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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 691.40 SEK | +0.26% |
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+1.08% | +9.78% |
| 07-17 | DNB Carnegie raises its target price for Evolution to 955 kronor (925), reiterates buy | FW |
| 07-17 | Deutsche Bank cuts its target price for Evolution to 682 kronor (693), reiterates hold | FW |
Company Valuation: Evolution AB
Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap 1 | 26,876 | 19,433 | 23,026 | 15,372 | 11,605 | 12,067 | - | - |
| Change | - | -27.69% | 18.49% | -33.24% | -24.5% | 3.98% | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 26,522 | 18,980 | 22,120 | 14,664 | 10,878 | 11,124 | 10,980 | 10,809 |
| Change | - | -28.44% | 16.55% | -33.71% | -25.81% | 2.26% | -1.3% | -1.56% |
| P/E | 46x | 23.5x | 21.9x | 12.6x | 11.1x | 11.7x | 10.5x | 9.49x |
| PBR | 8.42x | 5.62x | 5.74x | 3.87x | 2.85x | 2.83x | 2.76x | 2.51x |
| PEG | - | 0.6x | 0.8x | 0.6x | -1x | 5.5x | 0.9x | 0.9x |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 25.1x | 13.3x | 12.8x | 7.45x | 5.62x | 5.74x | 5.39x | 5.04x |
| EV / Revenue | 24.8x | 13x | 12.3x | 7.11x | 5.26x | 5.29x | 4.91x | 4.51x |
| EV / EBITDA | 36.1x | 18.8x | 17.5x | 10.4x | 7.97x | 8.06x | 7.49x | 6.87x |
| EV / EBIT | 40.6x | 20.9x | 19.4x | 10.3x | 8.65x | 9.18x | 8.51x | 7.79x |
| EV / FCF | 46.9x | 24.3x | 20.6x | 12.6x | 9.71x | 10.3x | 9.93x | 9.17x |
| FCF Yield | 2.13% | 4.11% | 4.86% | 7.94% | 10.3% | 9.69% | 10.1% | 10.9% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 1.42 | 2 | 2.65 | 2.8 | - | 2.73 | 3.072 | 3.418 |
| Rate of return | 1.13% | 2.19% | 2.45% | 3.76% | - | 4.35% | 4.9% | 5.45% |
| EPS 2 | 2.73 | 3.88 | 4.93 | 5.91 | 5.23 | 5.341 | 5.972 | 6.604 |
| Distribution rate | 52% | 51.5% | 53.8% | 47.4% | - | 51.1% | 51.4% | 51.7% |
| Net sales 1 | 1,069 | 1,457 | 1,799 | 2,063 | 2,067 | 2,101 | 2,237 | 2,396 |
| EBITDA 1 | 734.6 | 1,008 | 1,267 | 1,411 | 1,366 | 1,381 | 1,466 | 1,574 |
| EBIT 1 | 654 | 908.1 | 1,143 | 1,420 | 1,257 | 1,212 | 1,290 | 1,388 |
| Net income 1 | 605.4 | 843.4 | 1,071 | 1,244 | 1,062 | 1,028 | 1,086 | 1,167 |
| Net Debt 1 | -353.6 | -453 | -906.3 | -708 | -726.9 | -942.3 | -1,087 | -1,258 |
| Reference price 2 | 125.58 | 91.15 | 108.15 | 74.42 | 58.25 | 62.69 | 62.69 | 62.69 |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 214,010 | 213,205 | 212,911 | 206,562 | 199,227 | 192,492 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 2/9/22 | 2/2/23 | 2/1/24 | 1/30/25 | 2/5/26 | - | - | - |
1EUR in Million2EUR
Estimates
P/E, Detailed evolution
| P/E (Y) | EV / Sales (Y) | EV / EBITDA (Y) | Dividend Yield (Y) | Capi.($) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11.74x | 5.34x | 8.13x | 4.35% | 13.81B | |
| 24.07x | 6.19x | 14.51x | 1.63% | 25.77B | |
| 46.42x | 1.58x | 10.24x | -.--% | 18.49B | |
| 12.91x | 2.12x | 7.53x | 4.87% | 17.7B | |
| 11.78x | 2.29x | 8.16x | 7.71% | 13.5B | |
| 98.03x | 1.9x | 16.96x | -.--% | 12.37B | |
| 36.01x | 3.96x | 19.69x | 2.84% | 8.84B | |
| 16.93x | 2.65x | 9.9x | 2.21% | 7.48B | |
| 17.38x | 3.32x | 8.31x | 2.25% | 6.76B | |
| Average | 30.58x | 3.26x | 11.49x | 2.87% | 13.86B | |
| Weighted average by Cap. | 30.49x | 3.46x | 11.49x | 2.8% |
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Historical PBR trend
Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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