Projected Income Statement: Ibstock plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Ibstock plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 66.1 - 101 122 120 128 113 90.4
Change - - - 20.79% -1.64% 6.63% -11.72% -20%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/8/23 3/6/24 3/5/25 3/5/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Ibstock plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 24.96 65.65 45.24 44.78 24.91 23.09 23.88
Change - - -31.1% -1.01% -44.37% -7.29% 3.41%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 61.54 -7.402 8.664 -5.206 16.32 22.56 35.52
Change - - 217.05% -160.09% 413.48% 38.24% 57.47%
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/6/24 3/5/25 3/5/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Ibstock plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 25.22% 27.23% 26.45% 21.67% 19.09% 17.98% 19.07% 20.37%
EBIT Margin (%) 17.53% 19.72% 16.21% 10.59% 7.93% 7.2% 8.84% 10.71%
EBT Margin (%) 15.89% 20.43% 7.41% 5.65% 0.24% 3.65% 5.7% 7.78%
Net margin (%) 7.78% 16.94% 5.19% 4.12% 0.83% 2.83% 4.32% 5.95%
FCF margin (%) 15.06% - -1.82% 2.37% -1.4% 4.56% 5.92% 8.76%
FCF / Net Income (%) 193.45% - -35.15% 57.41% -169.36% 161.32% 137.14% 147.2%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.9% - 7.18% 4.02% 3% 0.67% 2.05% 3.33%
ROE 13.81% - 13.35% 7.62% 5.77% 4.02% 5.79% 8.85%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.64x - 0.94x 1.53x 1.69x 1.98x 1.56x 1.09x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.07x - -13.59x 14.03x -23.06x 7.83x 5.02x 2.54x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.11% - 16.18% 12.35% 12.03% 6.96% 6.06% 5.89%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 24.22% - 61.15% 57.01% 63.03% 38.69% 31.8% 28.9%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 40.56% - -886.96% 522.1% -860.08% 152.63% 102.36% 67.22%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.2107 - 0.1265 0.1353 0.0988 0.1075 0.1264 0.1665
Change - - - 6.96% -26.98% 8.84% 17.55% 31.72%
Dividend per Share 1 0.075 - 0.07 0.04 0.03 0.0236 0.029 0.0382
Change - - - -42.86% -25% -21.5% 23.1% 31.63%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.034 - 1.011 1.006 0.9696 0.9426 0.9474 0.979
Change - - - -0.5% -3.57% -2.78% 0.51% 3.33%
EPS 1 0.077 0.215 0.053 0.038 0.008 0.0226 0.0387 0.0571
Change - 179.22% -75.35% -28.3% -78.95% 181.88% 71.71% 47.52%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 409,632 392,840 392,840 393,921 394,680 395,016 395,016 395,016
Announcement Date 3/9/22 3/8/23 3/6/24 3/5/25 3/5/26 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 41.7x 24.3x
PBR 1x 0.99x
EV / Sales 1.39x 1.27x
Yield 2.5% 3.08%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
0.9405GBP
Average target price
1.202GBP
Spread / Average Target
+27.80%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. IBST Stock
  4. Financials Ibstock plc