Projected Income Statement: Halfords Group plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Halfords Group plc

Fiscal Period: April 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 345 349 315 261 237 218 207 191
Change - 1.16% -9.74% -17.14% -9.2% -7.9% -5.05% -7.73%
Announcement Date 6/16/22 6/21/23 6/27/24 6/25/25 6/25/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Halfords Group plc

Fiscal Period: April 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 47.3 54.4 45.6 53.2 58.7 61.55 62.02 62.8
Change - 15.01% -16.18% 16.67% 10.34% 4.86% 0.77% 1.25%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -14.9 3.1 29.4 141.5 34 26.78 33.61 38.42
Change - 120.81% 848.39% 381.29% -75.97% -21.22% 25.48% 14.31%
Announcement Date 6/16/22 6/21/23 6/27/24 6/25/25 6/25/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Halfords Group plc

Fiscal Period: April 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

         
EBITDA Margin (%) - 15.12% 11.67% 10.33% 10.53% 10.52% 10.79% 10.74% 10.89%
EBIT Margin (%) - 7.38% 3.99% 2.87% 2.89% 3.2% 3.86% 3.8% 3.99%
EBT Margin (%) - 7.05% 2.73% 1.16% -1.75% 2.47% 3.31% 3.29% 3.67%
Net margin (%) - 5.67% 2.13% 0.99% -1.96% 1.86% 2.44% 2.4% 2.6%
FCF margin (%) - -1.09% 0.19% 1.72% 8.25% 1.93% 1.45% 1.78% 1.99%
FCF / Net Income (%) - -19.18% 9.12% 173.96% -421.13% 103.34% 59.55% 74.44% 76.53%

Profitability

         
ROA 6.29% 5.38% 3.03% 2.67% 2.52% 3.06% - - -
ROE 13.58% 16.04% 6.11% 5.22% -6.41% 6.43% - - -

Financial Health

         
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 1.67x 1.87x 1.78x 1.45x 1.28x 1.1x 1.02x 0.91x
Debt / Free cash flow - -23.15x 112.48x 10.72x 1.85x 6.96x 8.14x 6.15x 4.97x

Capital Intensity

         
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - 3.45% 3.41% 2.66% 3.1% 3.33% 3.34% 3.29% 3.26%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - 22.84% 29.25% 25.78% 29.46% 31.63% 30.97% 30.64% 29.91%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - -317.45% 1,754.84% 155.1% 37.6% 172.65% 229.8% 184.54% 163.46%

Items per share

         
Cash flow per share 1 - 0.5639 0.6807 0.741 0.8935 0.8621 0.1955 0.5174 0.5547
Change - - 20.71% 8.86% 20.57% -3.51% -77.32% 164.65% 7.22%
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.09 0.1 0.08 0.088 0.09 0.1072 0.1105 0.1164
Change - - 11.11% -20% 10% 2.27% 19.14% 3.09% 5.33%
Book Value Per Share 1 - 2.692 2.589 2.55 2.295 2.377 3 3 4
Change - - -3.82% -1.5% -10% 3.56% 26.23% 0% 33.33%
EPS 1 - 0.364 0.15 0.074 -0.154 0.146 0.2007 0.203 0.2287
Change - - -58.79% -50.67% -308.11% 194.81% 37.45% 1.16% 12.65%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - 217,292 217,468 217,956 218,557 217,878 216,582 216,582 216,582
Announcement Date - 6/16/22 6/21/23 6/27/24 6/25/25 6/25/26 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 13.2x 13x
PBR 0.88x 0.88x
EV / Sales 0.43x 0.41x
Yield 4.06% 4.19%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
-
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
2.640GBP
Average target price
2.867GBP
Spread / Average Target
+8.59%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. HFD Stock
  4. Financials Halfords Group plc