Projected Income Statement: Ingenia Communities Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: Ingenia Communities Group

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 256 481 616 740 866 985 1,059 1,165
Change - 87.89% 28.07% 20.13% 17.03% 13.78% 7.51% 10.01%
Announcement Date 8/17/21 8/24/22 8/22/23 8/19/24 8/25/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Ingenia Communities Group

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 63.67 101.3 137.3 159.4 155.8 174.9 169.9 181.8
Change - 59.08% 35.59% 16.06% -2.25% 12.26% -2.84% 6.99%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 73.98 10.9 -54.83 -77.18 -10.56 -56.7 -40.25 -24.37
Change - -85.27% -603.06% -40.76% 86.32% -437.05% 29.01% 39.46%
Announcement Date 8/17/21 8/24/22 8/22/23 8/19/24 8/25/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Ingenia Communities Group

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 33.23% 31.29% 28.82% 27.53% 32.66% 34.41% 33.5% 34.43%
EBIT Margin (%) 31.92% 30.08% 27.7% 26.62% 31.7% 33.87% 33.53% 33.91%
EBT Margin (%) 28.08% 39.45% 21.58% 10.68% 28.1% 29.47% 25.41% 25.83%
Net margin (%) 24.62% 29.75% 16.32% 2.97% 24.81% 28.45% 25.12% 24.51%
FCF margin (%) 25.03% 3.22% -13.9% -16.34% -2.04% -10.21% -6.43% -3.54%
FCF / Net Income (%) 101.64% 10.83% -85.18% -550.49% -8.22% -35.89% -25.6% -14.43%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.95% 5.69% 3.71% 3.91% 4.85% 5.54% 5.62% 5.7%
ROE 7.52% 6.8% 5.55% 6.22% 8.1% 8.72% 8.42% 8.79%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.6x 4.55x 5.42x 5.69x 5.12x 5.15x 5.05x 4.91x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.45x 44.14x -11.23x -9.58x -81.99x -17.37x -26.3x -47.81x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 21.54% 29.96% 34.81% 33.74% 30.09% 31.49% 27.15% 26.39%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 64.83% 95.75% 120.8% 122.56% 92.14% 91.52% 81.05% 76.65%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 86.07% 929.3% -250.46% -206.5% -1,475.59% -308.46% -422.16% -746.04%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.4213 0.3024 0.201 0.1997 0.3521 0.3146 0.3547 0.3913
Change - -28.22% -33.54% -0.63% 76.31% -10.65% 12.75% 10.3%
Dividend per Share 1 0.105 0.11 0.11 0.113 0.096 0.1005 0.1052 0.1121
Change - 4.76% 0% 2.73% -15.04% 4.66% 4.72% 6.56%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.029 3.75 3.77 3.7 3.92 3.939 4.163 4.534
Change - 23.82% 0.53% -1.86% 5.95% 0.49% 5.67% 8.92%
EPS 1 0.221 0.233 0.158 0.034 0.311 0.3781 0.3845 0.4253
Change - 5.43% -32.19% -78.48% 814.71% 21.58% 1.7% 10.59%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 327,877 407,583 407,583 407,583 407,583 407,583 407,583 407,583
Announcement Date 8/17/21 8/24/22 8/22/23 8/19/24 8/25/25 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.5x 11.3x
PBR 1.1x 1.04x
EV / Sales 4.96x 4.52x
Yield 2.31% 2.42%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
4.340AUD
Average target price
5.060AUD
Spread / Average Target
+16.59%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. INA Stock
  4. Financials Ingenia Communities Group