Projected Income Statement: McDonald's Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: McDonald's Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 30,914 33,320 32,574 37,339 39,199 39,288 39,576 39,647
Change - 7.78% -2.24% 14.63% 4.98% 0.23% 0.73% 0.18%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/31/23 2/5/24 2/10/25 2/11/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: McDonald's Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,040 1,899 2,357 2,775 3,365 3,769 4,030 4,213
Change - -6.9% 24.13% 17.71% 21.26% 11.99% 6.93% 4.55%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 7,102 5,488 7,254 6,672 7,186 7,314 8,540 9,457
Change - -22.73% 32.2% -8.03% 7.7% 1.78% 16.76% 10.73%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/31/23 2/5/24 2/10/25 2/11/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: McDonald's Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 51.41% 46.38% 54.88% 54.4% 55.12% 55.32% 55.83% 56.37%
EBIT Margin (%) 43.37% 44.78% 47.1% 46.31% 46.94% 47.28% 47.71% 48.24%
EBT Margin (%) 39.31% 33.76% 41.27% 39.91% 40.53% 41.18% 42.17% 42.71%
Net margin (%) 32.49% 26.65% 33.22% 31.72% 31.85% 32.24% 32.98% 33.56%
FCF margin (%) 30.58% 23.67% 28.46% 25.74% 26.73% 25.93% 28.78% 30.49%
FCF / Net Income (%) 94.12% 88.83% 85.66% 81.14% 83.92% 80.42% 87.27% 90.83%

Profitability

        
ROA 14.2% 11.85% 15.89% 14.77% 14.93% 15.27% 15.58% 16.53%
ROE - - - - - 723.1% 593.43% 311.79%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.59x 3.1x 2.33x 2.65x 2.65x 2.52x 2.39x 2.27x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.35x 6.07x 4.49x 5.6x 5.45x 5.37x 4.63x 4.19x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.78% 8.19% 9.25% 10.71% 12.52% 13.36% 13.58% 13.58%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.09% 17.66% 16.85% 19.68% 22.71% 24.15% 24.32% 24.09%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 28.73% 34.61% 32.5% 41.59% 46.83% 51.53% 47.19% 44.55%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 12.16 9.964 13.13 13.09 14.73 16.15 17.38 18.78
Change - -18.05% 31.72% -0.3% 12.54% 9.68% 7.59% 8.07%
Dividend per Share 1 5.25 5.66 6.23 6.78 7.17 7.504 7.896 8.458
Change - 7.81% 10.07% 8.83% 5.75% 4.66% 5.23% 7.12%
Book Value Per Share 1 -6.178 -8.098 -6.427 -5.26 -2.52 0.4197 3.896 7.476
Change - -31.1% 20.64% 18.17% 52.08% 116.65% 828.14% 91.89%
EPS 1 10.04 8.33 11.56 11.39 11.95 12.82 13.95 14.94
Change - -17.03% 38.78% -1.47% 4.92% 7.25% 8.84% 7.12%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 747,245 732,424 725,342 716,620 712,154 707,642 707,642 707,642
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/31/23 2/5/24 2/10/25 2/11/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 20.4x 18.7x
PBR 622x 67x
EV / Sales 7.94x 7.56x
Yield 2.88% 3.03%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
-
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
34
Last Close Price
260.95USD
Average target price
315.39USD
Spread / Average Target
+20.86%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. MCD Stock
  4. Financials McDonald's Corporation