Projected Income Statement: Lynas Rare Earths Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Lynas Rare Earths Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -410 -779 -834 -352 -15.2 -1,027 -1,347 -1,952
Change - -90% -7.06% 57.79% 95.68% -6,642.38% -31.16% -44.91%
Announcement Date 8/26/21 8/25/22 8/28/23 8/27/24 8/27/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Lynas Rare Earths Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 40.44 186.3 595.5 579.3 430.8 179.5 290.2 265.5
Change - 360.64% 219.65% -2.72% -25.64% -58.33% 61.69% -8.54%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 174.6 273.8 -208.8 -544.4 -326.7 248.4 529.1 670.9
Change - 56.78% -176.25% -160.76% 39.99% 176.03% 113.02% 26.81%
Announcement Date 8/26/21 8/25/22 8/28/23 8/27/24 8/27/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Lynas Rare Earths Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 48.11% 65.35% 51.09% 28.52% 18.18% 40.68% 55.69% 62.5%
EBIT Margin (%) 34.66% 58.76% 42.68% 16.24% 1.11% 28.84% 47.38% 53.19%
EBT Margin (%) 32.2% 58.23% 47.05% 22.77% 1.75% 30.76% 48.87% 54.88%
Net margin (%) 32.12% 58.78% 42.02% 18.24% 1.44% 24.47% 36.81% 41.42%
FCF margin (%) 35.71% 29.76% -28.24% -117.5% -58.7% 24.64% 31.98% 31.62%
FCF / Net Income (%) 111.16% 50.62% -67.2% -644.12% -4,088.31% 100.71% 86.86% 76.35%

Profitability

        
ROA 13.02% 30.56% 13.22% 3.11% 0.28% 6.89% 14.82% 18.71%
ROE 13.02% 39.63% 16.31% 3.84% 0.35% 8.22% 14.81% 17.96%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.27% 20.25% 80.55% 125.05% 77.41% 17.81% 17.54% 12.51%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.19% 30.99% 157.68% 438.45% 425.77% 43.78% 31.5% 20.02%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 23.16% 68.05% -285.26% -106.42% -131.89% 72.27% 54.86% 39.56%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.2463 0.5079 0.4223 0.0373 0.1109 0.3799 0.6998 0.9989
Change - 106.2% -16.85% -91.17% 197.48% 242.6% 84.19% 42.74%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - 0.058 0.2464
Change - - - - - - - 324.83%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.202 1.824 2.317 2.399 2.515 3.581 4.097 4.827
Change - 51.67% 27.04% 3.57% 4.82% 42.37% 14.42% 17.81%
EPS 1 0.1799 0.597 0.3392 0.0901 0.0085 0.247 0.6036 0.8737
Change - 231.85% -43.18% -73.44% -90.57% 2,806.12% 144.35% 44.75%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 901,079 902,412 933,815 934,718 935,447 1,006,503 1,006,503 1,006,503
Announcement Date 8/26/21 8/25/22 8/28/23 8/27/24 8/27/25 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 59.9x 24.5x
PBR 4.13x 3.61x
EV / Sales 13.8x 8.18x
Yield - 0.39%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
14.79AUD
Average target price
18.28AUD
Spread / Average Target
+23.61%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. LYC Stock
  4. Financials Lynas Rare Earths Limited