Projected Income Statement: Minth Group Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Minth Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,652 3,978 5,523 5,978 5,201 4,154 3,005 2,130
Change - 140.8% 38.84% 8.24% -13% -20.14% -27.66% -29.12%
Announcement Date 3/22/22 3/21/23 3/26/24 3/24/25 3/23/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Minth Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,160 3,414 3,235 1,912 2,210 2,697 2,593 2,646
Change - 8.06% -5.24% -40.91% 15.59% 22.05% -3.84% 2.02%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -1,838 -1,559 130.5 1,363 2,703 2,473 2,678 3,490
Change - 15.18% 108.37% 944.14% 98.32% -8.5% 8.29% 30.32%
Announcement Date 3/22/22 3/21/23 3/26/24 3/24/25 3/23/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Minth Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.64% 15.04% 16.6% 17.81% 18.81% 19.13% 18.51% 17.76%
EBIT Margin (%) 15.01% 8.39% 9.67% 11.07% 12.11% 13.01% 12.99% 12.81%
EBT Margin (%) 13.26% 10.28% 11.28% 12.13% 12.81% 12.8% 12.96% 13%
Net margin (%) 10.75% 8.67% 9.27% 10.02% 10.46% 10.47% 10.61% 10.64%
FCF margin (%) -13.2% -9.01% 0.64% 5.89% 10.5% 8.49% 7.95% 8.98%
FCF / Net Income (%) -122.81% -103.89% 6.86% 58.75% 100.39% 81.1% 74.91% 84.4%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.26% 4.77% 5.37% 6.08% 6.64% 7.04% 7.39% 7.83%
ROE 9.66% 9.11% 10.8% 11.97% 12.25% 12.4% 13.07% 13.61%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.55x 1.53x 1.62x 1.45x 1.07x 0.75x 0.48x 0.31x
Debt / Free cash flow -0.9x -2.55x 42.32x 4.39x 1.92x 1.68x 1.12x 0.61x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 22.7% 19.73% 15.76% 8.26% 8.59% 9.26% 7.7% 6.81%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 104.92% 131.14% 94.94% 46.38% 45.63% 48.43% 41.6% 38.34%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -171.92% -219.02% 2,479.1% 140.29% 81.77% 109.06% 96.84% 75.81%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.142 1.612 2.926 2.851 4.24 4.197 4.701 5.395
Change - 41.21% 81.51% -2.57% 48.75% -1.03% 12.01% 14.77%
Dividend per Share 1 0.5124 0.5067 - 0.4059 0.6659 0.8804 1.065 1.161
Change - -1.12% - - 64.05% 32.22% 20.98% 9.01%
Book Value Per Share 1 13.84 14.7 15.76 17.8 20.5 22.15 24.58 27.29
Change - 6.22% 7.26% 12.91% 15.16% 8.04% 10.98% 11.03%
EPS 1 1.292 1.304 1.654 2.019 2.324 2.642 3.073 3.508
Change - 0.93% 26.84% 22.07% 15.11% 13.69% 16.32% 14.13%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,161,400 1,161,836 1,161,994 1,151,750 1,170,747 1,171,493 1,171,493 1,171,493
Announcement Date 3/22/22 3/21/23 3/26/24 3/24/25 3/23/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 7.39x 6.36x
PBR 0.88x 0.79x
EV / Sales 0.93x 0.77x
Yield 4.51% 5.45%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
19.53CNY
Average target price
39.81CNY
Spread / Average Target
+103.84%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 425 Stock
  4. Financials Minth Group Limited