Projected Income Statement: McDonald's Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: McDonald's Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 30,914 33,320 32,574 37,339 39,199 39,206 39,659 39,771
Change - 7.78% -2.24% 14.63% 4.98% 0.02% 1.16% 0.28%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/31/23 2/5/24 2/10/25 2/11/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: McDonald's Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,040 1,899 2,357 2,775 3,365 3,790 3,980 4,143
Change - -6.9% 24.13% 17.71% 21.26% 12.64% 5% 4.1%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 7,102 5,488 7,254 6,672 7,186 7,290 8,632 9,628
Change - -22.73% 32.2% -8.03% 7.7% 1.45% 18.41% 11.54%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/31/23 2/5/24 2/10/25 2/11/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: McDonald's Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 51.41% 46.38% 54.88% 54.4% 55.12% 55.38% 55.92% 56.53%
EBIT Margin (%) 43.37% 44.78% 47.1% 46.31% 46.94% 47.3% 47.76% 48.28%
EBT Margin (%) 39.31% 33.76% 41.27% 39.91% 40.53% 41.16% 42.3% 43%
Net margin (%) 32.49% 26.65% 33.22% 31.72% 31.85% 32.23% 33.07% 33.73%
FCF margin (%) 30.58% 23.67% 28.46% 25.74% 26.73% 25.85% 29.11% 31.01%
FCF / Net Income (%) 94.12% 88.83% 85.66% 81.14% 83.92% 80.2% 88.04% 91.93%

Profitability

        
ROA 14.2% 11.85% 15.89% 14.77% 14.93% 14.96% 15.72% 16.48%
ROE - - - - - 723.1% 575.2% 308.13%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.59x 3.1x 2.33x 2.65x 2.65x 2.51x 2.39x 2.27x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.35x 6.07x 4.49x 5.6x 5.45x 5.38x 4.59x 4.13x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.78% 8.19% 9.25% 10.71% 12.52% 13.44% 13.42% 13.34%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.09% 17.66% 16.85% 19.68% 22.71% 24.27% 24% 23.61%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 28.73% 34.61% 32.5% 41.59% 46.83% 51.99% 46.1% 43.03%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 12.16 9.964 13.13 13.09 14.73 16.15 17.38 18.78
Change - -18.05% 31.72% -0.3% 12.54% 9.68% 7.59% 8.07%
Dividend per Share 1 5.25 5.66 6.23 6.78 7.17 7.502 7.895 8.456
Change - 7.81% 10.07% 8.83% 5.75% 4.63% 5.23% 7.11%
Book Value Per Share 1 -6.178 -8.098 -6.427 -5.26 -2.52 0.4197 3.896 7.476
Change - -31.1% 20.64% 18.17% 52.08% 116.65% 828.14% 91.89%
EPS 1 10.04 8.33 11.56 11.39 11.95 12.8 13.96 14.98
Change - -17.03% 38.78% -1.47% 4.92% 7.14% 9.03% 7.33%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 747,245 732,424 725,342 716,620 712,154 707,642 707,642 707,642
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/31/23 2/5/24 2/10/25 2/11/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 21.5x 19.7x
PBR 657x 70.8x
EV / Sales 8.31x 7.92x
Yield 2.72% 2.86%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
-
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
34
Last Close Price
275.70USD
Average target price
316.06USD
Spread / Average Target
+14.64%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. MCD Stock
  4. Financials McDonald's Corporation