Projected Income Statement: IBM

Forecast Balance Sheet: IBM

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 44,147 42,108 43,085 40,168 46,789 43,313 33,564 28,440
Change - -4.62% 2.32% -6.77% 16.48% -7.43% -22.51% -15.27%
Announcement Date 1/24/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/29/25 1/28/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: IBM

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,381 1,860 1,488 1,127 1,617 1,556 1,673 1,709
Change - -21.88% -20% -24.26% 43.48% -3.76% 7.51% 2.15%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 6,508 9,291 11,210 12,749 14,734 15,479 17,171 18,051
Change - 42.76% 20.65% 13.73% 15.57% 5.06% 10.93% 5.12%
Announcement Date 1/24/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/29/25 1/28/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: IBM

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) - 24.35% 24.97% 26.13% 28.43% 28.64% 29.42% 29.56%
EBIT Margin (%) - 16.42% 17.87% 17.95% 20.92% 21.28% 21.84% 22.85%
EBT Margin (%) 8.43% 1.91% 14.05% 9.24% 15.29% 15.96% 17.74% 19.39%
Net margin (%) 10.01% 2.71% 12.13% 9.6% 15.69% 13.94% 15.47% 16.23%
FCF margin (%) 11.35% 15.35% 18.12% 20.32% 21.82% 21.99% 23.44% 23.42%
FCF / Net Income (%) 113.32% 566.87% 149.43% 211.67% 139.09% 157.79% 151.47% 144.34%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.99% 6.42% 5.73% 7.11% 7.61% 6.95% 7.54% 8.02%
ROE 36.33% 40.77% 33.79% 38.86% 36.67% 32.59% 29.91% 27.41%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 2.86x 2.79x 2.45x 2.44x 2.15x 1.56x 1.25x
Debt / Free cash flow 6.78x 4.53x 3.84x 3.15x 3.18x 2.8x 1.95x 1.58x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.15% 3.07% 2.41% 1.8% 2.39% 2.21% 2.28% 2.22%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - 12.62% 9.63% 6.87% 8.42% 7.72% 7.76% 7.5%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 36.59% 20.02% 13.27% 8.84% 10.97% 10.05% 9.74% 9.47%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 14.15 11.44 15.11 14.35 13.91 17.8 17.95 18.77
Change - -19.14% 32.08% -5.04% -3.06% 28.02% 0.84% 4.57%
Dividend per Share 1 6.55 6.52 6.63 6.67 6.71 6.759 6.799 6.875
Change - -0.46% 1.69% 0.6% 0.6% 0.73% 0.59% 1.12%
Book Value Per Share 1 21.09 24.31 24.63 29.48 34.84 40.87 47.34 54.95
Change - 15.24% 1.3% 19.71% 18.2% 17.3% 15.81% 16.09%
EPS 1 6.35 1.8 8.14 6.43 11.17 10.08 11.29 12.72
Change - -71.65% 352.22% -21.01% 73.72% -9.78% 12.03% 12.69%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 896,800 904,126 913,119 924,645 934,735 942,134 942,134 942,134
Announcement Date 1/24/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/29/25 1/28/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 22.6x 20.2x
PBR 5.57x 4.81x
EV / Sales 3.66x 3.38x
Yield 2.97% 2.99%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
227.55USD
Average target price
244.16USD
Spread / Average Target
+7.30%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise