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Company Valuation: JD Logistics, Inc.
Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap 1 | 121,966 | 81,256 | 54,128 | 73,603 | 63,207 | 74,893 | - | - |
| Change | - | -33.38% | -33.39% | 35.98% | -14.12% | 18.49% | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 108,225 | 83,535 | 64,173 | 70,961 | 49,037 | 50,443 | 40,419 | 35,940 |
| Change | - | -22.81% | -23.18% | 10.58% | -30.9% | 2.87% | -19.87% | -11.08% |
| P/E | -6.75x | -58.2x | 88.8x | 12.3x | 9.68x | 9.1x | 7.87x | 6.9x |
| PBR | 2.82x | 1.72x | 1.12x | 1.35x | 1.18x | 1.24x | 1.07x | 0.93x |
| PEG | - | 0.6x | -1x | 0x | 1.19x | 0.4x | 0.5x | 0.5x |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 1.16x | 0.59x | 0.32x | 0.4x | 0.29x | 0.28x | 0.26x | 0.24x |
| EV / Revenue | 1.03x | 0.61x | 0.39x | 0.39x | 0.23x | 0.19x | 0.14x | 0.11x |
| EV / EBITDA | -171x | 8.55x | 4.39x | 3.49x | 2.38x | 2.23x | 1.57x | 1.32x |
| EV / EBIT | -36.4x | -345x | 84.4x | 11.6x | 9.12x | 5.59x | 3.79x | 3.02x |
| EV / FCF | 52.7x | 9.85x | 5.82x | 4.3x | 3.93x | 3.75x | 2.89x | 2.4x |
| FCF Yield | 1.9% | 10.2% | 17.2% | 23.3% | 25.4% | 26.7% | 34.6% | 41.7% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Rate of return | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| EPS 2 | -3.19 | -0.23 | 0.1 | 0.98 | 1.06 | 1.331 | 1.54 | 1.757 |
| Distribution rate | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net sales 1 | 104,693 | 137,402 | 166,625 | 182,838 | 217,147 | 264,793 | 291,380 | 318,196 |
| EBITDA 1 | -631.1 | 9,774 | 14,606 | 20,343 | 20,603 | 22,589 | 25,719 | 27,133 |
| EBIT 1 | -2,975 | -242.4 | 760.2 | 6,105 | 5,375 | 9,017 | 10,657 | 11,909 |
| Net income 1 | -15,842 | -1,397 | 616.2 | 6,198 | 6,647 | 8,558 | 9,819 | 10,967 |
| Net Debt 1 | -13,741 | 2,279 | 10,046 | -2,642 | -14,170 | -24,449 | -34,474 | -38,952 |
| Reference price 2 | 21.55 | 13.37 | 8.88 | 12.03 | 10.26 | 12.12 | 12.12 | 12.12 |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 5,660,170 | 6,075,430 | 6,097,253 | 6,119,238 | 6,159,104 | 6,179,011 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 3/10/22 | 3/9/23 | 3/6/24 | 3/6/25 | 3/5/26 | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates
P/E, Detailed evolution
| P/E (Y) | EV / Sales (Y) | EV / EBITDA (Y) | Dividend Yield (Y) | Capi.($) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8.93x | 0.19x | 2.17x | -.--% | 10.84B | |
| 248.98x | 3.15x | 52.16x | -.--% | 3.63B | |
| 17.78x | 7.57x | 15.81x | 3.73% | 3.47B | |
| 31.14x | 0.89x | 5.67x | -.--% | 2.63B | |
| 15.54x | 0.35x | 9.5x | 3.37% | 1.02B | |
| 12.43x | - | - | 2.51% | 831M | |
| -20.75x | - | - | - | 828M | |
| Average | 44.87x | 2.43x | 17.06x | 1.6% | 3.32B | |
| Weighted average by Cap. | 49.58x | 1.96x | 13.54x | 0.82% |
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Historical PBR trend
Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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- 2618 Stock
- Valuation JD Logistics, Inc.
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