Projected Income Statement: Ingenia Communities Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: Ingenia Communities Group

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 481 616 740 866 989 983 1,064 1,143
Change - 28.07% 20.13% 17.03% 14.2% -0.59% 8.24% 7.42%
Announcement Date 8/24/22 8/22/23 8/19/24 8/25/25 8/25/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Ingenia Communities Group

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 101.3 137.3 159.4 155.8 185.4 159.8 174.9 159.3
Change - 35.59% 16.06% -2.25% 19% -13.81% 9.46% -8.94%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 10.9 -54.83 -77.18 -10.56 -32.94 -53 -39 -21.5
Change - -603.06% -40.76% 86.32% -212% -60.89% 26.42% 44.87%
Announcement Date 8/24/22 8/22/23 8/19/24 8/25/25 8/25/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Ingenia Communities Group

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 31.29% 28.82% 27.53% 32.66% 35.39% 32.57% 32.71% 33.51%
EBIT Margin (%) 30.08% 27.7% 26.62% 31.7% 34.55% 32.65% 32.65% 33.26%
EBT Margin (%) 39.45% 21.58% 10.68% 28.1% 36% 25.73% 25.43% 26.05%
Net margin (%) 29.75% 16.32% 2.97% 24.81% 33.29% 24.76% 23.73% 24.18%
FCF margin (%) 3.22% -13.9% -16.34% -2.04% -5.88% -8.47% -5.58% -2.85%
FCF / Net Income (%) 10.83% -85.18% -550.49% -8.22% -17.67% -34.21% -23.5% -11.8%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.69% 3.71% 3.91% 4.85% 5.07% 5.61% 5.95% 6.07%
ROE 6.8% 5.55% 6.22% 8.1% 8.8% 8.68% 9.23% 9.57%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 4.55x 5.42x 5.69x 5.12x 4.99x 4.82x 4.65x 4.53x
Debt / Free cash flow 44.14x -11.23x -9.58x -81.99x -30.02x -18.55x -27.27x -53.16x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 29.96% 34.81% 33.74% 30.09% 33.11% 25.54% 25.01% 21.15%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 95.75% 120.8% 122.56% 92.14% 93.56% 78.4% 76.48% 63.1%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 929.3% -250.46% -206.5% -1,475.59% -562.8% -301.49% -448.48% -740.83%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.3024 0.201 0.1997 0.3521 0.3693 0.3393 0.3759 0.3999
Change - -33.54% -0.63% 76.31% 4.88% -8.12% 10.79% 6.37%
Dividend per Share 1 0.11 0.11 0.113 0.096 0.096 0.103 0.1093 0.1147
Change - 0% 2.73% -15.04% 0% 7.25% 6.18% 4.95%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.75 3.77 3.7 3.92 4.28 4.074 4.305 4.474
Change - 0.53% -1.86% 5.95% 9.18% -4.82% 5.67% 3.94%
EPS 1 0.233 0.158 0.034 0.311 0.452 0.3796 0.4127 0.453
Change - -32.19% -78.48% 814.71% 45.34% -16.01% 8.72% 9.76%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 407,583 407,583 407,583 407,583 407,583 407,583 407,583 407,583
Announcement Date 8/24/22 8/22/23 8/19/24 8/25/25 8/25/26 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 10.5x 9.69x
PBR 0.98x 0.93x
EV / Sales 4.18x 3.85x
Yield 2.57% 2.73%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
4.000AUD
Average target price
5.018AUD
Spread / Average Target
+25.44%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. INA Stock
  4. Financials Ingenia Communities Group
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