Projected Income Statement: National Company for Learning and Education

Forecast Balance Sheet: National Company for Learning and Education

Fiscal Period: July 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -103 -147 -122 - 62.2 204 178 58.6
Change - -42.72% 17.01% - - 227.88% -12.75% -67.08%
Announcement Date 11/18/21 11/16/22 11/29/23 10/31/24 10/25/25 - - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: National Company for Learning and Education

Fiscal Period: July 2021 2022 2023 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 9.066 53.62 153.6 140.8 181.8 130.5 56.5
Change - 491.43% 186.37% - 29.05% -28.17% -56.72%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 75.94 - 59.17 67.25 17.5 113 288.5
Change - - - - -73.98% 545.71% 155.31%
Announcement Date 11/18/21 11/16/22 11/29/23 10/25/25 - - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: National Company for Learning and Education

Fiscal Period: July 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 27.88% 33.98% 32.36% - 37.82% 37.75% 38.33% 39.37%
EBIT Margin (%) 18.55% 25.98% 24.72% - 28.3% 28.15% 28.09% 29.21%
EBT Margin (%) 16.17% - - - 24.64% 24.6% 23.69% 25.01%
Net margin (%) 13.89% 23.03% - - 24.43% 24.05% 23.28% 24.59%
FCF margin (%) 43.13% - 12.81% - 10.22% 2.33% 13.29% 30.32%
FCF / Net Income (%) 310.48% - - - 41.84% 9.7% 57.07% 123.29%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.88% 7.62% - - 11.53% 11.8% 11.3% 12.7%
ROE 3.95% 11.23% 15.62% - 19.42% 21.09% 23.17% 25.39%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - 0.25x 0.72x 0.55x 0.16x
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - 0.93x 11.66x 1.58x 0.2x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.15% 17.38% 33.24% - 21.41% 24.23% 15.35% 5.94%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 18.47% 51.15% 102.72% - 56.61% 64.19% 40.04% 15.08%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 11.94% - 259.5% - 209.44% 1,038.59% 115.53% 19.58%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.977 3.461 4.9 - 4.839 7.232 7.211 8.406
Change - 75.07% 41.59% - - 49.45% -0.29% 16.57%
Dividend per Share 1 0.8 0.8 1.2 - 2.5 2.466 2.949 3.67
Change - 0% 50% - - -1.34% 19.58% 24.43%
Book Value Per Share 1 14.3 15.13 16.39 - 20.05 20.93 22.86 25.06
Change - 5.78% 8.33% - - 4.41% 9.23% 9.64%
EPS 1 0.57 1.65 2.37 3.67 3.74 4.184 4.871 5.863
Change - 189.47% 43.64% 54.85% 1.91% 11.87% 16.42% 20.37%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 43,000 43,000 43,000 43,000 43,000 43,000 43,000 43,000
Announcement Date 11/18/21 11/16/22 11/29/23 10/31/24 10/25/25 - - -
1SAR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 31.2x 26.8x
PBR 6.24x 5.71x
EV / Sales 7.79x 6.84x
Yield 1.89% 2.26%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
CCC
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
4
Last Close Price
130.50SAR
Average target price
150.10SAR
Spread / Average Target
+15.02%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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