Projected Income Statement: Garda Property Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: Garda Property Group

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 194 239 - 200 245 149 160 160
Change - 23.2% - - 22.5% -39.28% 7.38% 0%
Announcement Date 8/12/21 8/1/22 7/27/23 7/31/24 7/29/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Garda Property Group

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 5.81 8.279 2.191 3.817 37.4 2.4 11 0.6
Change - 42.5% -73.54% 74.21% 879.8% -93.58% 358.33% -94.55%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 11.66 17.94 11.84 6.552 - -10.6 10.6 21.6
Change - 53.88% -34.03% -44.64% - - 200% 103.77%
Announcement Date 8/12/21 8/1/22 7/27/23 7/31/24 7/29/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Garda Property Group

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 92.69% 92.66% 65.17% 75.04% 84.72% 134.7% 158.02% 131.39%
EBIT Margin (%) 91.96% 92.06% 64.69% 74.53% 84.15% 134.21% 157.76% 131.19%
EBT Margin (%) - - - - - - - -
Net margin (%) 149.26% 523.33% -15.64% -162.99% -24.59% 105.56% 157.14% 127.49%
FCF margin (%) 48.77% 66.82% 37.51% 24.88% - -51.8% 56.46% 87.42%
FCF / Net Income (%) 32.67% 12.77% -239.89% -15.26% - -49.07% 35.93% 68.57%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.17% - - 1.79% 2.2% - - -
ROE 4.85% - - 2.88% 3.86% 6.6% 6.9% 6.8%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 8.74x 9.61x - 10.11x 11.66x 5.41x 5.4x 4.94x
Debt / Free cash flow 16.62x 13.33x - 30.49x - -14.07x 15.11x 7.43x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 24.3% 30.83% 6.94% 14.49% 150.49% 11.73% 58.59% 2.43%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 26.22% 33.27% 10.65% 19.31% 177.63% 8.71% 37.08% 1.85%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 49.83% 46.14% 18.51% 58.26% - -22.64% 103.77% 2.78%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.0528 0.0803 0.0529 0.0296 -0.026 -0.0398 0.0997 0.104
Change - 52.16% -34.08% -44.09% -187.84% -53.27% 350.21% 4.32%
Dividend per Share 1 0.072 0.072 0.072 0.063 0.072 0.085 0.0915 0.094
Change - 0% 0% -12.5% 14.29% 18.06% 7.65% 2.73%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.45 - - 1.663 1.607 1.463 1.463 1.515
Change - - - - -3.37% -8.95% -0.02% 3.6%
EPS 1 0.1611 0.629 -0.0237 -0.2084 -0.0305 0.108 0.147 0.157
Change - 290.44% -103.77% -779.32% 85.36% 454.1% 36.11% 6.8%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 208,571 208,581 208,390 199,517 200,515 200,685 200,685 200,685
Announcement Date 8/12/21 8/1/22 7/27/23 7/31/24 7/29/25 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 9.61x 7.06x
PBR 0.71x 0.71x
EV / Sales 17.5x 19.6x
Yield 8.19% 8.82%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
1.038AUD
Average target price
1.380AUD
Spread / Average Target
+33.01%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. GDF Stock
  4. Financials Garda Property Group