Projected Income Statement: Garda Property Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: Garda Property Group

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 239 - 200 245 143 136 189 186
Change - - - 22.5% -41.63% -4.96% 38.97% -1.59%
Announcement Date 8/1/22 7/27/23 7/31/24 7/29/25 7/30/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Garda Property Group

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 8.279 2.191 3.817 37.4 3.41 14.5 0.5 0.6
Change - -73.54% 74.21% 879.8% -90.88% 325.22% -96.55% 20%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 17.94 11.84 6.552 - -74.79 7.3 21.5 22.8
Change - -34.03% -44.64% - - 109.76% 194.52% 6.05%
Announcement Date 8/1/22 7/27/23 7/31/24 7/29/25 7/30/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Garda Property Group

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 92.66% 65.17% 75.04% 84.72% 122.68% 154.59% 140.6% 139.77%
EBIT Margin (%) 92.06% 64.69% 74.53% 84.15% 121.99% 154.11% 140.4% 139.57%
EBT Margin (%) - - - - - - - -
Net margin (%) 523.33% -15.64% -162.99% -24.59% 117% 103.02% 127.41% 128.99%
FCF margin (%) 66.82% 37.51% 24.88% - -367.17% 35.47% 87.52% 89.39%
FCF / Net Income (%) 12.77% -239.89% -15.26% - -313.81% 34.43% 68.69% 69.3%

Profitability

        
ROA - - 1.79% 2.2% - - - -
ROE - - 2.88% 3.86% 7.31% 7.2% 7% 7.3%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 9.61x - 10.11x 11.66x 5.73x 4.28x 5.46x 5.21x
Debt / Free cash flow 13.33x - 30.49x - -1.91x 18.64x 8.77x 8.14x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 30.83% 6.94% 14.49% 150.49% 16.74% 70.46% 2.04% 2.35%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 33.27% 10.65% 19.31% 177.63% 13.65% 45.58% 1.45% 1.68%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 46.14% 18.51% 58.26% - -4.56% 198.63% 2.33% 2.63%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.0803 0.0529 0.0296 -0.026 -0.3281 0.1078 0.1192 0.1244
Change - -34.08% -44.09% -187.84% -1,161.92% 132.87% 10.56% 4.34%
Dividend per Share 1 0.072 0.072 0.063 0.072 0.085 0.0915 0.094 0.099
Change - 0% -12.5% 14.29% 18.06% 7.65% 2.73% 5.32%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - 1.663 1.607 1.516 1.522 1.585 1.653
Change - - - -3.37% -5.61% 0.34% 4.19% 4.26%
EPS 1 0.629 -0.0237 -0.2084 -0.0305 0.1096 0.105 0.156 0.164
Change - -103.77% -779.32% 85.36% 459.34% -4.2% 48.57% 5.13%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 208,581 208,390 199,517 200,515 200,685 200,685 200,685 200,685
Announcement Date 8/1/22 7/27/23 7/31/24 7/29/25 7/30/26 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 9.76x 6.57x
PBR 0.67x 0.65x
EV / Sales 16.6x 16x
Yield 8.93% 9.17%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
1.025AUD
Average target price
1.455AUD
Spread / Average Target
+41.95%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. GDF Stock
  4. Financials Garda Property Group
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