Projected Income Statement: NetEase, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: NetEase, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -67,502 -62,758 -102,617 -114,592 -133,423 -174,997 -200,182 -225,157
Change - 7.03% -63.51% -11.67% -16.43% -31.16% -14.39% -12.48%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/29/24 2/20/25 2/11/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: NetEase, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,038 2,602 4,266 2,192 2,007 2,014 2,481 2,688
Change - -14.36% 63.93% -48.62% -8.45% 0.36% 23.21% 8.33%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 21,817 25,066 33,030 37,485 48,733 42,259 46,899 53,920
Change - 14.89% 31.77% 13.49% 30.01% -13.29% 10.98% 14.97%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/29/24 2/20/25 2/11/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: NetEase, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 22.48% 23.3% 29.73% 30.39% 33.81% 40.31% 40.11% 41.07%
EBIT Margin (%) 18.74% 20.34% 26.78% 28.1% 31.82% 38.59% 38.56% 39.47%
EBT Margin (%) 24.09% 25.13% 32.92% 33.92% 36.25% 39.44% 41.64% 42.26%
Net margin (%) 19.24% 21.08% 28.43% 28.2% 29.98% 30.88% 33.42% 34.04%
FCF margin (%) 24.9% 25.98% 31.92% 35.6% 43.27% 35.01% 36.16% 39.14%
FCF / Net Income (%) 129.42% 123.25% 112.28% 126.22% 144.35% 113.35% 108.18% 114.97%

Profitability

        
ROA 11.41% 12.46% 16.4% 15.55% 16.18% 16.57% 16.91% 16.51%
ROE 19% 20.33% 25.69% 22.59% 22.58% 22.01% 22.06% 21.29%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.47% 2.7% 4.12% 2.08% 1.78% 1.67% 1.91% 1.95%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 15.43% 11.57% 13.87% 6.85% 5.27% 4.14% 4.77% 4.75%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 13.93% 10.38% 12.91% 5.85% 4.12% 4.77% 5.29% 4.99%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 7.402 8.407 10.86 12.28 15.77 13.33 14.76 17.68
Change - 13.57% 29.23% 13.04% 28.38% -15.47% 10.74% 19.78%
Dividend per Share 1 1.481 1.916 3.688 3.751 4.113 4.084 5.36 5.961
Change - 29.38% 92.48% 1.72% 9.63% -0.71% 31.24% 11.22%
Book Value Per Share 1 28.66 32.09 38.64 43.33 50.31 56.47 64.75 72.25
Change - 11.97% 20.4% 12.14% 16.09% 12.26% 14.65% 11.59%
EPS 1 5.01 6.17 9.05 9.19 10.48 11.94 13.91 15.2
Change - 23.15% 46.68% 1.55% 14.04% 13.92% 16.55% 9.25%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,252,359 3,101,359 3,125,972 3,167,959 3,167,959 3,201,251 3,201,251 3,201,251
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/29/24 2/20/25 2/11/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 13.8x 11.9x
PBR 2.92x 2.55x
EV / Sales 2.93x 2.53x
Yield 2.47% 3.25%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
165.04CNY
Average target price
215.32CNY
Spread / Average Target
+30.47%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise