Projected Income Statement: Moog Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Moog Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet - Moog Inc.
Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 804 734 794 812 883 745 562 317
Change - -8.71% 8.17% 2.27% 8.74% -15.67% -24.56% -43.59%
Announcement Date 11/5/21 11/4/22 11/3/23 11/1/24 11/21/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Moog Inc.

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 128.7 139.4 173.3 156 144.7 131.4 162.5 168
Change - 8.31% 24.28% -9.97% -7.23% -9.24% 23.71% 3.38%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 164.5 107.4 -37.35 21.33 128.4 282.2 242.6 305.4
Change - -34.73% -134.79% 157.1% 501.87% 119.86% -14.05% 25.89%
Announcement Date 11/5/21 11/4/22 11/3/23 11/1/24 11/21/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Moog Inc.

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 11.49% 11.65% 11.99% 13.2% 15.67% 15.07% 14.91% 14.94%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.33% 10.15% 9.37% 10.62% 11.4% 12.51% 12.62% 13.11%
EBT Margin (%) 7.14% 6.69% 6.51% 7.42% 8.1% 10.72% 10.94% 11.69%
Net margin (%) 5.51% 5.11% 5.15% 5.74% 6.09% 9.13% 8.06% 8.33%
FCF margin (%) 5.77% 3.54% -1.13% 0.59% 3.32% 6.41% 5.13% 5.97%
FCF / Net Income (%) 104.63% 69.19% -21.84% 10.29% 54.61% 70.17% 63.69% 71.66%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - - 8.08% 7.38% 7.52%
ROE - 12.59% 12.82% 11.85% 14.59% 26.95% 24.2% 23.78%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.45x 2.08x 2x 1.71x 1.46x 1.12x 0.8x 0.41x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.89x 6.84x -21.26x 38.1x 6.88x 2.64x 2.32x 1.04x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.51% 4.59% 5.22% 4.32% 3.75% 2.98% 3.44% 3.28%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 39.27% 39.44% 43.55% 32.75% 23.92% 19.78% 23.06% 21.99%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 78.26% 129.86% -463.94% 731.59% 112.76% 46.55% 67% 55.02%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 9.079 7.684 4.242 6.253 8.512 - - -
Change - -15.36% -44.8% 47.4% 36.13% - - -
Dividend per Share 1 - 1 1.07 1.11 1.15 1.183 1.228 1.293
Change - - 7% 3.74% 3.6% 2.86% 3.79% 5.29%
Book Value Per Share 1 43.63 44.93 51.3 57.5 62.11 71.59 82.06 94.44
Change - 2.98% 14.17% 12.09% 8.01% 15.27% 14.63% 15.09%
EPS 1 4.87 4.83 5.34 6.4 7.33 12.39 11.4 12.39
Change - -0.82% 10.56% 19.85% 14.53% 69.06% -8.03% 8.73%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 32,121 31,981 31,898 31,991 31,678 31,671 31,671 31,671
Announcement Date 11/5/21 11/4/22 11/3/23 11/1/24 11/21/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 27.5x 30x
PBR 4.77x 4.16x
EV / Sales 2.62x 2.4x
Yield 0.35% 0.36%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Moog Inc.


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Moog Inc.
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Moog Inc.
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
MarketScreener Ratings - Moog Inc.
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
341.34USD
Average target price
445.00USD
Spread / Average Target
+30.37%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Moog Inc.