Projected Income Statement: ERICSSON

Forecast Balance Sheet: ERICSSON

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -35,151 -14,155 2,099 -18,390 -23,938 -49,167 -58,294 -65,294
Change - 59.73% 114.83% -976.13% -30.17% -105.39% -18.56% -12.01%
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/20/23 1/23/24 1/24/25 1/23/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ERICSSON

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,548 4,228 3,297 2,340 2,630 3,199 3,266 3,509
Change - 19.17% -22.02% -29.03% 12.39% 21.62% 2.12% 7.42%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 35,517 26,635 3,880 43,921 26,769 22,935 25,923 26,529
Change - -25.01% -85.43% 1,031.98% -39.05% -14.32% 13.03% 2.34%
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/20/23 1/23/24 1/24/25 1/23/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ERICSSON

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 17.78% 13.98% 11.42% 20.32% 21.22% 16.64% 16.48% 16.91%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.9% 10.1% 6.87% 9.95% 17.31% 13.08% 13.12% 13.38%
EBT Margin (%) 12.59% 9.06% -8.85% 1.04% 16.18% 10.69% 12.1% 12.56%
Net margin (%) 9.9% 6.9% -10.04% 0.01% 12.01% 7.89% 8.8% 9.26%
FCF margin (%) 15.29% 9.81% 1.47% 17.72% 11.31% 10.14% 11.23% 11.28%
FCF / Net Income (%) 154.42% 142.25% -14.67% 219,605% 94.16% 128.53% 127.54% 121.71%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.86% 7.41% -8.18% 0.01% 9.95% 6.78% 7.55% 7.84%
ROE 23.2% 15.37% 10.38% 3.07% 29.61% 18.87% 20.52% 20.93%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 0.07x - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - 0.54x - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.53% 1.56% 1.25% 0.94% 1.11% 1.41% 1.41% 1.49%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.59% 11.14% 10.96% 4.65% 5.24% 8.5% 8.59% 8.82%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 9.99% 15.87% 84.97% 5.33% 9.82% 13.95% 12.6% 13.23%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11.72 9.257 2.155 13.88 9.887 7.664 8.405 8.893
Change - -21.04% -76.72% 544.19% -28.79% -22.48% 9.66% 5.81%
Dividend per Share 1 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.85 3 3.059 3.177 3.32
Change - 0% 8% 5.56% 5.26% 1.98% 3.86% 4.49%
Book Value Per Share 1 32.64 40.44 29.25 28.3 32.86 33.51 35.78 38.43
Change - 23.9% -27.66% -3.27% 16.14% 1.96% 6.77% 7.42%
EPS 1 6.81 5.62 -7.94 0.01 8.51 5.306 6.248 6.882
Change - -17.47% -241.28% 100.13% 85,000% -37.65% 17.74% 10.15%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,329,738 3,330,142 3,330,142 3,332,672 3,333,287 3,292,153 3,292,153 3,292,153
Announcement Date 1/25/22 1/20/23 1/23/24 1/24/25 1/23/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 18x 15.3x
PBR 2.85x 2.67x
EV / Sales 1.17x 1.11x
Yield 3.2% 3.32%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
95.64SEK
Average target price
97.00SEK
Spread / Average Target
+1.42%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise