Projected Income Statement: Megaworld Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Megaworld Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet - Megaworld Corporation
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 50,089 - 77,780 88,622 82,652 71,764 81,053 75,500
Change - - - 13.94% -6.74% -13.17% 12.94% -6.85%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/1/23 2/28/24 2/26/25 2/26/26 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Megaworld Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 7,575 11,592 14,782 13,071 13,957 17,020 15,758
Change - - 27.52% -11.57% 6.78% 21.95% -7.42%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,105 -7,390 -3,412 8,631 3,816 5,319 14,149
Change - - 53.83% 352.94% -55.79% 39.4% 166.02%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 2/28/24 2/26/25 2/26/26 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Megaworld Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 46.1% 47.38% 38.88% 41.24% 42.62% 45.77% 46.38% 47.61%
EBIT Margin (%) 39.26% 41.87% 33.51% 36.41% 37.93% 40.1% 40.6% 41.56%
EBT Margin (%) 29.44% 32.16% 34.21% 35.47% 36.57% 41.18% 40.1% 41.09%
Net margin (%) 26.47% 22.6% 24.88% 24.74% 26.55% 28.75% 28.55% 29.39%
FCF margin (%) 10.06% - -10.6% -4.5% 10.91% 4.93% 6.62% 18.11%
FCF / Net Income (%) 38% - -42.61% -18.2% 41.1% 17.14% 23.2% 61.63%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.77% - 3.38% 4.12% 4.38% 4.72% 4.61% 4.47%
ROE 6.5% - 6.58% 7.91% 8.18% 8.01% 7.74% 7.25%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.14x - 2.87x 2.84x 2.45x 2.02x 2.18x 2.03x
Debt / Free cash flow 9.81x - -10.52x -25.97x 9.58x 18.81x 15.24x 5.34x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 14.92% - 16.62% 19.51% 16.52% 18.02% 21.19% 20.17%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 32.37% - 42.75% 47.31% 38.76% 39.37% 45.69% 42.36%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 148.39% - -156.86% -433.19% 151.44% 365.8% 320% 111.37%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.1783 - 0.1357 0.358 0.6668 0.3659 0.4345 0.4829
Change - - - 163.82% 86.25% -45.12% 18.74% 11.14%
Dividend per Share 1 0.0615 - 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.1112 0.1155 0.1246
Change - - - 14.29% 12.5% 23.54% 3.91% 7.84%
Book Value Per Share 1 6.05 - 7.306 7.565 8.228 8.892 9.461 10.09
Change - - - 3.54% 8.77% 8.07% 6.4% 6.63%
EPS 1 0.421 0.43 0.56 0.59 0.645 0.6834 0.7012 0.7174
Change - 2.14% 30.23% 5.36% 9.32% 5.95% 2.61% 2.32%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 31,857,071 31,486,072 31,183,252 32,558,252 32,494,616 32,429,883 32,429,883 32,429,883
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/1/23 2/28/24 2/26/25 2/26/26 - - -
1PHP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 3.16x 3.08x
PBR 0.24x 0.23x
EV / Sales 1.83x 1.88x
Yield 5.15% 5.35%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Megaworld Corporation


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Megaworld Corporation
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Megaworld Corporation
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Ratings Surperformance© - Megaworld Corporation
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
2.160PHP
Average target price
2.768PHP
Spread / Average Target
+28.15%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - EPS - Annual - Megaworld Corporation
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  4. Financials Megaworld Corporation