Projected Income Statement: KCE Electronics

Forecast Balance Sheet: KCE Electronics

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,703 2,680 460 -450 -533 -497 -761 -1,858
Change - 57.37% -82.84% -197.83% -18.44% 6.75% -53.12% -144.15%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/13/24 2/24/25 2/10/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: KCE Electronics

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,725 1,021 443.9 800.6 951.5 724.4 794.7 635.6
Change - -40.84% -56.51% 80.35% 18.85% -23.87% 9.7% -20.02%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 10.26 1,015 3,770 2,510 1,585 1,666 1,580 2,476
Change - 9,798.68% 271.34% -33.43% -36.84% 5.13% -5.19% 56.73%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/13/24 2/24/25 2/10/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: KCE Electronics

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 24.99% 18.03% 16.67% 17% 13.95% 17.65% 19.11% 19.63%
EBIT Margin (%) 18.13% 11.99% 9.97% 9.81% 5.55% 9.11% 11.99% 13.05%
EBT Margin (%) 17.96% 13.49% 11.5% 12.12% 7.38% 9.72% 11.77% 13.42%
Net margin (%) 16.24% 12.56% 10.52% 11.11% 6.37% 8.55% 10.36% 11.45%
FCF margin (%) 0.07% 5.5% 23.07% 16.92% 12.12% 11.86% 10.43% 15.51%
FCF / Net Income (%) 0.42% 43.81% 219.24% 152.24% 190.36% 138.7% 100.76% 135.48%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.34% 10.79% 8.56% 8.77% 4.58% 6.61% 8.59% 9.62%
ROE 19.11% 17.31% 12.7% 12.01% 6.19% 9.31% 11.96% 13.58%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.46x 0.81x 0.17x - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 166.05x 2.64x 0.12x - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 11.55% 5.53% 2.72% 5.4% 7.28% 5.15% 5.25% 3.98%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 46.22% 30.67% 16.29% 31.75% 52.15% 29.2% 27.46% 20.29%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 16,821.17% 100.54% 11.77% 31.9% 60.02% 43.47% 50.3% 25.67%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.466 1.72 3.565 2.8 2.146 2.033 2.447 2.68
Change - 17.3% 107.26% -21.45% -23.37% -5.25% 20.33% 9.54%
Dividend per Share 1 1 1.6 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.117 1.228 1.33
Change - 60% -25% 8.33% -7.69% -6.95% 9.96% 8.33%
Book Value Per Share 1 11.36 11.33 11.58 11.64 11.11 11.18 11.3 11.83
Change - -0.27% 2.22% 0.49% -4.5% 0.6% 1.04% 4.76%
EPS 1 2.05 1.96 1.45 1.39 0.7 1.016 1.324 1.551
Change - -4.39% -26.02% -4.14% -49.64% 45.15% 30.35% 17.07%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,181,590 1,181,966 1,182,089 1,182,089 1,182,089 1,182,089 1,182,089 1,182,089
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/13/24 2/24/25 2/10/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 47x 36.1x
PBR 4.27x 4.23x
EV / Sales 3.98x 3.68x
Yield 2.34% 2.57%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
47.75THB
Average target price
42.50THB
Spread / Average Target
-10.99%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise