Company Valuation: Lynas Rare Earths Limited

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 5,145 7,878 6,397 5,543 8,054 18,640 - -
Change - 53.12% -18.8% -13.35% 45.31% 131.44% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 4,735 7,099 5,563 5,191 8,039 17,639 17,107 16,401
Change - 49.92% -21.64% -6.69% 54.87% 119.42% -3.02% -4.12%
P/E 31.7x 14.6x 20.2x 65.8x 1,013x 63.8x 26.5x 18.8x
PBR 4.75x 4.79x 2.96x 2.47x 3.42x 5.13x 4.32x 3.59x
PEG - 0x -0.5x -0.9x -11.2x 0x 0x 0.5x
Capitalization / Revenue 10.5x 8.56x 8.65x 12x 14.5x 17.3x 10.4x 8.32x
EV / Revenue 9.68x 7.72x 7.52x 11.2x 14.4x 16.4x 9.59x 7.32x
EV / EBITDA 20.1x 11.8x 14.7x 39.3x 79.4x 37.2x 16.4x 11.1x
EV / EBIT 27.9x 13.1x 17.6x 69x 1,298x 51.8x 19.5x 12.7x
EV / FCF 27.1x 25.9x -26.6x -9.54x -24.6x 94.5x 31.7x 20.7x
FCF Yield 3.69% 3.86% -3.75% -10.5% -4.06% 1.06% 3.16% 4.84%
Dividend per Share 2 - - - - - - - 0.2739
Rate of return - - - - - - - 1.48%
EPS 2 0.1799 0.597 0.3392 0.0901 0.0085 0.2903 0.6977 0.9871
Distribution rate - - - - - - - 27.7%
Net sales 1 489 920 739.3 463.3 556.5 1,076 1,784 2,240
EBITDA 1 235.3 601.2 377.7 132.1 101.2 474.4 1,043 1,481
EBIT 1 169.5 540.6 315.5 75.23 6.191 340.8 877.7 1,290
Net income 1 157.1 540.8 310.7 84.51 7.99 290.4 702.2 994.8
Net Debt 1 -409.7 -778.8 -833.8 -352 -15.23 -1,001 -1,534 -2,239
Reference price 2 5.71 8.73 6.85 5.93 8.61 18.52 18.52 18.52
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 901,079 902,412 933,815 934,718 935,447 1,006,503 - -
Announcement Date 8/26/21 8/25/22 8/28/23 8/27/24 8/27/25 - - -
1AUD in Million2AUD
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
63.8x16.4x37.18x-.--% 12.83B
36.78x - - 0.44% 25.32B
-2277.99x20.68x56.91x-.--% 9.74B
37.16x - - - 7.38B
-24x - - - 4.81B
34.2x - - - 2.36B
-6.56x - - - 871M
-30.67x - -27.84x-.--% 842M
-90.38x - -2.76x - 757M
Average -250.85x 18.54x 15.87x 0.11% 7.21B
Weighted average by Cap. -312.86x 18.25x 41.62x 0.23%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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  4. Valuation Lynas Rare Earths Limited