Projected Income Statement: IBM

Forecast Balance Sheet: IBM

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 44,147 42,108 43,085 40,168 46,789 47,874 36,518 32,720
Change - -4.62% 2.32% -6.77% 16.48% 2.32% -23.72% -10.4%
Announcement Date 1/24/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/29/25 1/28/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: IBM

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,381 1,860 1,488 1,127 1,617 1,633 1,690 1,724
Change - -21.88% -20% -24.26% 43.48% 1.01% 3.49% 1.98%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 6,508 9,291 11,210 12,749 14,734 15,680 16,977 18,401
Change - 42.76% 20.65% 13.73% 15.57% 6.42% 8.27% 8.39%
Announcement Date 1/24/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/29/25 1/28/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: IBM

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) - 24.35% 24.97% 26.13% 28.43% 28.65% 29.52% 29.87%
EBIT Margin (%) - 16.42% 17.87% 17.95% 20.92% 21.19% 21.64% 22.6%
EBT Margin (%) 8.43% 1.91% 14.05% 9.24% 15.29% 16.45% 18.15% 19.61%
Net margin (%) 10.01% 2.71% 12.13% 9.6% 15.69% 13.91% 15.45% 16.25%
FCF margin (%) 11.35% 15.35% 18.12% 20.32% 21.82% 21.94% 22.75% 23.32%
FCF / Net Income (%) 113.32% 566.87% 149.43% 211.67% 139.09% 157.79% 147.22% 143.52%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.99% 6.42% 5.73% 7.11% 7.61% 7.45% 7.76% 8.21%
ROE 36.33% 40.77% 33.79% 38.86% 36.67% 33% 29.82% 26.92%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 2.86x 2.79x 2.45x 2.44x 2.34x 1.66x 1.39x
Debt / Free cash flow 6.78x 4.53x 3.84x 3.15x 3.18x 3.05x 2.15x 1.78x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.15% 3.07% 2.41% 1.8% 2.39% 2.29% 2.26% 2.18%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - 12.62% 9.63% 6.87% 8.42% 7.98% 7.67% 7.31%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 36.59% 20.02% 13.27% 8.84% 10.97% 10.42% 9.96% 9.37%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 14.15 11.44 15.11 14.35 13.91 18.88 18.52 20.4
Change - -19.14% 32.08% -5.04% -3.06% 35.79% -1.92% 10.14%
Dividend per Share 1 6.55 6.52 6.63 6.67 - 6.75 6.792 6.868
Change - -0.46% 1.69% 0.6% - - 0.63% 1.11%
Book Value Per Share 1 21.09 24.31 24.63 29.48 - 40.97 47.93 56.08
Change - 15.24% 1.3% 19.71% - - 17.01% 16.99%
EPS 1 6.35 1.8 8.14 6.43 11.17 10.26 11.77 13.44
Change - -71.65% 352.22% -21.01% 73.72% -8.1% 14.63% 14.23%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 896,800 904,126 913,119 924,645 934,735 939,885 939,885 939,885
Announcement Date 1/24/22 1/25/23 1/24/24 1/29/25 1/28/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 26.8x 23.4x
PBR 6.71x 5.73x
EV / Sales 4.28x 3.95x
Yield 2.46% 2.47%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
274.85USD
Average target price
290.89USD
Spread / Average Target
+5.83%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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