Projected Income Statement: Lindt

Forecast Balance Sheet: Lindt

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 295 571 943 649 1,096 859 776 696
Change - 93.56% 65.15% -31.18% 68.88% -21.64% -9.66% -10.31%
Announcement Date 3/8/22 3/7/23 3/5/24 3/4/25 3/10/26 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Lindt

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 240.8 229.9 301 312 332.7 337.9 359.2 379.2
Change - -4.53% 30.93% 3.65% 6.63% 1.58% 6.3% 5.56%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 586 526.1 477.6 870 187.7 769.2 770.7 792.3
Change - -10.22% -9.22% 82.16% -78.43% 309.8% 0.19% 2.81%
Announcement Date 3/8/22 3/7/23 3/5/24 3/4/25 3/10/26 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Lindt

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 20.1% 20.48% 21.03% 21.61% 21.48% 21.59% 22.03% 22.22%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.06% 14.98% 15.63% 16.17% 16.41% 16.54% 16.99% 17.23%
EBT Margin (%) 13.56% 14.52% 15.14% 15.57% 15.61% 15.84% 16.37% 16.6%
Net margin (%) 10.7% 11.46% 12.91% 12.29% 12.29% 12.21% 12.49% 12.61%
FCF margin (%) 12.78% 10.59% 9.18% 15.91% 3.17% 12.68% 12.07% 11.69%
FCF / Net Income (%) 119.47% 92.35% 71.13% 129.41% 25.81% 103.83% 96.68% 92.68%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.77% 6.74% 8.5% 7.9% 7.97% 8.1% 8.68% 9.31%
ROE 9.99% 11.84% 15.51% 14.78% 14.85% 15.01% 15.54% 16.25%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.32x 0.56x 0.86x 0.55x 0.86x 0.66x 0.55x 0.46x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.5x 1.09x 1.98x 0.75x 5.84x 1.12x 1.01x 0.88x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.25% 4.63% 5.79% 5.71% 5.62% 5.57% 5.63% 5.59%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 26.13% 22.59% 27.52% 26.41% 26.18% 25.8% 25.55% 25.17%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 41.09% 43.7% 63.02% 35.86% 177.25% 43.93% 46.61% 47.86%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3,404 3,168 3,350 5,129 2,264 4,753 4,846 6,274
Change - -6.94% 5.75% 53.1% -55.86% 109.94% 1.95% 29.48%
Dividend per Share 1 1,200 1,300 1,400 1,500 1,800 1,855 1,998 2,120
Change - 8.33% 7.69% 7.14% 20% 3.03% 7.73% 6.13%
Book Value Per Share 1 21,818 18,662 18,131 20,860 21,381 22,077 22,907 23,852
Change - -14.47% -2.85% 15.05% 2.5% 3.26% 3.76% 4.12%
EPS 1 2,019 2,387 2,859 2,898 3,137 3,210 3,482 3,754
Change - 18.21% 19.77% 1.35% 8.25% 2.33% 8.5% 7.8%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 241 232 233 231 230 230.3 230.3 230.3
Announcement Date 3/8/22 3/7/23 3/5/24 3/4/25 3/10/26 - - -
1CHF
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 29.7x 27.4x
PBR 4.32x 4.16x
EV / Sales 3.73x 3.53x
Yield 1.94% 2.09%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
95,400.00CHF
Average target price
111,323.94CHF
Spread / Average Target
+16.69%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise