Projected Income Statement: Metcash Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Metcash Limited

Fiscal Period: April 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 189 1,399 1,314 1,806 1,834 1,880 1,903 1,883
Change - 640.21% -6.08% 37.44% 1.55% 2.52% 1.22% -1.05%
Announcement Date 6/26/22 6/25/23 6/23/24 6/22/25 6/21/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Metcash Limited

Fiscal Period: April 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 121.7 372.7 135.9 148.5 175.2 152.9 148.1 158.7
Change - 206.24% -63.54% 9.27% 17.98% -12.75% -3.12% 7.16%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 310.6 220.6 346.7 390.5 382.8 388.5 443 453.1
Change - -28.98% 57.16% 12.63% -1.97% 1.48% 14.02% 2.29%
Announcement Date 6/26/22 6/25/23 6/23/24 6/22/25 6/21/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Metcash Limited

Fiscal Period: April 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 4.27% 4.28% 4.33% 4.32% 4.39% 4.49% 4.63% 4.73%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.11% 3.17% 3.12% 2.93% 2.9% 2.86% 2.98% 3.08%
EBT Margin (%) 2.36% 2.38% 2.34% 2.23% 2.22% 2.1% 2.22% 2.26%
Net margin (%) 1.62% 1.64% 1.62% 1.64% 1.61% 1.47% 1.56% 1.63%
FCF margin (%) 2.05% 1.4% 2.18% 2.25% 2.21% 2.2% 2.46% 2.45%
FCF / Net Income (%) 126.57% 85.17% 134.8% 137.84% 137.16% 149.83% 158.03% 150.08%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.96% 5.81% 4.7% 4.47% 4.02% 5.5% 5.72% 6.29%
ROE 25.39% 28.56% 19.68% 17.53% 16.13% 15.05% 15.59% 15.97%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.29x 2.07x 1.91x 2.42x 2.41x 2.37x 2.28x 2.15x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.61x 6.34x 3.79x 4.62x 4.79x 4.84x 4.3x 4.16x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.8% 2.36% 0.85% 0.86% 1.01% 0.87% 0.82% 0.86%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 18.78% 55.15% 19.74% 19.86% 23% 19.31% 17.74% 18.12%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 39.18% 168.95% 39.2% 38.03% 45.77% 39.35% 33.43% 35.02%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.4383 0.3847 0.4827 0.4918 0.5077 0.4665 0.4986 0.5299
Change - -12.23% 25.48% 1.88% 3.23% -8.12% 6.89% 6.27%
Dividend per Share 1 0.215 0.225 0.22 0.18 0.18 0.1744 0.1859 0.1995
Change - 4.65% -2.22% -18.18% 0% -3.08% 6.55% 7.35%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.118 1.112 1.4 1.48 1.552 1.622 1.691 1.767
Change - -0.58% 25.92% 5.7% 4.87% 4.52% 4.26% 4.46%
EPS 1 0.25 0.268 0.257 0.259 0.253 0.2368 0.2564 0.2805
Change - 7.2% -4.1% 0.78% -2.32% -6.42% 8.3% 9.4%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 965,542 965,542 1,091,554 1,098,582 1,099,726 1,099,726 1,099,726 1,099,726
Announcement Date 6/26/22 6/25/23 6/23/24 6/22/25 6/21/26 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 13.2x 12.2x
PBR 1.92x 1.84x
EV / Sales 0.3x 0.3x
Yield 5.59% 5.96%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
3.120AUD
Average target price
3.464AUD
Spread / Average Target
+11.03%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. MTS Stock
  4. Financials Metcash Limited