Projected Income Statement: Glencore plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 31,400 26,854 30,316 36,405 39,405 34,913 31,714 29,508
Change - -14.48% 12.89% 20.09% 8.24% -11.4% -9.16% -6.96%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 2/18/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,618 4,177 4,484 5,611 5,932 6,426 6,537 6,536
Change - 15.45% 7.35% 25.13% 5.72% 8.33% 1.72% -0.02%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,242 9,482 6,552 4,444 -290 6,164 6,046 6,552
Change - 80.89% -30.9% -32.17% -106.53% 2,225.51% -1.91% 8.36%
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 2/18/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Glencore plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.47% 13.31% 7.85% 6.22% 5.45% 7% 7.49% 7.43%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.11% 10.41% 4.77% 3% 2.42% 4.6% 4.86% 4.75%
EBT Margin (%) 3.62% 8.94% 2.49% -0.43% 0.13% 3.35% 3.83% 3.67%
Net margin (%) 2.44% 6.77% 1.96% -0.71% 0.16% 2.32% 2.64% 2.55%
FCF margin (%) 2.57% 3.7% 3.01% 1.92% -0.12% 2.15% 2.18% 2.37%
FCF / Net Income (%) 105.39% 54.75% 153.08% -271.97% -72.5% 92.57% 82.58% 92.59%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.43% 14.52% 5.22% 2.9% 0.27% 5.79% 6.03% 6%
ROE 23.53% 42.27% 14.41% 8.76% 5.78% 16.79% 16.85% 15.86%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.47x 0.79x 1.77x 2.54x 2.92x 1.74x 1.53x 1.43x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.99x 2.83x 4.63x 8.19x -135.88x 5.66x 5.25x 4.5x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.78% 1.63% 2.06% 2.43% 2.4% 2.24% 2.36% 2.36%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 16.97% 12.26% 26.22% 39.08% 43.94% 32.04% 31.54% 31.77%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 69.02% 44.05% 68.44% 126.26% -2,045.52% 104.25% 108.11% 99.75%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.6643 1.039 0.88 0.8193 0.4678 1.029 1.212 1.083
Change - 56.46% -15.34% -6.9% -42.9% 120.06% 17.69% -10.6%
Dividend per Share 1 0.26 0.44 0.13 0.1 0.1 0.2282 0.304 0.3155
Change - 69.23% -70.45% -23.08% 0% 128.15% 33.23% 3.79%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.796 3.522 3.566 3.696 3.257 3.531 3.719 4.027
Change - 25.96% 1.27% 3.63% -11.86% 8.39% 5.34% 8.29%
EPS 1 0.38 1.33 0.34 -0.13 0.03 0.576 0.6232 0.612
Change - 250% -74.44% -138.24% 123.08% 1,819.9% 8.21% -1.81%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 13,094,998 12,762,238 12,169,709 12,157,132 11,713,994 11,718,025 11,718,025 11,718,025
Announcement Date 2/15/22 2/15/23 2/21/24 2/19/25 2/18/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 12x 11.1x
PBR 1.96x 1.86x
EV / Sales 0.4x 0.41x
Yield 3.3% 4.39%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
6.917USD
Average target price
8.320USD
Spread / Average Target
+20.27%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise