Projected Income Statement: Minth Group Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Minth Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,652 3,978 5,523 5,978 5,201 4,481 3,050 2,837
Change - 140.8% 38.84% 8.24% -13% -13.85% -31.93% -6.98%
Announcement Date 3/22/22 3/21/23 3/26/24 3/24/25 3/23/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Minth Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,160 3,414 3,235 1,912 2,210 2,222 2,362 2,406
Change - 8.06% -5.24% -40.91% 15.59% 0.54% 6.3% 1.87%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -1,838 -1,559 130.5 1,363 2,703 2,371 2,635 3,522
Change - 15.18% 108.37% 944.14% 98.32% -12.28% 11.16% 33.64%
Announcement Date 3/22/22 3/21/23 3/26/24 3/24/25 3/23/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Minth Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.64% 15.04% 16.6% 17.81% 18.81% 18.39% 18.13% 17.2%
EBIT Margin (%) 15.01% 8.39% 9.67% 11.07% 12.11% 12.7% 12.94% 12.78%
EBT Margin (%) 13.26% 10.28% 11.28% 12.13% 12.81% 12.59% 12.88% 12.98%
Net margin (%) 10.75% 8.67% 9.27% 10.02% 10.46% 10.32% 10.53% 10.58%
FCF margin (%) -13.2% -9.01% 0.64% 5.89% 10.5% 7.91% 7.57% 8.74%
FCF / Net Income (%) -122.81% -103.89% 6.86% 58.75% 100.39% 76.67% 71.91% 82.61%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.26% 4.77% 5.37% 6.08% 6.64% 6.99% 7.54% 7.95%
ROE 9.66% 9.11% 10.8% 11.97% 12.25% 12.53% 13.45% 14.19%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.55x 1.53x 1.62x 1.45x 1.07x 0.81x 0.48x 0.41x
Debt / Free cash flow -0.9x -2.55x 42.32x 4.39x 1.92x 1.89x 1.16x 0.81x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 22.7% 19.73% 15.76% 8.26% 8.59% 7.42% 6.78% 5.97%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 104.92% 131.14% 94.94% 46.38% 45.63% 40.33% 37.4% 34.7%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -171.92% -219.02% 2,479.1% 140.29% 81.77% 93.72% 89.62% 68.31%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.142 1.612 2.926 2.851 4.24 4.025 4.702 5.66
Change - 41.21% 81.51% -2.57% 48.75% -5.08% 16.82% 20.38%
Dividend per Share 1 0.5124 0.5067 - 0.4059 0.6659 0.9183 1.134 1.257
Change - -1.12% - - 64.05% 37.91% 23.44% 10.87%
Book Value Per Share 1 13.84 14.7 15.76 17.8 20.5 22.18 24.66 27.07
Change - 6.22% 7.26% 12.91% 15.16% 8.22% 11.14% 9.79%
EPS 1 1.292 1.304 1.654 2.019 2.324 2.665 3.152 3.658
Change - 0.93% 26.84% 22.07% 15.11% 14.67% 18.27% 16.06%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,161,400 1,161,836 1,161,994 1,151,750 1,170,747 1,171,413 1,171,413 1,171,413
Announcement Date 3/22/22 3/21/23 3/26/24 3/24/25 3/23/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 9.17x 7.75x
PBR 1.1x 0.99x
EV / Sales 1.1x 0.91x
Yield 3.76% 4.64%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
24.43CNY
Average target price
41.15CNY
Spread / Average Target
+68.41%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 425 Stock
  4. Financials Minth Group Limited