Projected Income Statement: NHPC Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: NHPC Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 241,217 268,302 288,703 366,832 484,829 648,078 759,991 833,119
Change - 11.23% 7.6% 27.06% 32.17% 33.67% 17.27% 9.62%
Announcement Date 5/25/22 5/29/23 5/17/24 5/20/25 5/15/26 - - -
1INR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: NHPC Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 50,145 49,602 69,971 88,514 115,674 158,985 152,228 123,102
Change - -1.08% 41.07% 26.5% 30.68% 37.44% -4.25% -19.13%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 14,573 -2,679 -596.4 -38,252 -82,738 -31,945 2,772 -1,415
Change - -118.39% 77.74% -6,313.85% -116.29% 61.39% 108.68% -151.05%
Announcement Date 5/25/22 5/29/23 5/17/24 5/20/25 5/15/26 - - -
1INR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: NHPC Limited

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 56.45% 59.09% 47.38% 53.18% 45.08% 54.25% 56.37% 65.73%
EBIT Margin (%) 43.5% 47.64% 35.85% 41.69% 28.07% 39.09% 44.01% 57.63%
EBT Margin (%) 48.18% 49.51% 48.25% 43.23% 25.06% 33.29% 34.67% 43.51%
Net margin (%) 38.35% 36.67% 37.63% 28.97% 32.42% 24.76% 25.68% 32.48%
FCF margin (%) 15.86% -2.53% -0.62% -36.85% -71.23% -17.56% 1.22% -0.59%
FCF / Net Income (%) 41.36% -6.89% -1.65% -127.22% -219.71% -70.91% 4.75% -1.82%

Profitability

        
ROA - 4.76% 4.43% 3.08% 3.38% 4.8% 6.9% 7.7%
ROE 10.37% 10.83% 9.58% 7.68% 9.29% 10.01% 12.38% 15.64%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 4.65x 4.28x 6.33x 6.65x 9.26x 6.57x 5.93x 5.29x
Debt / Free cash flow 16.55x -100.14x -484.08x -9.59x -5.86x -20.29x 274.2x -588.78x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 54.57% 46.76% 72.64% 85.27% 99.59% 87.39% 66.94% 51.4%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 96.67% 79.13% 153.31% 160.35% 220.92% 161.08% 118.75% 78.19%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 344.09% -1,851.29% -11,732.29% -231.4% -139.81% -497.68% 5,492.3% -8,699.81%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - 4.668 6.91 5.004 3.28 9.8 12.6 16.6
Change - - 48.02% -27.59% -34.45% 198.79% 28.57% 31.75%
Dividend per Share 1 1.81 1.85 1.9 1.91 1.61 1.901 2.345 3.066
Change - 2.21% 2.7% 0.53% -15.71% 18.09% 23.33% 30.74%
Book Value Per Share 1 34.76 36.73 38.55 39.49 41.25 45.64 49.25 51.61
Change - 5.67% 4.94% 2.44% 4.46% 10.63% 7.92% 4.79%
EPS 1 3.51 3.87 3.61 2.72 3.75 4.375 5.7 7.65
Change - 10.26% -6.72% -24.65% 37.87% 16.68% 30.27% 34.21%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 10,045,035 10,045,035 10,045,035 10,045,035 10,045,035 10,045,035 10,045,035 10,045,035
Announcement Date 5/25/22 5/29/23 5/17/24 5/20/25 5/15/26 - - -
1INR
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 17.6x 13.5x
PBR 1.69x 1.57x
EV / Sales 7.82x 6.75x
Yield 2.46% 3.04%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
77.20INR
Average target price
87.83INR
Spread / Average Target
+13.77%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise