Projected Income Statement: Moog Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Moog Inc.

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 804 734 794 812 883 697 568 311
Change - -8.71% 8.17% 2.27% 8.74% -21.11% -18.51% -45.25%
Announcement Date 11/5/21 11/4/22 11/3/23 11/1/24 11/21/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Moog Inc.

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 128.7 139.4 173.3 156 144.7 139 165 176
Change - 8.31% 24.28% -9.97% -7.23% -3.96% 18.71% 6.67%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 164.5 107.4 -37.35 21.33 128.4 304 200 240
Change - -34.73% -134.79% 157.1% 501.87% 136.84% -34.21% 20%
Announcement Date 11/5/21 11/4/22 11/3/23 11/1/24 11/21/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Moog Inc.

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 11.49% 11.65% 11.99% 13.2% 15.67% 15.19% 14.77% 14.78%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.33% 10.15% 9.37% 10.62% 11.4% 12.43% 12.37% 12.82%
EBT Margin (%) 7.14% 6.69% 6.51% 7.42% 8.1% 10.54% 10.54% -
Net margin (%) 5.51% 5.11% 5.15% 5.74% 6.09% 9.06% 7.79% 7.88%
FCF margin (%) 5.77% 3.54% -1.13% 0.59% 3.32% 6.93% 4.25% 4.76%
FCF / Net Income (%) 104.63% 69.19% -21.84% 10.29% 54.61% 76.47% 54.56% 60.38%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - - 8.08% 7.38% 7.52%
ROE - 12.59% 12.82% 11.85% 14.59% 17.48% 23.3% 22.51%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.45x 2.08x 2x 1.71x 1.46x 1.05x 0.82x 0.42x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.89x 6.84x -21.26x 38.1x 6.88x 2.29x 2.84x 1.3x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.51% 4.59% 5.22% 4.32% 3.75% 3.17% 3.51% 3.49%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 39.27% 39.44% 43.55% 32.75% 23.92% 20.86% 23.75% 23.59%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 78.26% 129.86% -463.94% 731.59% 112.76% 45.72% 82.5% 73.33%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 9.079 7.684 4.242 6.253 8.512 - - -
Change - -15.36% -44.8% 47.4% 36.13% - - -
Dividend per Share 1 - 1 1.07 1.11 1.15 1.176 1.228 1.293
Change - - 7% 3.74% 3.6% 2.24% 4.42% 5.29%
Book Value Per Share 1 43.63 44.93 51.3 57.5 62.11 71.86 81.3 93.22
Change - 2.98% 14.17% 12.09% 8.01% 15.7% 13.14% 14.66%
EPS 1 4.87 4.83 5.34 6.4 7.33 12.75 12.95 12.39
Change - -0.82% 10.56% 19.85% 14.53% 73.96% 1.54% -4.29%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 32,121 31,981 31,898 31,991 31,678 31,671 31,671 31,671
Announcement Date 11/5/21 11/4/22 11/3/23 11/1/24 11/21/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 32.7x 32.2x
PBR 5.8x 5.13x
EV / Sales 3.17x 2.92x
Yield 0.28% 0.29%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
416.98USD
Average target price
446.40USD
Spread / Average Target
+7.06%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise