Projected Income Statement: National Company for Learning and Education

Forecast Balance Sheet: National Company for Learning and Education

Fiscal Period: July 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -103 -147 -122 - 62.2 58.5 37 -84.1
Change - -42.72% 17.01% - - -5.97% -36.75% -327.3%
Announcement Date 11/18/21 11/16/22 11/29/23 10/31/24 10/25/25 - - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: National Company for Learning and Education

Fiscal Period: July 2021 2022 2023 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 9.066 53.62 153.6 140.8 161.6 134.3 57.75
Change - 491.43% 186.37% - 14.76% -16.9% -57%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 75.94 - 59.17 67.25 14 93 265
Change - - - - -79.18% 564.29% 184.95%
Announcement Date 11/18/21 11/16/22 11/29/23 10/25/25 - - -
1SAR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: National Company for Learning and Education

Fiscal Period: July 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 27.88% 33.98% 32.36% - 37.82% 37.41% 38.05% 39.22%
EBIT Margin (%) 18.55% 25.98% 24.72% - 28.3% 27.84% 28.43% 29.44%
EBT Margin (%) 16.17% - - - 24.64% 23.77% 23.68% 24.74%
Net margin (%) 13.89% 23.03% - - 24.43% 23.5% 23.09% 24.11%
FCF margin (%) 43.13% - 12.81% - 10.22% 1.87% 10.96% 28.02%
FCF / Net Income (%) 310.48% - - - 41.84% 7.95% 47.45% 116.23%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.88% 7.62% - - 11.53% - - -
ROE 3.95% 11.23% 15.62% - 19.42% 21.25% 24.91% 27.38%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - 0.25x 0.21x 0.11x -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - 0.93x 4.18x 0.4x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.15% 17.38% 33.24% - 21.41% 21.58% 15.82% 6.11%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 18.47% 51.15% 102.72% - 56.61% 57.69% 41.58% 15.57%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 11.94% - 259.5% - 209.44% 1,154.5% 144.43% 21.79%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.977 3.461 4.9 - 4.839 7.232 7.211 8.406
Change - 75.07% 41.59% - - 49.45% -0.29% 16.57%
Dividend per Share 1 0.8 0.8 1.2 - 2.5 2.715 3.259 3.97
Change - 0% 50% - - 8.58% 20.06% 21.81%
Book Value Per Share 1 14.3 15.13 16.39 - 20.05 20.14 21.89 23.95
Change - 5.78% 8.33% - - 0.49% 8.67% 9.39%
EPS 1 0.57 1.65 2.37 3.67 3.74 4.081 4.981 6.005
Change - 189.47% 43.64% 54.85% 1.91% 9.12% 22.06% 20.54%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 43,000 43,000 43,000 43,000 43,000 43,000 43,000 43,000
Announcement Date 11/18/21 11/16/22 11/29/23 10/31/24 10/25/25 - - -
1SAR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 34.9x 28.6x
PBR 7.07x 6.51x
EV / Sales 8.26x 7.26x
Yield 1.9% 2.29%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
CCC
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
142.50SAR
Average target price
150.67SAR
Spread / Average Target
+5.73%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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