Projected Income Statement: NGK Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: NGK Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 66,708 38,649 16,624 -11,628 -78,286 -127,433 -188,194 -252,223
Change - -42.06% -56.99% -169.95% -573.25% -62.78% -47.68% -34.02%
Announcement Date 4/28/22 4/28/23 4/26/24 4/28/25 4/30/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: NGK Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 38,130 43,694 47,296 48,807 55,848 62,000 77,000 78,500
Change - 14.59% 8.24% 3.19% 14.43% 11.02% 24.19% 1.95%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 48,540 45,943 51,863 47,851 60,868 63,753 59,440 67,207
Change - -5.35% 12.89% -7.74% 27.2% 4.74% -6.77% 13.07%
Announcement Date 4/28/22 4/28/23 4/26/24 4/28/25 4/30/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: NGK Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 26.02% 21.55% 21.28% 22.36% 22.75% 24.56% 24.63% 25.35%
EBIT Margin (%) 16.36% 11.94% 11.47% 13.11% 14.18% 15.79% 16.28% 16.85%
EBT Margin (%) 17.79% 10.29% 9.7% 11.7% 12.51% 15.83% 16.4% 16.93%
Net margin (%) 13.88% 9.84% 7.01% 8.87% 8.94% 12.05% 12.15% 12.53%
FCF margin (%) 9.51% 8.22% 8.96% 7.72% 9.08% 8.84% 7.8% 8.42%
FCF / Net Income (%) 68.51% 83.46% 127.86% 87.11% 101.55% 73.35% 64.18% 67.24%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.12% 6.55% 5.85% 6.89% 7.98% 7.85% 7% 7.15%
ROE 12.9% 9% 6.1% 7.8% 7.8% 10.46% 10.6% 10.85%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.5x 0.32x 0.13x - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 1.37x 0.84x 0.32x - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.47% 7.81% 8.17% 7.88% 8.33% 8.59% 10.1% 9.84%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 28.71% 36.26% 38.39% 35.24% 36.63% 35% 41.03% 38.81%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 78.55% 95.1% 91.19% 102% 91.75% 97.25% 129.54% 116.8%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 384.1 350.7 320.8 379.8 404.2 522.1 544.8 578.2
Change - -8.7% -8.52% 18.38% 6.44% 29.17% 4.34% 6.14%
Dividend per Share 1 63 66 50 60 80 103.1 109.1 116.2
Change - 4.76% -24.24% 20% 33.33% 28.93% 5.82% 6.44%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,871 2,075 2,334 2,456 2,811 2,955 3,150 3,363
Change - 10.87% 12.51% 5.21% 14.47% 5.11% 6.59% 6.78%
EPS 1 226.6 177.5 133.6 186 206.3 304.2 325.7 354.7
Change - -21.67% -24.69% 39.14% 10.95% 47.47% 7.06% 8.9%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 311,614 306,271 297,923 293,090 287,534 281,364 281,364 281,364
Announcement Date 4/28/22 4/28/23 4/26/24 4/28/25 4/30/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 17.2x 16.1x
PBR 1.78x 1.67x
EV / Sales 1.87x 1.69x
Yield 1.97% 2.08%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
5,245.00JPY
Average target price
6,940.00JPY
Spread / Average Target
+32.32%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 5333 Stock
  4. Financials NGK Corporation