Projected Income Statement: M3, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: M3, Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 -141,216 -107,937 -139,396 -110,513 -123,028 -138,461 -167,396 -198,403
Change - 23.57% -29.15% 20.72% -11.32% -12.54% -20.9% -18.52%
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/28/23 4/26/24 5/2/25 5/1/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: M3, Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 3,721 5,911 6,963 6,290 7,680 9,806 10,262 10,787
Change - 58.86% 17.8% -9.67% 22.1% 27.68% 4.65% 5.12%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 28,701 35,180 51,347 12,594 54,372 47,002 58,784 64,065
Change - 22.57% 45.96% -75.47% 331.73% -13.56% 25.07% 8.98%
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/28/23 4/26/24 5/2/25 5/1/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: M3, Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 48.72% 34.41% 30.67% 26.39% 25.84% 24.73% 25.01% 25.31%
EBIT Margin (%) 45.71% 31.19% 26.95% 22.1% 20.93% 20.54% 20.9% 21.1%
EBT Margin (%) 46.21% 32.2% 28.82% 22.74% 21.71% 20.84% 21.12% 21.26%
Net margin (%) 30.67% 21.24% 18.95% 14.21% 13.97% 13.49% 13.73% 13.92%
FCF margin (%) 13.79% 15.24% 21.49% 4.42% 15.47% 12.05% 13.8% 13.73%
FCF / Net Income (%) 44.95% 71.75% 113.42% 31.11% 110.74% 89.3% 100.49% 98.66%

Profitability

        
ROA 31.07% 19.91% 15.44% 12.08% 12.51% 8.1% 10.23% 10.02%
ROE 27.9% 17.5% 13.8% 11.1% 12.5% 12.36% 13.21% 13.5%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.79% 2.56% 2.91% 2.21% 2.19% 2.51% 2.41% 2.31%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 3.67% 7.44% 9.5% 8.37% 8.46% 10.16% 9.63% 9.14%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 12.96% 16.8% 13.56% 49.94% 14.12% 20.86% 17.46% 16.84%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 103.3 83.17 79.75 77.59 97.98 100.6 108.2 113.4
Change - -19.49% -4.11% -2.71% 26.28% 2.7% 7.57% 4.76%
Dividend per Share 1 16 19 21 21 22 23.51 26.41 28.17
Change - 18.75% 10.53% 0% 4.76% 6.86% 12.33% 6.67%
Book Value Per Share 1 378.8 444.2 516.5 555.1 609 652.8 712.1 784.4
Change - 17.29% 16.27% 7.47% 9.71% 7.19% 9.09% 10.15%
EPS 1 94.06 72.22 66.68 59.62 72.53 79.39 88.65 98.44
Change - -23.22% -7.67% -10.59% 21.65% 9.46% 11.66% 11.04%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 678,777 678,907 679,010 679,033 667,425 667,430 667,430 667,430
Announcement Date 4/27/22 4/28/23 4/26/24 5/2/25 5/1/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 22.5x 20.2x
PBR 2.74x 2.51x
EV / Sales 2.71x 2.41x
Yield 1.31% 1.48%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
1,789.50JPY
Average target price
2,079.17JPY
Spread / Average Target
+16.19%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise