Projected Income Statement: Megaworld Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Megaworld Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 50,089 - 77,780 88,622 82,652 77,752 78,859 98,909
Change - - - 13.94% -6.74% -5.93% 1.42% 25.43%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/1/23 2/28/24 2/26/25 2/26/26 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Megaworld Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 7,575 11,592 14,782 13,071 16,596 17,319 20,145
Change - - 27.52% -11.57% 26.96% 4.36% 16.32%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,105 -7,390 -3,412 8,631 -3,015 7,686 -735.9
Change - - 53.83% 352.94% -134.93% 354.93% -109.57%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 2/28/24 2/26/25 2/26/26 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Megaworld Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 46.1% 47.38% 38.88% 41.24% 42.62% 43.46% 44.04% 44.44%
EBIT Margin (%) 39.26% 41.87% 33.51% 36.41% 37.93% 38.01% 38.66% 38.91%
EBT Margin (%) 29.44% 32.16% 34.21% 35.47% 36.57% 37.72% 38.65% 37.34%
Net margin (%) 26.47% 22.6% 24.88% 24.74% 26.55% 26.42% 27.27% 27.01%
FCF margin (%) 10.06% - -10.6% -4.5% 10.91% -3.72% 9.13% -0.88%
FCF / Net Income (%) 38% - -42.61% -18.2% 41.1% -14.07% 33.46% -3.26%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.77% - 3.38% 4.12% 4.38% 4.79% 4.64% 4.4%
ROE 6.5% - 6.58% 7.91% 8.18% 7.8% 7.84% 7.21%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.14x - 2.87x 2.84x 2.45x 2.21x 2.13x 2.66x
Debt / Free cash flow 9.81x - -10.52x -25.97x 9.58x -25.79x 10.26x -134.4x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 14.92% - 16.62% 19.51% 16.52% 20.47% 20.56% 24.1%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 32.37% - 42.75% 47.31% 38.76% 47.1% 46.69% 54.24%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 148.39% - -156.86% -433.19% 151.44% -550.46% 225.33% -2,737.37%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.1783 - 0.1357 0.358 0.6668 0.3659 0.4345 0.4829
Change - - - 163.82% 86.25% -45.12% 18.74% 11.14%
Dividend per Share 1 0.0615 - 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.103 0.1056 0.1184
Change - - - 14.29% 12.5% 14.46% 2.55% 12.08%
Book Value Per Share 1 6.05 - 7.306 7.565 8.228 8.89 9.499 9.948
Change - - - 3.54% 8.77% 8.04% 6.85% 4.72%
EPS 1 0.421 0.43 0.56 0.59 0.645 0.6602 0.708 0.6962
Change - 2.14% 30.23% 5.36% 9.32% 2.35% 7.25% -1.67%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 31,857,071 31,486,072 31,183,252 32,558,252 32,494,616 32,429,883 32,429,883 32,429,883
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/1/23 2/28/24 2/26/25 2/26/26 - - -
1PHP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 3.18x 2.97x
PBR 0.24x 0.22x
EV / Sales 1.8x 1.75x
Yield 4.91% 5.03%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
2.100PHP
Average target price
2.799PHP
Spread / Average Target
+33.27%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. MEG Stock
  4. Financials Megaworld Corporation