|
End-of-day quote
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 9.870 CNY | +7.05% |
|
-0.40% | -11.32% |
Projected Income Statement: Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 1,088 | 1,263 | 1,547 | 1,450 | 1,190 | 1,536 | 1,773 | 2,023 |
| Change | - | 16.08% | 22.47% | -6.23% | -17.92% | 29.05% | 15.43% | 14.1% |
| EBITDA 1 | 664.3 | 653.2 | 858.5 | 977.7 | 388.6 | 800.2 | 1,092 | 1,338 |
| Change | - | -1.67% | 31.43% | 13.89% | -60.25% | 105.89% | 36.47% | 22.53% |
| EBIT 1 | 394.5 | 296.7 | 413.5 | 225.1 | -328 | 138.9 | 290.8 | 413.4 |
| Change | - | -24.79% | 39.36% | -45.56% | -245.72% | 142.36% | 109.33% | 42.13% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -145.4 | -238 | -262.7 | -244.2 | -218 | -198.1 | -246 | -284.5 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 395.1 | 293.1 | 414.9 | 239.2 | -345.1 | 143.1 | 295.4 | 418.4 |
| Change | - | -25.81% | 41.52% | -42.33% | -244.25% | 141.46% | 106.46% | 41.63% |
| Net income 1 | 258.1 | 224 | 278.1 | 158.3 | -429.7 | 114.2 | 222.6 | 304.1 |
| Change | - | -13.22% | 24.17% | -43.07% | -371.37% | 126.57% | 94.99% | 36.64% |
| Announcement Date | 4/11/22 | 4/14/23 | 4/12/24 | 4/27/25 | 4/28/26 | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million
Estimates
Forecast Balance Sheet: Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Change | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 4/11/22 | 4/14/23 | 4/12/24 | 4/27/25 | 4/28/26 | - | - | - |
Estimates
Cash Flow Forecast: Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 645.8 | 369.1 | 296.4 | 482 | 403.9 | 1,647 | 1,146 | 1,157 |
| Change | - | -42.84% | -19.72% | 62.63% | -16.2% | 307.8% | -30.42% | 0.96% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 133.4 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Change | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 4/11/22 | 4/14/23 | 4/12/24 | 4/27/25 | 4/28/26 | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million
Estimates
Forecast Financial Ratios: Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 61.06% | 51.72% | 55.51% | 67.42% | 32.65% | 52.09% | 61.59% | 66.14% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 36.26% | 23.49% | 26.74% | 15.52% | -27.56% | 9.05% | 16.4% | 20.43% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 36.32% | 23.21% | 26.82% | 16.5% | -28.99% | 9.31% | 16.66% | 20.68% |
| Net margin (%) | 23.72% | 17.74% | 17.98% | 10.92% | -36.1% | 7.43% | 12.55% | 15.03% |
| FCF margin (%) | 12.26% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 51.67% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 4.11% | - | 3.17% | - | - | - | - | - |
| ROE | 12.22% | 9.36% | 11.89% | 5.99% | -18.26% | 4.78% | 8.63% | 10.77% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 59.36% | 29.23% | 19.16% | 33.24% | 33.93% | 107.23% | 64.64% | 57.19% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 97.22% | 56.52% | 34.52% | 49.3% | 103.92% | 205.83% | 104.95% | 86.47% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 484.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 1.744 | 1.878 | 2.297 | 1.994 | 1.651 | 2.31 | 1.69 | 3.05 |
| Change | - | 7.67% | 22.35% | -13.21% | -17.18% | 39.9% | -26.84% | 80.47% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.25 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Change | - | 0% | -16.67% | - | - | - | - | - |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 5.24 | 4.904 | 5.72 | 5.4 | 4.237 | 4.81 | 5.22 | 5.74 |
| Change | - | -6.42% | 16.64% | -5.6% | -21.53% | 13.53% | 8.52% | 9.96% |
| EPS 1 | 0.58 | 0.5 | 0.65 | 0.34 | -0.94 | 0.25 | 0.49 | 0.66 |
| Change | - | -13.79% | 30% | -47.69% | -376.47% | 126.6% | 96% | 34.69% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 446,640 | 451,483 | 456,475 | 457,490 | 457,490 | 457,490 | 457,490 | 457,490 |
| Announcement Date | 4/11/22 | 4/14/23 | 4/12/24 | 4/27/25 | 4/28/26 | - | - | - |
1CNY
Estimates
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 39.5x | 20.1x |
| PBR | 2.05x | 1.89x |
| EV / Sales | 2.94x | 2.55x |
| Yield | - | - |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
1
Last Close Price
9.870CNY
Average target price
13.41CNY
Spread / Average Target
+35.87%
Annual profits - Rate of surprise
- Stock Market
- Stocks
- 002930 Stock
- Financials Great River Smart Logistics Co., Ltd.
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