Projected Income Statement: Minth Group Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Minth Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,652 3,978 5,523 5,978 5,201 4,159 2,950 1,960
Change - 140.8% 38.84% 8.24% -13% -20.04% -29.07% -33.56%
Announcement Date 3/22/22 3/21/23 3/26/24 3/24/25 3/23/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Minth Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,160 3,414 3,235 1,912 2,210 2,697 2,560 2,606
Change - 8.06% -5.24% -40.91% 15.59% 22.05% -5.08% 1.78%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -1,838 -1,559 130.5 1,363 2,703 2,473 2,678 3,490
Change - 15.18% 108.37% 944.14% 98.32% -8.5% 8.29% 30.32%
Announcement Date 3/22/22 3/21/23 3/26/24 3/24/25 3/23/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Minth Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.64% 15.04% 16.6% 17.81% 18.81% 19.12% 18.52% 17.76%
EBIT Margin (%) 15.01% 8.39% 9.67% 11.07% 12.11% 13% 13% 12.83%
EBT Margin (%) 13.26% 10.28% 11.28% 12.13% 12.81% 12.79% 12.97% 13.02%
Net margin (%) 10.75% 8.67% 9.27% 10.02% 10.46% 10.47% 10.62% 10.65%
FCF margin (%) -13.2% -9.01% 0.64% 5.89% 10.5% 8.49% 7.95% 8.98%
FCF / Net Income (%) -122.81% -103.89% 6.86% 58.75% 100.39% 81.12% 74.87% 84.29%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.26% 4.77% 5.37% 6.08% 6.64% 7.04% 7.39% 7.83%
ROE 9.66% 9.11% 10.8% 11.97% 12.25% 12.4% 13.07% 13.62%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.55x 1.53x 1.62x 1.45x 1.07x 0.75x 0.47x 0.28x
Debt / Free cash flow -0.9x -2.55x 42.32x 4.39x 1.92x 1.68x 1.1x 0.56x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 22.7% 19.73% 15.76% 8.26% 8.59% 9.26% 7.6% 6.7%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 104.92% 131.14% 94.94% 46.38% 45.63% 48.44% 41.05% 37.74%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -171.92% -219.02% 2,479.1% 140.29% 81.77% 109.06% 95.6% 74.67%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.142 1.612 2.926 2.851 4.24 4.197 4.701 5.395
Change - 41.21% 81.51% -2.57% 48.75% -1.03% 12.01% 14.77%
Dividend per Share 1 0.5124 0.5067 - 0.4059 0.6659 0.8802 1.066 1.163
Change - -1.12% - - 64.05% 32.18% 21.1% 9.14%
Book Value Per Share 1 13.84 14.7 15.76 17.8 20.5 22.15 24.58 27.3
Change - 6.22% 7.26% 12.91% 15.16% 8.04% 10.99% 11.05%
EPS 1 1.292 1.304 1.654 2.019 2.324 2.614 3.05 3.522
Change - 0.93% 26.84% 22.07% 15.11% 12.48% 16.66% 15.5%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,161,400 1,161,836 1,161,994 1,151,750 1,170,747 1,171,413 1,171,413 1,171,413
Announcement Date 3/22/22 3/21/23 3/26/24 3/24/25 3/23/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 7.82x 6.7x
PBR 0.92x 0.83x
EV / Sales 0.97x 0.8x
Yield 4.31% 5.21%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
20.44CNY
Average target price
40.03CNY
Spread / Average Target
+95.80%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
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  4. Financials Minth Group Limited
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