Projected Income Statement: Gecina

Forecast Balance Sheet: Gecina

Forecast Balance Sheet - Gecina
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 6,898 7,177 6,200 6,500 6,754 6,797 7,006 7,024
Change - 4.04% -13.61% 4.84% 3.91% 0.64% 3.07% 0.26%
Announcement Date 2/17/22 2/15/23 2/14/24 2/13/25 2/10/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Gecina

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 360.7 368.8 390.5 454.7 969.8 333.6 294.5 159.3
Change - 2.26% 5.89% 16.42% 113.3% -65.6% -11.73% -45.9%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 675.6 218.7 144.4 145.2 268.9 487 379 678
Change - -67.62% -33.96% 0.51% 85.24% 81.09% -22.18% 78.89%
Announcement Date 2/17/22 2/15/23 2/14/24 2/13/25 2/10/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Gecina

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 77.68% 79.33% 80.23% 81.45% 82.75% 82.97% 83.07% 82.97%
EBIT Margin (%) 75.75% 78.53% 75.78% 79.77% 81.7% 82.49% 83.37% 82.94%
EBT Margin (%) 139% 27.46% -267.79% 44.91% 63.51% 21.44% 79.53% 88.06%
Net margin (%) 138.48% 27.1% -268.03% 44.61% 62.9% 57.49% 92.09% 90.18%
FCF margin (%) 110.16% 34.95% 21.66% 20.9% 37.74% 68.18% 52.18% 88.54%
FCF / Net Income (%) 79.55% 128.96% -8.08% 46.86% 60% 118.59% 56.66% 98.19%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.93% 1.99% 2.32% 2.67% 2.49% 2.71% 3.03% 3.18%
ROE 3.08% 3.19% 3.81% 4.5% 4.25% 4.66% 4.63% 4.73%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 14.48x 14.45x 11.59x 11.49x 11.45x 11.47x 11.61x 11.06x
Debt / Free cash flow 10.21x 32.81x 42.92x 44.77x 25.11x 13.96x 18.48x 10.36x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 58.81% 58.93% 58.57% 65.47% 136.09% 46.71% 40.54% 20.8%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 75.7% 74.28% 73% 80.37% 164.46% 56.3% 48.8% 25.07%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 53.38% 168.63% 270.38% 313.18% 360.61% 68.51% 77.7% 23.5%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.524 6.544 7.219 8.084 6.443 7.361 7.069 7.683
Change - 0.3% 10.33% 11.98% -20.31% 14.26% -3.96% 8.68%
Dividend per Share 1 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.45 5.5 5.614 5.674 5.85
Change - 0% 0% 2.83% 0.92% 2.08% 1.07% 3.1%
Book Value Per Share 1 175.8 172.9 143.2 142.1 142.6 143.8 146.3 149.6
Change - -1.65% -17.13% -0.82% 0.37% 0.86% 1.74% 2.25%
EPS 1 11.53 2.299 -24.15 4.175 6.028 6.983 7.574 8.309
Change - -80.05% -1,150.41% 117.29% 44.39% 15.85% 8.46% 9.71%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 73,714 73,802 73,881 73,945 74,065 74,060 74,060 74,060
Announcement Date 2/17/22 2/15/23 2/14/24 2/13/25 2/10/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 8.98x 8.28x
PBR 0.44x 0.43x
EV / Sales 16x 16x
Yield 8.95% 9.05%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Gecina


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Gecina
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Gecina
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
MarketScreener Ratings - Gecina
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
62.70EUR
Average target price
86.49EUR
Spread / Average Target
+37.94%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Gecina