Projected Income Statement: Ingenia Communities Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: Ingenia Communities Group

Forecast Balance Sheet - Ingenia Communities Group
Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 481 616 740 866 989 984 1,063 1,147
Change - 28.07% 20.13% 17.03% 14.2% -0.48% 8.03% 7.9%
Announcement Date 8/24/22 8/22/23 8/19/24 8/25/25 8/25/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Ingenia Communities Group

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 101.3 137.3 159.4 155.8 185.4 159.9 174.8 159.3
Change - 35.59% 16.06% -2.25% 19% -13.77% 9.36% -8.9%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 10.9 -54.83 -77.18 -10.56 -32.94 -53 -39 -21.5
Change - -603.06% -40.76% 86.32% -212% -60.89% 26.42% 44.87%
Announcement Date 8/24/22 8/22/23 8/19/24 8/25/25 8/25/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Ingenia Communities Group

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 31.29% 28.82% 27.53% 32.66% 35.39% 32.48% 32.7% 33.53%
EBIT Margin (%) 30.08% 27.7% 26.62% 31.7% 34.55% 32.53% 32.64% 33.25%
EBT Margin (%) 39.45% 21.58% 10.68% 28.1% 36% 25.56% 25.28% 25.94%
Net margin (%) 29.75% 16.32% 2.97% 24.81% 33.29% 24.64% 23.66% 24.14%
FCF margin (%) 3.22% -13.9% -16.34% -2.04% -5.88% -8.48% -5.6% -2.87%
FCF / Net Income (%) 10.83% -85.18% -550.49% -8.22% -17.67% -34.43% -23.67% -11.89%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.69% 3.71% 3.91% 4.85% 5.07% 5.79% 5.9% 6.02%
ROE 6.8% 5.55% 6.22% 8.1% 8.8% 8.65% 9.19% 9.52%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 4.55x 5.42x 5.69x 5.12x 4.99x 4.85x 4.67x 4.57x
Debt / Free cash flow 44.14x -11.23x -9.58x -81.99x -30.02x -18.57x -27.27x -53.37x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 29.96% 34.81% 33.74% 30.09% 33.11% 25.58% 25.11% 21.26%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 95.75% 120.8% 122.56% 92.14% 93.56% 78.76% 76.78% 63.41%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 929.3% -250.46% -206.5% -1,475.59% -562.8% -301.61% -448.26% -740.75%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.3024 0.201 0.1997 0.3521 0.3693 0.3349 0.3705 0.3909
Change - -33.54% -0.63% 76.31% 4.88% -9.32% 10.65% 5.5%
Dividend per Share 1 0.11 0.11 0.113 0.096 0.096 0.1032 0.109 0.1154
Change - 0% 2.73% -15.04% 0% 7.46% 5.71% 5.8%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.75 3.77 3.7 3.92 4.28 4.069 4.292 4.552
Change - 0.53% -1.86% 5.95% 9.18% -4.92% 5.46% 6.06%
EPS 1 0.233 0.158 0.034 0.311 0.452 0.3773 0.41 0.4484
Change - -32.19% -78.48% 814.71% 45.34% -16.53% 8.68% 9.35%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 407,583 407,583 407,583 407,583 407,583 407,583 407,583 407,583
Announcement Date 8/24/22 8/22/23 8/19/24 8/25/25 8/25/26 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 14.2x 13.1x
PBR 1.32x 1.25x
EV / Sales 5.07x 4.66x
Yield 1.92% 2.03%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Ingenia Communities Group


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Ingenia Communities Group
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Ingenia Communities Group
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
MarketScreener Ratings - Ingenia Communities Group
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
5.360AUD
Average target price
5.131AUD
Spread / Average Target
-4.27%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Ingenia Communities Group
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