17 -9.602 42.73 69 136
Change - 6.22% 10.44% -168.77% 81.94% 545.05% 61.47% 97.1%
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/15/23 3/13/24 3/19/25 3/11/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: North American Construction Group Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 31.7% 31.88% 31.02% 33.48% 27.76% 28.42% 27.99% 27.72%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.17% 9.25% 10% 17.61% 8.5% 9.53% 10.46% -
EBT Margin (%) 9.28% - 8.98% 5.15% 4.4% 4.07% 5.58% 3.3%
Net margin (%) 7.86% - 6.6% 3.78% 2.63% 3.45% 4.29% 3.68%
FCF margin (%) 10.08% 9.1% 8.08% -4.56% -0.75% 3.05% 4.6% 8.79%
FCF / Net Income (%) 128.21% - 122.45% -120.6% -28.38% 88.29% 107.11% 238.6%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.02% - 5.96% 2.72% - - - -
ROE 19.51% 22.56% 22.71% 11.83% 8% 14% 14% 12%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.49x - 2.08x 2.19x 2.46x 2.22x 2.04x 1.52x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.69x - 7.98x -16.1x -91.49x 20.7x 12.41x 4.78x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 17.21% 14.98% 20.17% 23.23% 21.31% 17.11% 17.59% 19%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 54.29% 46.98% 65.02% 69.38% 76.76% 60.21% 62.84% 68.57%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 170.78% 164.64% 249.71% -509.28% -2,850.35% 561.04% 382.61% 216.18%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.866 6.19 8.95 6.583 9.072 9.935 11.74 11.78
Change - 27.21% 44.59% -26.44% 37.8% 9.51% 18.16% 0.38%
Dividend per Share 1 0.16 0.32 0.4 0.42 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48
Change - 100% 25% 5% 14.29% 0% 0% 0%
Book Value Per Share 1 9.275 11.58 10.8 14.56 16.34 17.89 20.2 23.95
Change - 24.84% -6.73% 34.86% 12.18% 9.52% 12.91% 18.55%
EPS 1 1.64 2.15 2.09 1.52 1.14 1.773 2.465 2.77
Change - 31.1% -2.79% -27.27% -25% 55.56% 39% 12.37%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 28,437 26,421 26,737 26,827 28,203 27,103 27,103 27,103
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/15/23 3/13/24 3/19/25 3/11/26 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.1x 7.99x
PBR 1.1x 0.98x
EV / Sales 1.01x 0.93x
Yield 2.44% 2.44%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
19.70CAD
Average target price
26.00CAD
Spread / Average Target
+31.98%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. NOA Stock
  4. Financials North American Construction Group Ltd.