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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
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Projected Income Statement: Glencore plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 203,751 | 255,984 | 217,829 | 230,944 | 247,535 | 324,427 | 282,499 | 279,926 |
| Change | - | 25.64% | -14.91% | 6.02% | 7.18% | 31.06% | -12.92% | -0.91% |
| EBITDA 1 | 21,323 | 34,060 | 17,102 | 14,358 | 13,500 | 20,197 | 20,558 | 20,301 |
| Change | - | 59.73% | -49.79% | -16.04% | -5.98% | 49.61% | 1.78% | -1.25% |
| EBIT 1 | 14,495 | 26,657 | 10,392 | 6,938 | 5,978 | 13,582 | 13,506 | 12,946 |
| Change | - | 83.9% | -61.02% | -33.24% | -13.84% | 127.2% | -0.56% | -4.15% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -1,140 | -1,336 | -1,900 | -2,334 | -2,729 | -2,650 | -2,116 | -2,023 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 7,375 | 22,879 | 5,417 | -998 | 321 | 10,139 | 10,377 | 10,051 |
| Change | - | 210.22% | -76.32% | -118.42% | 132.16% | 3,058.62% | 2.34% | -3.14% |
| Net income 1 | 4,974 | 17,320 | 4,280 | -1,634 | 400 | 7,322 | 7,268 | 7,142 |
| Change | - | 248.21% | -75.29% | -138.18% | 124.48% | 1,730.43% | -0.73% | -1.74% |
| Announcement Date | 2/15/22 | 2/15/23 | 2/21/24 | 2/19/25 | 2/18/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Glencore plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 31,400 | 26,854 | 30,316 | 36,405 | 39,405 | 35,787 | 32,378 | 29,720 |
| Change | - | -14.48% | 12.89% | 20.09% | 8.24% | -9.18% | -9.53% | -8.21% |
| Announcement Date | 2/15/22 | 2/15/23 | 2/21/24 | 2/19/25 | 2/18/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Glencore plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 3,618 | 4,177 | 4,484 | 5,611 | 5,932 | 6,729 | 6,650 | 6,623 |
| Change | - | 15.45% | 7.35% | 25.13% | 5.72% | 13.43% | -1.17% | -0.4% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 5,242 | 9,482 | 6,552 | 4,444 | -290 | 5,641 | 8,195 | 6,776 |
| Change | - | 80.89% | -30.9% | -32.17% | -106.53% | 2,045.25% | 45.27% | -17.32% |
| Announcement Date | 2/15/22 | 2/15/23 | 2/21/24 | 2/19/25 | 2/18/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Glencore plc
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 10.47% | 13.31% | 7.85% | 6.22% | 5.45% | 6.23% | 7.28% | 7.25% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 7.11% | 10.41% | 4.77% | 3% | 2.42% | 4.19% | 4.78% | 4.62% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 3.62% | 8.94% | 2.49% | -0.43% | 0.13% | 3.13% | 3.67% | 3.59% |
| Net margin (%) | 2.44% | 6.77% | 1.96% | -0.71% | 0.16% | 2.26% | 2.57% | 2.55% |
| FCF margin (%) | 2.57% | 3.7% | 3.01% | 1.92% | -0.12% | 1.74% | 2.9% | 2.42% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 105.39% | 54.75% | 153.08% | -271.97% | -72.5% | 77.05% | 112.75% | 94.87% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 7.43% | 14.52% | 5.22% | 2.9% | 0.27% | 5.9% | 5.81% | 5.77% |
| ROE | 23.53% | 42.27% | 14.41% | 8.76% | 5.78% | 16.53% | 16.78% | 15.85% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.47x | 0.79x | 1.77x | 2.54x | 2.92x | 1.77x | 1.58x | 1.46x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 5.99x | 2.83x | 4.63x | 8.19x | -135.88x | 6.34x | 3.95x | 4.39x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 1.78% | 1.63% | 2.06% | 2.43% | 2.4% | 2.07% | 2.35% | 2.37% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 16.97% | 12.26% | 26.22% | 39.08% | 43.94% | 33.31% | 32.35% | 32.63% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 69.02% | 44.05% | 68.44% | 126.26% | -2,045.52% | 119.27% | 81.14% | 97.75% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.6643 | 1.039 | 0.88 | 0.8193 | 0.4678 | 0.943 | 1.152 | 1.044 |
| Change | - | 56.46% | -15.34% | -6.9% | -42.9% | 101.59% | 22.16% | -9.4% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.26 | 0.44 | 0.13 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2556 | 0.2699 | 0.3045 |
| Change | - | 69.23% | -70.45% | -23.08% | 0% | 155.58% | 5.61% | 12.8% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 2.796 | 3.522 | 3.566 | 3.696 | 3.257 | 3.48 | 3.696 | 4.033 |
| Change | - | 25.96% | 1.27% | 3.63% | -11.86% | 6.83% | 6.23% | 9.11% |
| EPS 1 | 0.38 | 1.33 | 0.34 | -0.13 | 0.03 | 0.6155 | 0.6127 | 0.6068 |
| Change | - | 250% | -74.44% | -138.24% | 123.08% | 1,951.57% | -0.45% | -0.96% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 13,094,998 | 12,762,238 | 12,169,709 | 12,157,132 | 11,713,994 | 11,736,770 | 11,736,770 | 11,736,770 |
| Announcement Date | 2/15/22 | 2/15/23 | 2/21/24 | 2/19/25 | 2/18/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 12.6x | 12.7x |
| PBR | 2.23x | 2.1x |
| EV / Sales | 0.39x | 0.44x |
| Yield | 3.29% | 3.48% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- Financials Glencore plc
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